Indigo999

  k)  A divisional home favorite before week 9 that has at least an average total yards deficit of -50 yards/game.....72-93-4 ATS (-1.1),.....if they are favored less than 7 points this moves to 55-74 ATS....and if their next game is on Thursday it moves to 1-5-1 ATS (-4.0), 3-4 straight up (-2.0).....VERSUS Steelers

Here are the numbers for teams off a loss by one point.

  a)  away loss, now away 31-22 ATS

  b)  home loss, now away 48-48 ATS.....relevant to Cardinals this week

  c)  home loss, now home 19-25 ATS

  d)  away loss, now home 54-66 ATS

Looks like home teams have slightly underperformed off a close 1 point loss, but NOT away teams.

p:L and p:margin=-1 and site and p:site and playoffs=0 and n:playoffs=0

Cardinals have 29% of bettors on them this week, which is precisely one reason why we'd consider them....those teams with less than 35% of the public on them went either 4-1 or 5-1 last week depending on your source.......if 4% of the public are winners, it is a winning strategy to play on those teams that everyone says,..."how can you consider betting on THAT team?"

  j)  A home team before week 10, who has won their last three games at home, won their previous game at home and their present opponent lost their previous game at home.....13-27 ATS (-5.5), 23-18 straight up (+1.3).....VERSUS Colts, Jaguars

If that home team that won their last three home games won their last game as a home dog, this has been either 1-8 or 2-7 ATS depending on whether you use gimmethedog or killersports as your source......VERSUS Jags

tS(W@H, N=3)=3 and p:HDW and H and week < 10 and op:HL

Plays:  

Adding:

1)  Seahawks pik

2)  Lions +2

_____________________________________

3)  Browns +5

4)  Chargers -4

DELETED Cardinals due to Murray injury uncertainty.

  g)  A team that has had the sequence home dog win, away loss, and now a home favorite of more than a point has gone 34-73-2 (-3.1)......VERSUS Chiefs.......if their opponent is off an away win this moves to 0-11 ATS (-12.5), 2-9 straight up (-8.1)

pp:HDW and p:AL and HF and line < -1 and op:AW

  h)  A divisional away favorite with at least four wins, off their first loss of the year their previous game, 3-6 ATS (-4.7), 3-6 straight up......VERSUS Eagles.

  i)  A dog of less than 13 points with a win/loss record of 0-5 off a sequence of away loss, home loss has been 13-3 ATS (+3.4), 7-9 straight up (-3.5).......ON Jets

t:wins=0 and t:losses=5 and D and line<13 and p:HL and pp:AL  

I am not opposing you, and I appreciate your contributions....however you said "I don't know what convinced you........." and it was in my thread in detail  as it always is, the rationale behind what I do. 

I wouldn't play Tennessee if there was a 50-0 angle supporting them....and I may still play the Raiders, but it has given me some trepidation should I decide to go forward....I won't have it on my listed plays regardless.

Good fortune with your plays.

The one thing I would ask should you come onto my thread(s), is that you or other query-heads  explain the parameters of your query so that those who don't use killersports or any other databases know what the abbreviations mean.

    f)  Play on an away dog whose present opponent will be at least a 7 point underdog their next game....365-214-21, 63%, (+4.0).....ON Titans.....if that away dog  is off an away dog win this moves to 28-12 ATS.......ON Titans

Raiders lookahead line next week at KC is +10.

All you guys gotta do is read through the threads to get my rationale.....

Yes, I am vacillating on this game.

  h)  A favorite who won as a home dog on MNF their previous game....17-7 ATS (+4.0), 20-9 straight up (7.6)........ON Jaguars

Plays.....

1)  Browns +5

2)  Cardinals +6.5

3)  Chargers -4

  g)  Play ON an away dog who will be at least a 6 point favorite their next game.....426-324-24 (+2.6), 56.8%......ON Bears

Bears' lookahead line is -6.5 next week at home to Saints.

Sadly, I am going to have to DELETE my Raiders play.

    f)  Play on an away dog whose present opponent will be at least a 7 point underdog their next game....365-214-21, 63%, (+4.0).....ON Titans.....if that away dog  is off an away dog win this moves to 28-12 ATS.......ON Titans

Raiders lookahead line next week at KC is +10.

  e)  Play ON an underdog who will be favored their next game versus a team who will be an underdog.....736-432-22, 63%, (+3.8).....ON Seahawks, 49ers

Query text..........D and n:F and on:D and n:playoffs = 0 and playoffs = 0 and nn:playoffs = 0

This moves to a 64.4% covering rate if the dog has less or equal wins on the season as their present opponent.

Careful with the 49ers, as teams off an away dog win in this situation have only covered 53.7% of the time and they are only 6-9 ATS if their present opponent also is off an away dog win....

Thank you.

  d)  An away dog who won their first game of the season after week 5 as an away dog has gone 21-18 ATS....however if they are playing a team that in their last two games have gone home loss, away loss, they've been 0-4 SUATS losing by an average of 11.6 points/game.....this fits the Titans, who in a sequence of amazing events snatched victory from the jaws of defeat, with A LOT of help from the Cardinals last week.....usually when in a football game there is extraordinary luck involved in a win, they are not so lucky their next game......VERSUS Titans.

Plays:

1)  Browns +5

2)  Cardinals +6'

3)  Chargers -4

4)  Vegas -4'

  c)  Play ON an away dog whose present opponent's next game is on Thursday before week 9......this was a winner last week playing against the Eagles.....it is 3-3 this year.....78-33-4 (+2.8)....55-60 straight up (-2.2)......ON Browns......this has still been 4-1 ATS if their present opponent is off a bye as is the case with Pittsburgh.

If this game is a divisional game and the home favorite will be road favorites their next game this moves to 9-0 ATS (+13.4), 9-0 straight up (+7.8)

AD and on:day=Thursday and week < 9 and DIV and on:AF

Plays:

1)  Browns +5

2)  Chargers -4

3)  Cardinals +6'

Correction....Seattle qualifies if they are a favorite from the query in thread #1....right now at pik they would NOT qualify.

In thread #1, Seattle qualifies as a play if they are a pick or an underdog versus Jacksonville in their week 6 game.....  as of now, after the results of Jacksonville's MNF game, the  line is pik.

tS(W@A, N=2) < 2 and A and week = 6 and -7 < line < 7 and not division = o:division and rest > 5 and t:wins>1 and p:HL

18-2 ATS.....ON Cardinals, Chargers

Parameters

  a)  tS(W@A, N=2)<2....a team that won either 1 or zero of their last two away games

  b)  A and week=6....an away team in week 6

  c)  not division = o:division.....non-divisional matchup

  d)  t:wins>1.....our away team has won at least 1 game on the season

  e)  p:HL.....off a home loss