LippyLeans

@westlake888

 I also can’t see a Nuggets season sweep. They’ve got one more regular season game in March but that’s a tougher spot for Houston as it’ll be 2nd of a b2b with travel from Toronto to Denver. I’ll take my chances on the quick turn around revenge spot today, especially with the early start time. 

Agreed on Houston. Keep killin’ it West. 

A bunch of guys out for Cleveland including Donovan Mitchell as a new addition to the list. 

@LippyLeans

 Nvm, I found plenty of Knicks backers haha 

@westlake888

 BOL west. I want to support this side, but I hate not seeing anyone on the Knicks. May look for a live play.

 One thing’s for sure: Wemby wants this more than anyone on either side. The guy has come 2nd A LOT in his life so far. Too much. Plenty of guys are motivated by money. This guy actually wants the trophy. Hopefully the universe rewards that. 

@StraightWagers

 I believe it is a reference to the Pistons’ 13 game winning streak earlier this season that ended in Boston on Nov. 26th 

Congrats on the big win with Aces. I was just about to post Lynx -6 too. Love em’ off a loss and love it even more with the Valks having just clinched. BOL 

I like the Citron play. NYL is a good matchup for her, but she hasn’t played that well in the first two games. Could see 20+ tonight if we just get a little regression. 

@MrFreedo

 FWIW, Allisha Gray career high in eFg%, points, rebounds, and assists. Compared to last year she is up 3 points, 1 rebound, and 1 assist per game. The real improvement is in the consistency, which won’t show in averages. Less highs and lows from her than any other year. Atlanta has been able to depend on her scoring most nights and that’s the real improvement. Still, I expect Burton to get this one. 

I really don’t understand how Naz is the favourite for 6poy. She has started the last 11 games for Atlanta and probably continues to start for them the rest of the season. 

Shepard is getting similar attention for how she filled in with Collier hurt. 

Bonner has been surprisingly good off the bench in PHX, but that’s mostly just in the month of August. 

In my opinion, the best bench player over the course of the season has been Natisha Heideman. I don’t expect her to win the award, but I think she’s had the most consistent impact off the bench (0 starts) of any player this season. 

Nicely done. 

@westlake888

 FWIW, the longest win streak in WNBA regular season history is 18 for the Sparks. 13 would set a franchise record for Las Vegas, but the record is only 2 years old. I don’t know how much motivation there is for A’ja, Jackie, Chelsea, Stokes, and Becky to tie or break their own record. Beating Minnesota should be a much bigger goal. 

Ya, Aces lost by 53 to Minnesota and have won 11 straight since that game. 

@westlake888

 I appreciate the kind words, especially from one of the only cappers here whose posts I look for. 

That game is tough. Aces are clearly on a mission right now, but Dream have been underrated all season. I think the spot definitely favours Atlanta, but it’s just so difficult to bet against Las Vegas right now. With 11 straight wins, it’s odd to see them as 3.5 point dogs and you have to think that will be the popular choice tonight.

Aces surprisingly 2-0 in this series with this being the last game of the regular season between the two clubs. I say surprisingly because they picked up the first win when they were not playing very well. 

This is by far the biggest game for Atlanta until the playoffs. Last 6 games are vDAL, @CON, vLAS, vLAS, vSun, and @Sun. A win tonight and they could easily finish the season on a 10 game win streak. 

Aces are going to drop one before season end. They have Minnesota coming up after this game and their strong play basically started after that 50 point beatdown by Minnesota (or whatever it was. Something massive like that.). Really, all the other wins don’t mean much if they can’t compete with Minnesota so there’s plenty of fuel for the look ahead. 

I don’t know if I will bet this one, but if I do it’ll be Atlanta. I would also side with the under, if forced. Playoff feel and all that with both teams cracking down of late. 

It must be so annoying to constantly hear about how an opposing player is undefeated on your home floor. Unfortunately, there isn’t anything Connecticut can do to end that streak this season as Dallas went 2-0 @Sun earlier this season, but they can avoid a season sweep to Dallas with a win on the road tonight. 

Dallas has 9 wins. I refuse to believe they can sweep anyone this season, including the Sun who have been playing much better of late, especially on the defensive side of the ball which is why I’m trusting them tonight even on the road. 

Connecticut also has 9 wins but they are 4-6 their last ten opposed to wings 1-9. Health is also clearly on the side of Connecticut tonight. 

Sun may not even need heavy contributions from Tina tonight, but she’s a great safety valve. Geiselsoder is basically the only healthy big left for Dallas and Tina went for 27 in game 1 and 26 in game 2 when Dallas had more options to throw at her. 

CON Sun ML please and thank you. 

I have defended this Lynx team to many over the course of the season and I hate betting against them no matter who is healthy, but this is the biggest game of the season for NYL. I am on it too. BOL

Ouch. 

Paige Bueckers has not had back to back games under 20 since May 21st&24th. She has seven games of 20+ this season and 4 of them have come on the road, including a career high 35 @PHX, 21 in both wins @CON, and 20 in Washington (a game that went to OT). She would not have hit 20 in the Washington game without the extra 5 minutes, but what stands out to me is that in road games where Dallas has been competitive, Paige has been a big offensive factor. It is also worth noting that Arike played in that Washington game. Paige's 11 points and 27% from the field in the blowout loss @PHX are both her lowest marks since May 24th. Her 3 assists is her lowest mark on the road all season. The matchup looks really good to me.

She's had 7 or more assists in 5 of 9 road games this season and Chicago gives em up at the 4th highest rate. 

She has scored 12% of her points in the RZ and Sky are 11th defending that area.

She has scored 24% of her points above the break beyond the arc and Sky are 12th defending that area.

She has scored 36% of her points inside the arc and outside the paint. Sky are 10th defending that area. 

>72% of points scored in areas where Chicago is bottom 4 D. 

She has scored 23% of her points as the PNR ball handler. Chicago is 12th defending that action.

She has scored 14% of her points in transition. Chicago again 12th.

With another 16% coming at the line, as long as she gets a few calls tonight the 20 feels pretty inevitable.

Paige Bueckers o19.5 points @-105

risk: 1.26u

Paige Bueckers o6.5 assists @+170

risk: 0.6u

Nice hit. Go wings.

@Digitalkarma

 15/10/15 doesn’t do it for ya, huh? Tough guy to please. 

Either way, looking like a season high today with 15 already in the first half.