Sidewinder11

Heat - Celtics

play Under 230.5

Daily recap:

Raptors 111 - Bucks 105 (L)

Sometimes you win by a mile; sometimes you lose by half a point — that’s sports betting. Brutal, but honest.

Even though this bet lost, it doesn’t mean it was a bad bet. Quite the opposite — I bought a good price.

In the long run, consistently beating the number is what matters, not the result of a single game.

Process over outcome. Always.

YTD 2-1-0 (Forum)

Good night, back tomorrow.

I believe I caught strong value on Bucks +5.5 in Streak Survivor, getting in minutes before the line moved :)

That’s the edge I’m looking for — price first, timing second, opinion last.

In the NBA, beating the number matters more than being right.

Raptors - Bucks

play Bucks +5.5

Huge NBA card tonight — a lot of numbers to digest, stay tuned.

(I don’t get notifications from covers.com about other forum user’s activities in my thread, have no idea how to fix that, so sorry if I don’t reply to you)

Daily recap:

Cavaliers 111 - Bulls 127 (W)

there you go, folks…

YTD 2-0-0

(Streak Survivor - riding a 4-game winning streak, 8-3-0 since my return)

Good night - back tomorrow.

Cavaliers - Bulls

play Under 242.5

NBA Model Update — No Qualified Plays Tonight

Quick transparency update for tonight’s NBA slate.

After running the full board through my model, none of the matchups met my minimum edge criteria. While there are games with movement and narrative appeal, pricing across the slate is efficient and the numbers don’t justify forced entries.

My approach is edge-driven, not action-driven:

• I only release plays when price + context + model alignment are present
• Passing on a slate is part of long-term discipline, not a negative outcome
• Avoiding marginal spots protects ROI just as much as winning bets

There will be nights where the best play is no play.

I’ll continue monitoring late movement and injury news, but as of now it’s a pass slate.

Back tomorrow when the market gives us something to attack.

Go to Streak Survivor Contest page:

NBA Results Log – Last 10 Plays

For transparency, here are my last 10 NBA picks, all posted pre-tip.

Record: 7–3 (70%)

Markets: Spreads & Totals only

Stake approach: Flat, single-leg plays

No parlays. No edits. No chasing.

Results:

• CHA +12 vs CLE (W)
• UTA / MEM Over 242.5 (W)
• NO +4.5 vs POR (W)
• SA / LAL Under 240.5 (L)
• MIA / ORL Under 235 (W)
• SA / NO Under 237.5 (L)
• PHI +4.5 vs LAL (W)
• GS +7.5 vs CLE (W)
• DAL +15 vs OKC (L)
• GS +4.5 vs PHI (W)

NBA is a high-variance market, so short runs don’t mean much by themselves. The process stays consistent:

• price > opinion
• numbers > narratives
• patience over volume

I’ll continue posting when the board shows real value, not just action for action’s sake.

Daily recap:

Hornets 119-Cavaliers 111 (AOT)

(Cavaliers scoreless in OT, I mean big fat O points in 5 minutes)

YTD 1-0-0

——

I’m back, baby. Probably most of you youngsters on this forum have never seen this thread before, well do yourself a favour and spend 5 minutes to study it as this is just the beginning. 

Hornets-Cavaliers,

play Hornets +12

Have not been here, on this forum for years hard to believe so much time has gone by so quickly. After a spectacular run back than (above) which ended in a slump I think its time to start all over again. Had to take a break from betting it was just too much at some point, break which turned out to be years. Wasn’t betting a lot since than but I was hanging around, kept on looking for a better formula to crack the code of sports betting and well what can I say, here I’m again  but now more experienced, more excited and for sure much older.

Enough talking, lets get things going shall we?

Stats RESET.

New beginning…will be dropping “bombs”for the rest of the NBA season let’s see how it goes.

Who is still here ready for action???

Oakland-San Diego OVER 10.5(-110)

YTD 3-4-0

Royals-White Sox UNDER 9(-105)

YTD 3-3-0

Metz-Yankees,Metz ml(-116)

YTD 2-3-0

Rockies-Giants UNDER 11.5(-110)

YTD 2-2-0

last one for tonight

Red Sox-Braves UNDER 9.5(-110)

YTD 1-0-0

Pirates-Cubs OVER 9.5 (-116)

Astros-Rangers UNDER 9 (-131)

YTD 1-0-0

Hi all, let’s start things off with:

Reds-Cardinals OVER 9.5 (-116)

Cincinnati for a sweep these guys are burning hot...