KC-since-92

TNF breakdown is up on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.

This episode focuses on Thursday Night Football predictions, player props, and Field Goal betting, using spreadsheet-based modeling and probability analysis — not narratives.

Covered in this TNF video:
• Game prediction using pace, efficiency, and matchup data
• Player props with clear statistical edges
• Field Goal markets, including FG attempt volume, red-zone efficiency, drive-stall rates, and game script probability
• Why FG bets often present better value than traditional props

If you follow NFL betting, props, or analytics, this is a solid TNF resource 

Watch here: [Week 16 TNF Preview Link]

“…in the world of sports betting, everyone is right and everyone is wrong — have fun.”

I just dropped a brand-new episode of Spreadsheets Sports, and this week’s breakdown is 100% focused on Division matchups only. No out-of-division noise — just the games that actually move playoff positioning and give us the cleanest statistical edges.

In the video, I break down:

• All Week 14 Division Games Only

• My top player props using matchup-based analytics

• Best spread & total plays from my projection model

• Bonus bets and value angles the books are missing

• Where the line movement matters — and where it doesn’t

If you’re looking for data-driven picks rather than gut calls, this week’s episode is packed.

Full YouTube Episode:
Wk 14 Division Games Video

Drop your thoughts, plays, or disagreements — I always like comparing notes with the Covers community.

Good luck this week and cash those conference tickets!

I just dropped a brand-new episode of Spreadsheets Sports, and this week’s breakdown is 100% focused on Conference matchups only. No out-of-conference noise — just the games that actually move playoff positioning and give us the cleanest statistical edges.

 In the video, I break down:

• All Week 14 Conference Games Only

• My top player props using matchup-based analytics

• Best spread & total plays from my projection model

• Bonus bets and value angles the books are missing

• Where the line movement matters — and where it doesn’t

If you’re looking for data-driven picks rather than gut calls, this week’s episode is packed.

Full YouTube Episode:
 Wk 14 Video of Conf GMs

Drop your thoughts, plays, or disagreements — I always like comparing notes with the Covers community.

Good luck this week and cash those conference tickets!

Monday Night Football is here, and I’ve broken down the Giants vs. Patriots matchup using a full data-driven model—no guessing, no bias, just analytics.
In this MNF breakdown, I dive into:

  Game Prediction & Score Projection
 Key Matchup Edges (QB play, pass rush, trenches, injuries, momentum)
 Player Props with the strongest statistical edges
 Trend-based angles + distribution modeling to find value
 My final pick for the MNF game: spread, total, and props

 Watch the full MNF Giants vs Patriots prediction now:
Spreadsheets Sports on YouTube

If you track NFL betting, player props, analytics, or modeling, this breakdown gives you the numbers you need before placing a bet!!

Week 13 is live, and I just dropped a full analytics-powered breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.

Watch the full Week 13 video here:
 Week 13 Picks + Props + Bonus Bets

If you’re looking for sharp edges backed by real data — not guesses — this week’s video dives deep into matchup-based game picks, high-value player props, and a Bonus Bet built off multi-week metrics and trend confirmation.

In this Week 13 breakdown, I cover:
• Week 13 Game Picks & Predictions using pace metrics, efficiency grades, matchup scoring models, and situational factors
• Top Player Props across passing, rushing, receiving, and TD markets with clear statistical edges
• Key matchup advantages, including OL/DL mismatches, coverage fits, player usage trends, route participation changes, and defensive vulnerabilities
• A data-supported Bonus Bet of the Week based on distribution projections, historical angles, and matchup signals
• Value spots, trap lines, and potential upset calls you won’t see from the books

If you follow NFL betting, props, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is a strong weekly resource to add to your routine!

Week 13 is live, and I just dropped a full analytics-powered breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.

Watch the full Week 13 video here:
 Week 13 Picks + Props + Bonus Bets

If you’re looking for sharp edges backed by real data — not guesses — this week’s video dives deep into matchup-based game picks, high-value player props, and a Bonus Bet built off multi-week metrics and trend confirmation.

In this Week 13 breakdown, I cover:
• Week 13 Game Picks & Predictions using pace metrics, efficiency grades, matchup scoring models, and situational factors
• Top Player Props across passing, rushing, receiving, and TD markets with clear statistical edges
• Key matchup advantages, including OL/DL mismatches, coverage fits, player usage trends, route participation changes, and defensive vulnerabilities
• A data-supported Bonus Bet of the Week based on distribution projections, historical angles, and matchup signals
• Value spots, trap lines, and potential upset calls you won’t see from the books

If you follow NFL betting, props, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is a strong weekly resource to add to your routine!

@OverchinJr

  Thanks for reaching out... Good Luck today!!

Week 13 is here, and I’ve dropped a fresh, data-driven breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.
If you’re looking for real analytical edges — not guesses — this week’s video digs deep into matchup numbers, projection modeling, efficiency metrics, and player-level data to give you a clearer read on the board.

Check out the full Week 13 breakdown here:
?? Spreadsheets Sports on YouTube (search: Spreadsheets Sports NFL Week 13)

In this week’s breakdown, I cover:

• Week 13 Game Picks & Predictions using pace factors, efficiency grades, red zone analytics, and matchup-scoring models
• Top Player Props across rushing, receiving, passing, and touchdown markets — all supported by usage trends and projection gaps
• Key Matchup Advantages, including OL vs DL mismatches, defensive coverage tendencies, route participation spikes, and target share movement
• A Bonus Bet of the Week, backed by multi-game trend alignment, distribution analysis, and model-flagged value

If you follow NFL betting, props, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is a strong weekly tool to add to your routine!!

Week 13 is here, and I’ve dropped a fresh, data-driven breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.
If you’re looking for real analytical edges — not guesses — this week’s video digs deep into matchup numbers, projection modeling, efficiency metrics, and player-level data to give you a clearer read on the board.

Check out the full Week 13 breakdown here:
?? Spreadsheets Sports on YouTube (search: Spreadsheets Sports NFL Week 13)

In this week’s breakdown, I cover:

• Week 13 Game Picks & Predictions using pace factors, efficiency grades, red zone analytics, and matchup-scoring models
• Top Player Props across rushing, receiving, passing, and touchdown markets — all supported by usage trends and projection gaps
• Key Matchup Advantages, including OL vs DL mismatches, defensive coverage tendencies, route participation spikes, and target share movement
• A Bonus Bet of the Week, backed by multi-game trend alignment, distribution analysis, and model-flagged value

If you follow NFL betting, props, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is a strong weekly tool to add to your routine!!

Week 13 is here, and I’ve dropped a fresh, data-driven breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.
If you’re looking for real analytical edges — not guesses — this week’s video digs deep into matchup numbers, projection modeling, efficiency metrics, and player-level data to give you a clearer read on the board.

Check out the full Week 13 breakdown here:
?? Spreadsheets Sports on YouTube (search: Spreadsheets Sports NFL Week 13)

In this week’s breakdown, I cover:

• Week 13 Game Picks & Predictions using pace factors, efficiency grades, red zone analytics, and matchup-scoring models
• Top Player Props across rushing, receiving, passing, and touchdown markets — all supported by usage trends and projection gaps
• Key Matchup Advantages, including OL vs DL mismatches, defensive coverage tendencies, route participation spikes, and target share movement
• A Bonus Bet of the Week, backed by multi-game trend alignment, distribution analysis, and model-flagged value

If you follow NFL betting, props, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is a strong weekly tool to add to your routine!!

Week 13 is here, and I’ve dropped a fresh, data-driven breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.
If you’re looking for real analytical edges — not guesses — this week’s video digs deep into matchup numbers, projection modeling, efficiency metrics, and player-level data to give you a clearer read on the board.

Check out the full Week 13 breakdown here:
?? Spreadsheets Sports on YouTube (search: Spreadsheets Sports NFL Week 13)

In this week’s breakdown, I cover:

• Week 13 Game Picks & Predictions using pace factors, efficiency grades, red zone analytics, and matchup-scoring models
• Top Player Props across rushing, receiving, passing, and touchdown markets — all supported by usage trends and projection gaps
• Key Matchup Advantages, including OL vs DL mismatches, defensive coverage tendencies, route participation spikes, and target share movement
• A Bonus Bet of the Week, backed by multi-game trend alignment, distribution analysis, and model-flagged value

If you follow NFL betting, props, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is a strong weekly tool to add to your routine!!

Week 12 is here, and I’ve dropped a fresh, data-driven breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel — this week with a heavy focus on PLAYER PROPS.
If you’re hunting for props with real statistical edges instead of speculation, this episode dives deep into usage data, matchup metrics, pace factors, and distribution-based projections to uncover the most actionable values on the board.

In this week’s breakdown, I dig into:

• Top Week 12 Player Props across rushing, receiving, passing, and TD markets — all backed by advanced metrics, red-zone rates, usage trends, and matchup indicators
• Game Picks & Predictions powered by pace analytics, efficiency grades, and matchup-scoring models
• Key matchup advantages, including OL vs DL mismatches, target share movement, route participation shifts, RB usage profiles, and defensive vulnerabilities
• A Bonus Bet of the Week supported by multi-game trends, historical data, and statistical distribution analysis

If you follow props, NFL betting, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is one of the most data-grounded weekly resources you can plug into.

Check out the full Week 12 video here:
?? Spreadsheets Sports on YouTube (search: Spreadsheets Sports NFL Week 12)

Week 12 is here, and I’ve dropped a full data-driven breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.
If you’re looking for sharp edges backed by real analytics — not guesses — this week’s video covers everything from matchup-based game picks to high-value player props and a Bonus Bet supported by strong trend and model signals.

In this week’s breakdown, I dig into:
• Week 12 Game Picks & Predictions using pace metrics, efficiency grades, and matchup-scoring models
• Top Player Props across rushing, receiving, passing, and TD markets with clear statistical edges
• Key matchup advantages, including OL vs DL mismatches, player usage trends, route participation shifts, target share movement, and defensive tendencies
• A Bonus Bet of the Week built off multi-game metrics, historical angles, and distribution-based projections

If you follow NFL betting, props, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is a strong weekly resource to plug into your routine.

Check out the full Week 12 video here:
??

 Spreadsheets Sports NFL Week 12

"...in the world of sports betting, everyone is right and everyone is wrong.... have fun"

Week 12 is here, and I’ve dropped a full data-driven breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.
If you’re looking for sharp edges backed by real analytics — not guesses — this week’s video covers everything from matchup-based game picks to high-value player props and a Bonus Bet supported by strong trend and model signals.

In this week’s breakdown, I dig into:
• Week 12 Game Picks & Predictions using pace metrics, efficiency grades, and matchup-scoring models
• Top Player Props across rushing, receiving, passing, and TD markets with clear statistical edges
• Key matchup advantages, including OL vs DL mismatches, player usage trends, route participation shifts, target share movement, and defensive tendencies
• A Bonus Bet of the Week built off multi-game metrics, historical angles, and distribution-based projections

If you follow NFL betting, props, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is a strong weekly resource to plug into your routine.

Check out the full Week 12 video here:
?? Spreadsheets Sports on YouTube (search: Spreadsheets Sports NFL Week 12)

"...in the world of sports betting, everyone is right and everyone is wrong.... have fun"

Week 11 is here, and I’ve dropped a full data-driven breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.
If you’re looking for sharp edges backed by real analytics — not guesses — this week’s video covers everything from matchup-based game picks to high-value player props and a Bonus Bet with strong trend support.

In this week’s breakdown, I dig into:
• Week 11 Game Picks & Predictions using pace metrics, efficiency data, and matchup scoring models
• Top Player Props across rushing, receiving, passing, and TD markets
• Key matchup advantages, including OL vs DL metrics, player usage trends, target share movement, and defensive vulnerabilities
• A Bonus Bet of the Week built off multi-game data signals and distribution analysis

If you follow NFL betting, props, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is a strong weekly resource to add to your routine.
Check out the full Week 11 video here:
?? Spreadsheets Sports on YouTube (search: Spreadsheets Sports NFL Week 11)

Week 11 is here, and I’ve dropped a full data-driven breakdown on my Spreadsheets Sports YouTube channel.
If you’re looking for sharp edges backed by real analytics — not guesses — this week’s video covers everything from matchup-based game picks to high-value player props and a Bonus Bet with strong trend support.

In this week’s breakdown, I dig into:
• Week 11 Game Picks & Predictions using pace metrics, efficiency data, and matchup scoring models
• Top Player Props across rushing, receiving, passing, and TD markets
• Key matchup advantages, including OL vs DL metrics, player usage trends, target share movement, and defensive vulnerabilities
• A Bonus Bet of the Week built off multi-game data signals and distribution analysis

If you follow NFL betting, props, analytics, or spreadsheet-based modeling, this is a strong weekly resource to add to your routine.
Check out the full Week 11 video here:
?? Spreadsheets Sports on YouTube (search: Spreadsheets Sports NFL Week 11)

It’s time to lock in for NFL Week 10 — and the Spreadsheets Sports Model is back with full-slate predictions, data-driven player props, and my top-rated Bonus Bet for Sunday and Monday Night Football!! 

This week’s show breaks down:

Model projections for spreads, totals, and player props

Confidence ratings & matchup analytics

High-value player edges based on defensive tendencies and team metrics

My Bonus Bet of the Week — the single play the model ranks highest vs. market lines

Whether you’re betting sides, totals, or props, this video gives you the numbers behind the bets — all powered by real data and weekly player trend tracking.  Watch my video for full analysis:   https://youtu.be/0XJKyFYfS_k

LV OVER 13.5 Tm Pts (-190)

T Franklin OVER 40 yds Receiving (-160)

Bo Nix Pass Yds OVER 225 (-120)

Combine on a Parlay for combined Odds of +225..... Good Luck!!

Hey Covers community!

Just dropped my Week 10 TNF Preview on YouTube — full breakdown of game picks, team totals, and player props using my Spreadsheets Sports Model ??

? Full Game Analysis
? Offensive/Defensive Matchups
? Best Bets vs. the Spread
? Player Prop Probabilities
? Value edges based on data

?? Featured Game: [Insert TNF matchup, e.g., Raiders vs. Bengals]
My model projects a few surprising player prop edges and a potential swing against the line.

 https://youtu.be/ntMf4Th7EiM

Would love to hear what you guys think — drop your favorite prop or side for tonight below!

Get ready for the NCAA Men's Championship Game with sharp insight and confident picks. In this video, I break down the final matchup with a focus on betting angles, team trends, coaching strategies, and matchup edges. Whether you're looking for a straight bet or value in the prop market, this preview covers it all.

Watch now and get the edge before tip-off: https://youtu.be/RP8aLM06_8g 

Good Luck tonight and Have Fun....Hope you Enjoy!!