ParlayBuster

Friday (11/21) was frustrating. Canisius and NW took it to the final seconds. They gave it their all. I don't know anything about these teams, but to lose by a bucket in one game and the hook in the other really gives you an idea on how tight these lines are. At least the early game came through.

LOST (-104) -3.5 Canisius vs. MD Eastern 
LOST (-110) +3.5 Northwestern @ Virginia (might hit ML, but I'm taking the points) 

WON (-115) -4.5 BYU vs. Wisconsin 
WON (-115) O162.5 WIS/BYU 

WON (+228) Single game Parlay -4.5 BYU vs. WIS/O162.5 

2025-2026 Record:

Singles (10-6)

Parlay (2-1)

Saturday (11/22) has a big selection of picks. These are just guesses, because I have no clue about NCAA Basketball. Lines keep moving, but the games I can't seem to escape are the top 3 and are going into a parlay. The bottom 4 are just thrown in there to see what happens. Got $35 on these plays.

(-110) -24.5 MARQUETTE vs. CMU
(-110) -24.5 OKLAHOMA ST vs. NICHOLS
(-112) O173.5 KENT ST. vs. CLE

(-102) +4.5 UC SANTA BARBARA @ NEVADA
(-102) +4.5 WESTERN CAROLINA @ LIPSCOMB

PARLAY (+589) -24.5 MARQ/OK ST/O174.5 KENT STvsCLE

PARLAY (+292) UC SANTA BARBARA/WEST CAROLINA

For Thursday (11/20), I forgot to bet these (focused on NBA and College Football). Lost everywhere except the picks I didn't bet. 

WON (-110) U157.5 TENNESSE vs. TENNESSEE STATE

WON (-110) -11.5 SAINT BONAVENTURE vs. ROBERT MORRIS

WON PARLAY PICK - (+264) U157.5 TEN/TEN ST & -11.5 ROBERT MORRIS/BONAVENTURE (all or nothing)

2025-2026 Record:

Singles (8-4)

Parlay (1-1)

For Friday (11/21), I don't know anything about these teams, so have no clue if they hit. But, I'll sprinkle a little on them and see if they pay.

(-104) -3.5 Canisius vs. MD Eastern
(-110) +3.5 Northwestern @ Virginia (might hit ML, but I'm taking the points)

(-115) -4.5 BYU vs. Wisconsin
(-115) O162.5 WIS/BYU

Single game Parlay (+228) -4.5 BYU vs. WIS/O162.5

My most confident pick lost and less confident swept. Wanted to do a single-game parlay on the CHATTANOOGA game, and chickened out at the last minute. Of course, it hit (CHATT ATS & UNDER). 

WON (-114)-11.5 Chattanooga @ SC State (got it by the hook)
LOST (-105) O151.5 MARQUETTE vs. DAYTON

LOST (-108) U149.5 UMass Lowell @ Bradley (put this with my HARVARD/PSU pick in a parlay thinking Bradley was good, but it was the parlay buster). 

Posted record:

Singles (6-4)

Parlay (0-1)

For Thursday (11/20), could only find 2 plays...

(-110) U157.5 TENNESSE vs. TENNESSEE STATE
(-110) -11.5 SAINT BONAVENTURE vs. ROBERT MORRIS

I don't feel confident about either one of these, so this is a parlay.

PARLAY PICK - (+264) U157.5 TEN/TEN ST & -11.5 ROBERT MORRIS/BONAVENTURE (all or nothing)

Last night, could have been great.

WON (-108) ARLINGTON +2.5 @ EVANSVILLE

LOST (-110) LITTLE ROCK +14.5 @ MURRAY STATE

WON (-105) U162.5 GEORGIA SOUTHERN/GEORGIA TECH

So close to hitting but Little Rock just wasn't up to the task.

Singles (5-2)

Parlay (0-1)

For Wednesday (11/19), it is...

(-114)-11.5 Chattanooga @ SC State
(-105) O151.5 MARQUETTE vs. DAYTON

(-108) U149.5 UMass Lowell @ Bradley

Was going to put U156.5 Chattanooga @ SC State in there, but as I was putting this post together, the line dropped by 2 points to 154.5. Something is happening in that game, so I will keep my eye on it and see if it moves back.

WON (-110) OAK +12.5 @ UCF

WON (-110) VCU +12.5 @ NC State

LOSS (-112) OVER 150.5 WEST GA/TENN TECH

WON (-106) LAF +24.5 @ WEST VIRGINA

Can't believe so many hit.

For Tuesday (11/18), it's...

(-108) ARLINGTON +2.5 @ EVANSVILLE
(-110) LITTLE ROCK +14.5 @ MURRAY STATE
(-105) U162.5 GEORGIA SOUTHERN/GEORGIA TECH

Put these in a 3-pick parlay. This is a long shot, but what the hell.

@Parlay_pal

 Well, you clearly know more about this than i do. 

Removed OAK and VCU, because of line movement.

My PARLAY +271 - (-112) OVER 150.5 WEST GA/TENN TECH // (-106) LAF +24.5 @ WEST VIRGINA

I just can't figure out College BBall. How do you cap this stuff? Feels like flipping a coin.

Maybe these SDQL picks work.

(-110) OAK +12.5 @ UCF

(-110) VCU +12.5 @ NC State

(-112) OVER 150.5 WEST GA/TENN TECH

(-106) LAF +24.5 @ WEST VIRGINA

@smellybunty

If it looked like a bunch of teams did the same thing on a total, then that is what i picked.

If it looked like a bunch of team did the same thing on a line, then that is what I picked.

So, if there were nothing but overs on 47.5, for week 8, then that is what I picked.

Worked good for week 7, so figured why not try it again.

SIDES

ARMY +9.5 @ TULANE
ARMY ML @ TULANE
USC +9.5 @ NOTRE DAME
USC ML

MISSISSIPPI STATE +9.5 @ FLORIDA
MISSISSIPPI STATE ML

CONNECTICUT +1.5 @ BOSTON COLLEGE
CONNECTICUT ML

TOTALS

O47.5 EASTERN MICH/MIAMI OF OHIO
O47.5 ARIZONA/HOUSTON
O47.5 VANDERBILT/LSU
O61.5 UTAH STATE/SAN JOSE STATE
U64.5 NORTH TEXAS/UTSA

Have been awful for 2025, going 0-5 for the NFL this season. Total square bettor. I only look at records, if it is a divisional game, and the line. Tempted to fade myself but you all know what happens when you do that.

So, here are my picks for the upcoming week.

SFO +7 @ LAR - A TD seems like a lot for a division game, between two teams with good records.

MIN -3.5 @ CLE - I like just over a FG for a bad team, at home. CLE might make it close, but not that close.

LVR +7 @ IND - The lucky horseshoe can win, but not by a TD.  

PHI -3.5 vs DEN - Yes, I'll take the defending Super Bowl champs at home, for just over a FG, against a mediocre team.

SEA -3.5 vs TB - Taking the home team here, given they both have good records.

ARI -7.5 vs TEN - This is a no-brainer, with a line like -7.5 at home and TEN winless.

WAC ML @ LAC - I don't like to bet two teams, from the same city, winning on the same day. So, WAC it is.

DET -10.5 @ CIN - To me, this line is ridiculous it has to hit. You get the same points at home vs CLE as you do on the road vs. CIN?

NYJ ML vs DAL - Going with NYJ to snap their losing streak at home. Sure, NYJ was bad against a bad team, but DAL did not look that great on Sunday night, either. Yeah they scored 40 points, but at home, and it only got them a tie.

NOS -2.5 vs NYG - Another example that I do not like to bet both teams to win on the same day, from the same city. It could be DAL and NYG or NYJ and NOS, but I think the NFC East takes the hit here. Only PHI wins and covers on Sunday from the division.

NEP -8 @ BUF - Do not like TD+ numbers for divisional games.

KCC -3.5 @ JAX - I cant believe JAX is good this year. They'll have to prove it to me with this game.

Just my thoughts looking at the lines.

Oops.

RELIABLE ROAD FAVORITES IND -2.5 (L6 0-6 ATS/1-5 SU) Had the record in the wrong place.

I know it's early (usually wait until after Thanksgiving), but decided to see how it goes with more than two weeks of games in the books.

MOST UN-RELIABLE LAC (NOP OKC SAS)

The wild train is LAC, this season. How is it that NOP OKC are so wild year after year? These guys just can't play a straight game. Funny seeing SAS here.

MOST RELIABLE WAW ORL IND

It is amazing how these 3 teams (NYK HOU LAL) are so consistent season after season. These guys don't do comebacks or collapses. Either they win early or they don't.

RELIABLE HOME FAVORITES NYK -8 // HOU -4.5 // LAL -6.5 (L10 9-0 ATS/9-0 SU)

RELIABLE ROAD FAVORITES IND -2.5 (L6 1-5 ATS/0-6 SU)

RELIABLE HOME DOG ORL +2.5 (4-1 ATS/3-2 SU)

RELIABLE ROAD DOG WAW +8.5 (3-8-1 ATS/2-10 SU)

My picks... NYK ATS // HOU ATS // LAL ATS // ORL ML

2024-2025 Season

HOME FAVORITES (9-0 ATS/9-0 SU)

ROAD FAVORITES (1-5 ATS/0-6 SU)

Well, Detroit has been celebrating getting into the playoffs.

I could see a BIG letdown here. Or, at least, they don't take the game too seriously since they broke a 10-year playoff drought and just want to take it easy.

Plus, it's raining, so there's that.

CHW ML +180

Can't ever seem to win betting against the KC QB.

But, let's try it again.

Got some reliable SDQL queries I play when they get on a run.

If anyone remembers Professor MJ's bad offense angle, then they will understand my COLD BATS angle.

CHW has not scored over 3 runs in their past 2 games on the road. They are on the ROAD against SDP as a BIG DOG.

I wouldn't try the SDP RL, unless you want to gamble.

This angle has seen the last 4 teams LOSE SU (yesterday 9/19 WAW lost to CHC 6-7).

Going BIG on this one since the line is so terrible.

I just hope he keeps posting until the end of the season.

It's the only way to gauge the performance over an extended period of time.

The best systems have their down periods. This could just be variance. But, you won't know if he stops posting picks.

Yeah... where did he go?

I need my picks for Monday. It's a new week. Time to start fresh.

LFG

No capping here. Just messing around with killersports SDQL machine.

One day bet --> 1st game after All Star Break

AASB and p:BASB and p:W and HD and season > 2010 and op:W

6 straight RL win streak since 2021. Let's make it 8.

Parlay BAL RL -1.5 & SFG RL -1.5 +300

NO BLOWN LEADS out of 10. Okay, that's weird. Then again, the night before was weird too, with 3 of 4 with comebacks and all ATS DOGS. TNT always has that drama.

Took a break to recover from some serious casino baccarat losses. Need to re-double my efforts on NBA to get my bankroll back.

ROAD DOGS have been killing it the last 3 days, going 4-0. CHI +11 was the biggest upset of that stretch. CHI has been rolling lately... 9-1 ATS L10.

 If I get on one good team and ride it, those losses will disappear fast.

RELIABLE FAVORITES PHI -2.5 WON / NYK -1.5 WON / HOU -2.5 LOST / SAC -3.5 LOST

ROAD FAVORITES NYK -1.5 WON / DEN -3.5 WON / LAL -3.5 LOST / LAC -2 WON

RELIABLE HOME DOG CHI +3.5 WON

RELIABLE AWAY DOG NONE

RELIABLE picks... PHI -2.5 WON / NYK -1.5 WON / HOU -2.5 LOST / SAC -3.5 LOST / CHI +3.5 WON (Well, it was progress.)

Decent line-up for a Thursday. And, no TNT drama.

MOST UN-RELIABLE TEAM NOP IND MIN

NOP has got to be the worst team in the league, on the ROAD, for a consistent game. You have to expect a crazy game. IND is almost as bad on the ROAD. It is so strange to see MIN have so many games with comebacks at HOME. They love to play catch-up and have an 11-1 HOME record to show for it.

MOST RELIABLE TEAM CHI (MEM MIL)

The 2nd most rock solid team in the NBA is in action CHI. These guys know how to play a straight game. Just behind are MEM MIL. This is the stable side of the league.

RELIABLE FAVORITES DET -2.5 / CHI -6 / MEM -2.5 / MIL -8.5 (CHI is hot. DET is not. MEM has Ja. MIL blew the cover last game vs. SAS.)

ROAD FAVORITES NOP -3.5

RELIABLE HOME DOG NONE

RELIABLE AWAY DOG SAS +6

RELIABLE picks... DET -2.5 / CHI -6 / MEM -2.5 / MIL -8.5 (Going to stick with the HOME DOGS and fade the ROAD DOGS until the New Year and re-evaluate.)

RELIABLE Season: 71-78-1 ATS

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RELIABLE FAVORITES started 11/01/2023

SU 91-44 / ATS 70-64-1

SU (67-26 HOME / 25-17 AWAY)

ATS (48-44-1 HOME / 22-20 AWAY)