HooAlum

@HooAlum

Only one change (and it is minor in terms of units) from yesterday.  Disappointed in total action at present 

NC State (1 unit) - Low ticket and handle favorite outweighs line movement and sharp indicators

CHANGE: Alabama (1/2 unit) - SKS outweighs Sharp indicators

Miami-Texas A&M (No Bet) - Sharp indicators balanced by low handle favorite

Ole Miss (2 units) - Sharp Indicators

James Madison (3 units) - reverse movement, sharp indicators

@HooAlum

 Alright, here is the first playoff and bowl update.  Let me start with a BIG apology.  I completely missed that Jacksonville St-Troy made the handle level (who would have thought that game would make it) but it did and those who follow saw the fence jump[ and line move to Jacksonville St.  It was good for a 2 unit play and hopefully you were able to take advantage.  here are the 5 games now on the board

NC State (1 unit) - Low ticket and handle favorite outweighs line movement and sharp indicators

Alabama-Oklahoma (No Bet) - No indicators

Miami-Texas A&M (No Bet) - Sharp indicators balanced by low handle favorite

Ole Miss (2 units) - Sharp Indicators

James Madison (3 units) - reverse movement, sharp indicators

@HooAlum

Well, still a small ball play but things have changed.  Sharps really like that half point Vegas just gave.

Army (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh line movement 

@HooAlum

Weekly Record: 4-2

Overall Record: 128-88 (59.26%)

Weekly Revenue: 13.3 units on 12 units wagered

Season Revenue: 820.1 units on 687 wagered (19.55% profit)

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Season Indicator Performance

Early Body Cklock for western team: 80%

SKS: 64.29%

Lopsided Wagering: 61.84%

Low Ticket Favorite: 60.53%

Sharp Indicator: 60.43%

Low handle on home Underdog: 58.06%

Steam: 55.56%

Low Handle Favorite: 54.39%

Line Movement: 51.76%

Style Points: 50%

Reverse Movement: 45%

Over/Under Squeeze: 44.74%

Btw Week Return: 42.11%

**********

Navy (1 unit): Sharp indicators

@HooAlum

 Evening Update

Duke (2 units): Sharp Indicators outweigh low handle favorite, lopsided wagering (can still get Duke +4.5 at MGM)

CHANGE: Indiana (1 unit): line movement (sharps balanced out so not a factor)

@HooAlum

Afternoon update

Alabama (3 units): sharp indicators outweighs low handle favorite

Duke (2 units): sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Ohio State (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh line movement

@HooAlum

Here is the morning update:

Texas Tech (3 units): low ticket favorite, shop indicator

Alabama (3 units): sharp indicators

Duke (2 units): sharp indicators outweighs low handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Ohio State (1 unit): share indicators outweigh line movement

@HooAlum

 Here is the update for tonight.  Small plays but better than the "no bet" calls from this afternoon

JMU (1 unit): line movement, low handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicator, over/under queeze

Tulane (1 unit): line movement

@HooAlum

Couple of new games made the handle the day of but truth be told no big play this weekend and even those games are a push at present (Boise would be it but the handle is so low it is not worth it yet and time is running out).  

NEW GAME: 

Troy-JMU (No Bet): lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze balanced by sharp indicators

Tulane-North Texas (No Bet): No indicators

Texas Tech (2 units): Low ticket favorite

Alabama (2 units): Sharp Indicators

Virginia (1 unit) line movement

Ohio State (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh line movement

Next Weekend WAY TOO EARLY

Navy (1 unit): sharp indicator 

@HooAlum

 Good week and hope we can close it our strong.

WEEKLY RECORD: 10-6

SEASON RECORD: 124-86 (59.05%)

WEEKLY REVENUE: 56.1 Units on 47.5 wagered

SEASON REVENUE: 806.8 units on 674 wagered (19.7% profit)

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SEASON INDICATOR PERFORMANCE

Early Western Body Clock start: 80%

SKS: 64.29%

Lopsided Wagering: 63.51%

Sharp Indicator: 60.54%

Low Bet Favorite: 60.18%

Low Handle Home Underdog: 58.06%

Steam: 55.56%

Low Handle Favorite: 54.39%

Line movement: 51.22%

Style Points: 50%

Reverse Movement: 45%

Over/Under Squeeze: 42.86%

Bye Week Return: 42.11%

******

Early Weekend Look

Texas Tech (2 units): Low ticket favorite

Alabama (1 unit): Sharp Indicator

Virginia (3 units) line movement, sharp indicators

Ohio State (1 unit): low ticket favorite outweighs line movement

Navy (2 units): sharp indicators 

@HooAlum

 Last update for awhile.  No changes from a couple of hours ago.

@HooAlum

Here is Saturday Morning update for the day.  Might update early afternoon but that will be it for the day likely.  Hopefully, today looks like Friday early afternoon, not the evening.  (I am questioning Louisville, as the sharp calls seem outdated with Miler Moss hobbled and Bell - who is a stud - out)

Louisville (3 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicator outweighs line movement

Clemson (1 units): sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite

Ohio State (1 units): sharp indicator outweighs low Handle home underdog and line movement

Miami (7 units): low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators, reverse movement

Tennessee (3.5 units): Sharp indicators, SKS

Oklahoma (1 unit): line movement, sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

Oregon (1 unit):  low ticket favorite, reverse movement outweighs sharp indicators

NC State (4 units): low ticket handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Auburn (2 units): sharp indicators, outweighs low handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Notre Dame (2 unit): style points, low handle favorite outweighs over/under squeeze

@HooAlum

Here are the night before picks for tomorrow.  Will have an update in the morning

Louisville (3 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicator outweighs line movement

Clemson (2 units): lopsided wagering, sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite

Ohio State (3 units): low handle favorite, sharp indicators (you can see this easily, it moves baed on whether the consensus line is 9.5 = Michigan/push or 10 = Ohio state call)

Miami (5 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators, reverse movement outweighs low handle on home underdog

Tennessee (6 units): Sharp indicators, SKS

LSU-Oklahoma (No bet): line movement balanced by over/under squeeze

Washington (2 units): sharp indicators, low handle home underdog outweighs low ticket favorite

NC State (3 units): low ticket handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Auburn (4 unit): sharp indicators, home underdog low handle

Notre Dame (1 unit): sharp indicators, style points outweighs home underdog low handle, over/under squeeze

@HooAlum

A few hours out from the evening pair

Texas A&M (5 units): line movement, low ticket favorite, sharp indicators (you can still get (-2.5 at some outlets)

Indiana (1 unit): low ticket handle favorite, outweighs sharp indicator, over/under Squeeze

@HooAlum

 Some overnight betting slips came in from key sources so some change in the games this morning.  (as a note, I do not trust the Nebraska-Ioa switch but once again have to go with the numbers + this system's kryptonite for years has been Kansas - though the indicators are pretty straightforward on Utes-Jayhawks - so this is a buyer beware morning).  I may be able to update the evening games later today. (

Ole Miss (5 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicator

CHANGE: Nebraska (2 units): Heavy sharp indicators outweigh line movement, low handle favorite

Kansas (5 units): early body clock, line movement, reverse movement, sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Georgia (5 units): low ticket and handle favorite, line movement, steam (line just popped perhaps grab the value at (-14) now)

CHANGE: Texas A&M (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

CHANGE: Indiana (1 unit): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs over/under squeeze, sharp indicators

@HooAlum

Thursday night update

Ole Miss (5 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicator

Nebraska-Iowa (No Bet): line movement, sharp indicator balanced by home underdog low handle, lopsided wagering

Kansas (6 units): early body clock, line movement, reverse movement sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Georgia (5 units): low ticket and handle favorite

Texas-Texas A&M (No Bet): No indicators

Purdue (3 units): over/under squeeze, home underdog low handle, sharp indicators

Louisville (1 unit): low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicators

CHANGE: South Carolina (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh lopsided wagering

Michigan-Ohio State (No Bet): sharp indicators balanced by line movement, home underdog low handle

Miami (6 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators outweigh reverse movement

Tennessee (6 units): Sharp indicators, SKS

Oklahoma (2 units): Sharp Indicators, line movement balanced by over/under squeeze

NEW GAME: Washington (1 unit): sharp indicators outweighs low ticket and handle, lopsided wagering

NC State (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Auburn (4 unit): sharp indicators, home underdog low handle

Stanford (1 unit): home underdog low handle, over/under squeeze outweighs style points

@HooAlum

 Morning Update as thanksgiving will likely take up most of the day.  At present Navy still the 1 unit call due to line movement, sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite and lopsided wagering.  No guarantee of an update closer to gametime

@BoatRace

 yep, and that Memphis play disappeared just like that line margin did

@HooAlum

Here is a Wednesday night update before the big weekend begins

CHANGE: Navy (1 unit): line movement, sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Ole Miss (2 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicator outweighs home underdog low handle

Nebraska-Iowa (No Bet): line movement, sharp indicator balanced by home underdog low handle, lopsided wagering

Kansas (6 units): early body clock, line movement, reverse movement sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite

Georgia (5 units): low ticket and handle favorite

Texas-Texas A&M (No Bet): No indicators

Purdue (1 unit): over/under squeeze, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Louisville (2 units): low ticket favorite

Clemson (1 unit): lopsided wagering

Ohio State (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh home underdog low handle

Miami (6 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators outweigh reverse movement

Tennessee (6 units): low ticket and handle favorite, SKS

LSU-Oklahoma (No Bet): Sharp Indicators balanced by over/under squeeze, lopsided wagering

NC State (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Auburn (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite

Stanford (1 unit): home underdog low handle, over/under squeeze outweighs style points

@HooAlum

Pittsburgh saved the week in style.  Got a little nervy but definitely the correct call.  A LOT of games already have hit the requisite handle this week.

LAST WEEK RECORD: 8-7

SEASON RECORD: 114-80 (58.76%)

LAST WEEK REVENUE: 39.9 units on 35 units wagered

SEASON RECORD: 750.7 units on 626.5 wagered (19.82% profit)

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INDICATOR PERFORMANCE

Early Body Clock: 77.78%

SKS: 65.45%

Lopsided Wagering: 63.08%

Steam: 62.50%

Sharp Indicator: 60.63%

Style Points: 60%

Low Ticket Favorite: 59.05%

Low Handle Home Underdog: 58.62%

Low Handle Favorite: 54.81%

Line Movement: 52.7%

Bye Week Return: 42.11%

Over/Under Squeeze: 38.71%

Reverse Movement: 35.29%

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EARLY WEEKLY UPDATE (things are likely to change)

Memphis (6 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Ole Miss (1 unit): low ticket favorite outweighs home underdog low handle

Iowa (1 unit): line movement, sharp indicator outweighs home underdog low handle, lopsided wagering

Kansas (3 units): early body clock, line movement, home underdog low handle, reverse movement outweighs sharp indicators

Georgia (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite

Texas-Texas A&M (No Bet): No indicators

Purdue (1 unit): home underdog low handle, over/under squeeze, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Louisville (1 unit): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs sharp indicators

Clemson-South Carolina (No Bet): No indicators

Ohio State (2 units): sharp indicators

Miami (7 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators

Tennessee (4.5 units): low ticket and handle favorite, SKS

LSU-Oklahoma (No Bet): Sharp Indicators balanced by over/under squeeze, lopsided wagering

NC State (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Auburn (2 units): sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite

Stanford (1 unit): home underdog low handle, over/under squeeze outweighs style points

Finally, I had an input error that is quite embarrassing, I simply never input Penn St's sharp indicator in favor of the Nittney Lions.  It was simply left blank from the composite sharp sheet to the master sheet.  Not a huge deal but it did change a modest Husker play to a single unit PSU play.  Sorry for those that were misled by a bad data entry.  The last similar mistake went the opposite way where the incorrect data led to a winner so proof it cuts both ways.