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Lightning -150 (contingent on Shesterkin/Vasilevskiy starting)
The posted Algo plays so far sitting at 3-2, +212 units (42.4% ROI). Since running the system beginning in October, the Algo has a 18.7% ROI. So these posted plays are outpacing a bit. Hopefully regression isn't too harsh. The AI algorithm usually doesn't highlight favorites - its geared towards finding undervalued dogs, mostly. But the Rangers-Lightning game set off an alarm bell. Vegas has TB with a ~57% probability to win - the algo is giving them 68.45%, so I figured I'd post it. May come back with another pick later. GL all. |
snuke | 1 |
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Bruins +170 Pens couldn't get it done in the earlier game, losing 2-1. The algo has Boston with 56.14% probability to win. GL! |
snuke | 2 |
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Penguins +160 Solid win yesterday on the Blackhawks play. The algo is liking the Pens early today with a ~70% win probability compared to Vegas favoring NJ with ~60% win prob. May post a late algo play tonight as well.
GL |
snuke | 3 |
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Blackhawks +130 Contingent on Knight and Wolf starting. Algo favors Chicago with ~68% probability to win, while odds makers have Flames at ~58%. GL all
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snuke | 3 |
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@snuke Correction, lower probability listed. |
snuke | 5 |
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@Bet2Win33 Yep, the line was -134 when I ran it, which is why I had a higher probability listed.
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snuke | 5 |
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Bruins +112 Oddsmakers have Ottawa as ~55% probability to win. The algo has Boston nearing 70% probability. Not sure I love the play but the ROI has been good so far early in the season. GL all
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snuke | 5 |
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@kuranes |
snuke | 5 |
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Penguins +146 Vegas giving Leafs ~61% probability. Algo saying Pens favored if Jarry starts.
Still backtesting the algorithm but positive ROI early on. |
snuke | 5 |
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Regression ftw |
snuke | 4 |
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Regression data strongly favoring the under here, with Shesterkin confirmed and Kuemper likely. Under 4.5 at around +240 gets a look, with the actual under set at 5.5 favored by the data. |
snuke | 4 |
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@tammy296 OK, still seeing it randomly. March 1st slate: the first two boxscore links (NAS-NYI, TB-WAS) go to blank pages. Some of the rest of the boxscores, however, seem to be working. |
snuke | 4 |
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NHL boxscore links from the scoreboard page are not working prior to yesterday:
https://www.covers.com/sport/hockey/nhl/boxscore/312130
A blank screen shows up. The boxscores from yesterday, March 4th, appear to be working. But everything before that isn't working.
Just wanted to give you the heads up. |
snuke | 4 |
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https://www.covers.com/sport/hockey/nhl/teams/main/carolina-hurricanes
Car vs. NYI Jan. 25th game is listing multiple times. |
snuke | 2 |
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If you had to call it now, who's in the Stanley Cup series? Not based on futures odds, as my answer would likely be different, but I like Dallas and Carolina... If Markstrom was healthy, my answer may be different. Jersey and Carolina are close. |
snuke | 1 |
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@tammy296 https://www.covers.com/sport/hockey/nhl/teams/main/new-york-rangers Recent Rangers-Avs game duplicating in the past results page. |
snuke | 7 |
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snuke | 7 |
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Here's one example: https://www.covers.com/sport/hockey/nhl/teams/main/new-york-islanders The Jan. 25 NYI-CAR game is listed 4 times in both teams' gamelogs! This is happening for a couple other teams' gamelogs as well. Just wanted to alert you.
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snuke | 7 |
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@tammy296 Thanks! Looks like it was updated. You guys are the best. I used to be a stats stringer so I know how feeds can sometimes fail to finalize games, etc which causes issues with the data. Thanks again!
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snuke | 10 |
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snuke | 10 |
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