🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

I like this previously unknown QB in Mississippi, CHAMBLISS (SR, formerly from Ferris State, Div 2) who is the backup to Simmons (still has a tender ankle) Chambliss got in a handful of snaps in the first two games (which Simmons started) and did OK...After Simmons went down with an ankle boo-boo, Chambliss started the last two....In those two starts (vs ARK and vs Tulane) this dude passed for a combined 670 yards and dashed for 174 himself!!  He's a bonafide dual threat!      As a junior last yr, Chambliss threw for 2,925 yards and 26 touchdowns and rushed for 1,019 yards with 25 touchdowns! - leading Ferris State to a Div 2 national championship. In the TITLE game against Valdosta State, he combined for five touchdowns in the 49–14 rout. Chambliss was named the Great Lakes Intercollegiate Athletic Conference Player of the Year and a finalist for the Harlon Hill Trophy. -Wikipedia   I have LSU and Ole Miss rated DEAD EVEN! Rebs are at home, which would normally assume a HFA of around -2.5 to -3.5...but it's only -1.5 for the homies.  In Chambliss's two starts (Ark and Tulane) those two clubs featured tough dual threat QBs themselves.  In the Arkansas game, both defenses struggled to contain the opposing dual-threat QB, but Ole Miss prevailed.  In the next game, Tulane's dual-threat QB also ran very well against the Ole Miss D but Ole Miss shut down everything else as their defense clearly improved against an opponent similar to Arkansas and routed them 37 - 10.  Now their defense steps up in class to face a very tough LSU offense - with one exception - LSU Nussmeier is NOT a dual threat. Not even close!    One less thing for the Ole Miss D to worry about...      As for LSU, their 2 toughest opponents were Clemson and Florida, both of whom are NOW rated roughly in the same tier as the two teams Chambliss et al just defeated (Ark and Tulane). In fact, at home against "not so great as we thought" Florida, LSU achieved ONLY 10 first downs on 12 drives  (compared to 23 for Gators) and needed a very fortunate +4 net turnovers to edge Florida, including a gimme TD from the 6 yd line after one of those. LSU defense has not had to face a dual-threat QB yet...