Da_BetWhiz

My Play of the Day: Türkiye to win & BTTS Yes | 3.08 with ComeOn & Betsson | 3 units

Here is why I like this bet:

• This is a high-stakes battle. If Turkey wins, they will be six points ahead of third-place Georgia and take a big step toward the World Cup, but if they lose, they will be tied on points and it will be an open race.
• Historically, Türkiye has dominated this regional rivalry. Of the six matches played between the two nations since 2004, Türkiye has won four, with one draw and one loss.
• Türkiye has won each of the last three meetings, scoring three goals in every one of those victories. This includes a 3-2 win in September in Tbilisi.
• Türkiye has no injury concerns; Baris Alper Yilmaz is back from suspension, and Arda Guler and Kenan Yildiz are in fine form.
• Türkiye averages 2.4 home goals and their tactic at home is trying to overwhelm their opponents’ defense.
• This often means that they concede, and they have conceded at least a goal in 8 out of their last 10 games in all competitions.
• Georgia has quality players like Kvaratskhelia & Mikautadze and should take advantage of Türkiye’s defensive fragility.

Heads-Up:

These World Cup Qualification games seem to hold endless possibilities when it comes to screwing punters.

Estonia vs Moldova

Estonia won the reverse fixture 3-2 when playing in Moldova, and they will be looking to replicate that result. Moldova have conceded 25 goals in five games in Group I, and it’s the perfect opportunity for Estonia to end their winless streak of five games when they face a team that sucks even more than them and at least win one game in front of their opponents.

When it comes to Moldova, it’s now or never if they are going to claim a single point in the group with their occasional counterattacks against an Estonian defense that is prone to make errors.

Bets I like:
– Feeling YOLO? Estonia to win and BTTS Yes @ 5.50 (Betsson)

Spain vs Bulgaria

Bulgaria is going thru probably their worst crisis ever in international football, and this match is not a question of ‘if’ Spain will win, but ‘by how many.’

Spain scored goals in Sofia, and we can expect them to score at least 3 goals here as well.
Then we get interesting odds of 2.50 that Spain will score at least one more, but a maximum of three, more goals in the match after they have taken a 3-0 lead.

Bets I like:
– Feeling Brave? Correct score combination: 4-0, 5-0, or 6-0 @ 2.50 (ComeOn)

Ireland vs Armenia

One team is aiming for victory, while the other is determined to avoid defeat.
The Boys in Green have conceded in all three home matches this calendar year, even to Bulgaria, but wait, it gets better: Armenia has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 34 internationals. But somehow they managed to score five in their last six away games.

It’s a must win game for Ireland, and even if they win, I expect Armenians to score a goal.

Bets I like:
– Feeling YOLO? Ireland to win & BTTS Yes @ 3.55 (Coolbet)

Results so far:

• POD: 35-33-4, +8.72 units

• My Best Bets: 72-46-12, +15.97 units

• Feeling Brave?: 31-40-6, +2.65 unit

• Feeling YOLO?: 18-42-0, +10.37 units

P.S. I don't have results from when I started to post here at Covers, but only since I started to post on R*****

Play of the Day: Ukraine -2 AH @ 2.09 with Coolbet | 3 units

 Why I like this bet:

• The reverse fixture finished 1-1, where Azerbaijan’s goal came on a penalty; besides that, they barely had any chances.

• Azerbaijan’s has a catastrophic away record. Eleven of their last 12 defeats have been by a margin of two or more goals.

• They have lost their last six competitive away fixtures and have a tendency to collapse on the road.

• They have lost their last six consecutive competitive away matches and have won just one of their last eleven away games in total.

• Eleven of their last 12 defeats have been by a margin of two or more goals.

• They conceded three against France and five goals against Iceland.

• Ukraine has to win this match to be able to secure the second place in the group behind France.

• Ukraine is a mid-tier team, especially considering their current injuries, but this match focuses more on Azerbaijan and their tendency to collapse defensively. If Iceland can score five, Ukraine, which is a slightly better team, should be able to score at least two.

Heads-up

International matches are unpredictable with many surprise results and difficult to forecast.
The fact is that betting companies make the most money from national team matches, especially tournaments like the European Championship and the World Cup. Therefore, this will be my only play today.

Denmark vs Greece

Greece somehow managed to lose their last game against Scotland after they missed an open goal, hit the bar, and watched Scotland’s goalie make superb saves.

After also losing at home to Denmark earlier, it means Greece is in trouble.
Scotland will certainly win against Belarus tonight, and if Greece loses here to Denmark, then Denmark and Scotland will both be on 10 points each, while Greece will remain on three points, thus ending Greece’s hopes of automatic qualification.

This is a must-win fixture for Greece, which needs to attack; as I mentioned, they created chances against Scotland and have a strong striker in Pavlidis. Considering Höjlund is also in form for Denmark—he has scored four goals in six matches for Napoli and four goals in seven international appearances for Denmark this year—this could be an open match with scoring chances for both sides.

Greece’s matches have been high-scoring, with their last six consecutive games featuring over 2.5 goals

– My Best Bet! Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.92 (Coolbet)
– Feeling Brave? Denmark to win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.67 (ComeOn)
– Feeling YOLO? Denmark ML & Rasmus Höjlund ATGS + Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.36 (Betsson)

Lithuania vs Poland

Poland won the reverse fixture 1-0, and only one of the last three head-to-head meetings has gone over the 2.5-goal mark. The Poles usually have to work hard for their points away from home, and a recurring issue for the Polish side when traveling is a tendency to concede the first goal.

But luckily for Poland, Lithuania’s attacking options are limited, with forward Artur Dolžnikov suspended and other forwards like Gytis Paulauskas sidelined with injury.

If Poland can just hold out the first half without conceding a goal, there’s a good chance this match will end Under 2.5 goals because the majority of the Lithuanian goals are scored in the first half before they tire themselves out in the second half and become defensive.

Bets I like:
– My Best Bet! Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.02 (Betsson)

Romania vs Austria

Austria has been exceptional with five consecutive wins, a perfect 15 points from 15, and a remarkable +17 goal difference, including a 10-0 win over San Marino; they are the most in-form team in Europe at the moment. They defeated Romania 2-1 in the reverse fixture in June. Romania has been inconsistent, drawing 2-2 with Cyprus and showing defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams like to counterattack; eleven of Romania’s last 13 matches have seen over 2.5 goals, and they have scored 10 goals in their last five qualifiers.

Bets I like:
– My Best Bet! Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 (Coolbet)
– Feeling Brave? Austria to win & BTTS Yes @ 3.90 (Coolbet)

Croatia vs Gibraltar

Croatia won 7-0 in the reverse fixture and will be motivated to score heavily after the 0-0 draw vs Czechia. Gibraltar’s last away qualifier against a top-tier nation ended in a 14-0 loss to France so only lack of motivation from Croatia’s side will make this bet fail.

Bets I like:
– My Best Bet! Croatia -4.5 AH @ 1.74 (ComeOn)
– Feeling YOLO? Croatia -6 AH @ 2.98 (Coolbet)

12th October

POD: Deportivo La Coruna DNB @ 1.62 with Coolbet | 2 units

• Deportivo is undefeated, sits at the top of the table, and is in excellent form.

• Málaga is currently struggling with injuries and low confidence.

• Málaga is in 19th place, winless in their last five matches (four of which were losses), and is suffering from an injury crisis.

• Deportivo boasts the league’s best attack and has been particularly effective on the road, scoring 11 goals in four away games. All four of their away matches have featured over 1.5 goals.

• Málaga possesses one of the weakest attacks in the division, having scored just six goals in eight games.

• Deportivo’s talented player Yeremay Hernández, who in my opinion is too good for La Liga 2 and will soon be bought by one of the bigger clubs, has the ability to win this game against Malaga himself.

It’s La Liga 2, anything can happen. Yesterday’s POD is proof of that.

Latvia vs Andorra

This match features two of the weakest attacking sides in Europe. Andorra has scored just one goal against Latvia in nine all-time meetings and has failed to score in their last five competitive matches. Latvia averages only 0.72 goals per game.

It is almost certain that at least one of these teams will fail to score, I'm hoping it will be Andorra.

- My Best Bet! Latvia to win & Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.57 (Betsson)

Hungary vs Armenia

Hungary has not kept a clean sheet in their last six home games but may also struggle to score since they are without their two main forwards, Roland Sallai and Barnabas Varga, due to suspension. Hungary at this stage doesn't feel like a team that rolls over their opponents.

Bets I like:
- My Best Bet! Armenia +1.5 AH @ 1.83 (Coolbet)

Norway vs Israel

Norway demolished Israel 4-2 in their previous meeting and has scored 34 goals across eight consecutive victories. Haaland has been extraordinary, scoring nine goals in five qualifiers, even though five of those were against Moldova.

Israel scored twice in the reverse fixture and ranks third in the qualifiers for goals scored, and they managed to score four against Italy, so this game has every opportunity to be a goalfest.

Bets I like:
- My Best Bet! Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.91 (Betsson)
- Feeling Brave? Norway to win & BTTS Yes @ 2.44 (Coolbet)

Bulgaria vs Türkiye

Bulgaria is in a deep crisis, having gone winless in their last six games and struggling to score; they have not scored in their last two matches, losing 3-0 to both Spain and Georgia.

Türkiye is a good team, but they are not a world-class team, and I don't expect them to do much better than Spain and Georgia while playing on the road.
Bulgaria will most likely park the bus and probably won't score. I see Türkiye winning but not trashing.

Bets I like:
- My Best Bet! Türkiye to win & Under 3.5 Goals @ 2.05 (Coolbet)

Spain vs Georgia

Spain is without Hujisen, Carvaja, Rodri, Fermin Lopez, Gavi, Nico Williams & Lamine Yamal while Georgia seems to be getting Kvaratschelia. Considering all the injuries Spain has, Georgia has a better chance of scoring than the odds suggest.

Bets I like:
- My Best Bet! BTTS Yes @ 2.03 (Coolbet)

Play of the Day: Switzerland DC + Over 1.5 Goals | 1 unit
2.20 @ Coolbet

• Sweden is in big trouble after a draw and a loss and probably needs to win all of their remaining matches, which puts pressure on them.

• When Sweden’s first goalkeeper was benched after letting in easy goals, he went to the newspaper and publicly criticized the coach, saying he would not participate as long as the coach remained.

• Tomasson, as a coach, wants to dominate matches and play an aggressive defense, but the problem is that Sweden doesn’t have any top-class defenders, and this leads to many open spaces.

• Sweden’s defense was very poor in the loss against Kosovo, and if they perform the same way tonight, there are great opportunities for Switzerland to score on the counterattack.

• While Sweden has better individual players such as Alexander Isak and Gyökeres, Switzerland demonstrates a stronger collective performance; additionally, the Swedish stars have not made a significant impact in their club teams this season.

• Considering how poorly Sweden’s defense has been in the last two matches, I think the value lies with Switzerland, even though Sweden is now playing at home. To get to the World Cup, they have to attack, which will give Switzerland opportunities.

Switzerland will most likely qualify even if they lose this match.

Play of the Day: Denmark -2 AH @ 1.72 Betsson | 2 units

• There is an enormous difference in current form, quality, and confidence between Belarus and Denmark.

• Denmark claimed an impressive 3-0 victory away to Greece in their last World Cup qualifier

• Denmark has come here with their best squad, and Christian Eriksen is back.

• Belarus has lost both of its matches 5-1 and 2-0 and scored its only goal from a penalty.

• They’ve barely had the ball in the matches, and all they’ve done is try to park the bus.

• Belarus managed the feat of scoring own goals against both Greece and Scotland.

• Belarus is playing at a neutral venue.

Matches played behind closed doors can lack intensity.

9th October

Finland’s motivation is far greater; they hold a perfect home record against Lithuania, and they recently beat a strong Poland side at home. This contrasts sharply with Lithuania’s dreadful away form, which includes five losses in their last six road games.

This is a match they must win if they want a chance at second place in the group behind the Netherlands. Poland is currently in second place, and they will face Lithuania in three days.

– My Best Bet! Finland to win @ 1.60 (Most Bookies)
– Feeling Brave? Finland – 1 AH @ 2.06 (Coolbet)

Croatia defeated the Czech Republic 5-1 at home, and although the Czech Republic is a completely different team at home compared to away, it’s worth In the odds, especially considering the Czech Republic has injuries to their star forward Patrik Schick and they also have a goalkeeper crisis, and Kramaric in Croatia is red-hot right now.

Bets I like:
– My Best Bet! Croatia DNB @ 1.62 (Coolbet)
– Feeling Brave? Croatia to win @ 2.30(Coolbet)
– Feeling YOLO? Croatia ML & BTTS Yes @ 4.70 (Coolbet)

Montenegro has lost eight of their last nine away matches and are missing their best player and captain, Stevan Jovetic. It’s always difficult to play in the Faroe Islands where it’s windy, and the Faroe Islands were close to getting a point against Croatia here, so I’m taking a chance that they might pull off an upset today instead.

Bets I like:
– My Best Bet! Faroe Islands DC + Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.98 (Betsson)
– Feeling Brave? Faroe Islands DNB @ 2.38 (Coolbet)
– Feeling YOLO? Faroe Islands to win @ 3.52 (Coolbet)

@Ogaga828

Barcelona are averaging 3.71 goals per game this season (highest in La Liga), and the last two head-to-head matches have seen a total of 11 goals scored.

Barcelona has won 13 of the last 17 encounters and has remained unbeaten in the league against Sevilla since 2015.

- POD Barcelona ML + Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.03 (Coolbet) | 1 U

Other Plays

My Best Plays:
- Aston Villa ML @ 1.66 (Coolbet)
- FC Porto ML @ 2.03 (Coolbet)
- Espanyol vs Real Betis - BTTS Yes @ 1.73 (Coolbet)
- IK Sirius FK vs Malmö FF - Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.77 (Coolbet)

Feeling Brave?
- Freiburg ML & BTTS Yes @ 5.70 (Coolbet)

My Best Bets for October 4th:

Arsenal ML & Under 3.5 Goals @ 2.10 (Betsson) 

Sunderland +1 AH @ 1.92 (Coolbet) 

Liverpool DNB @ 1.76 (Betsson) 

Valencia DC & Under 3.5 Goals @ 2.05 (Betsson) 

Werder Bremen DNB @ 1.78 (Betsson) 

Lens ML @ 2.00 (Most Bookies) 

Kocaelispor vs Eyüpspor - Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 (Coolbet)

My Play of the Day: Marseille -1.25 AH @ 2.10 | 2 units With Betsson

Here is why I like this bet:

• Marseille are flying high, having won their last three matches, a run that includes an impressive 4-0 victory over Ajax in the Champions League
• Metz is already in a relegation battle and has fired blanks in half of their games.
• The Metz are winless this season, with just 2 points from 6 games.
• There is an enormous difference in current form, quality, and confidence between Metz and Marseille.
• Marseille is unbeaten in the last 9 H2H matches.

Heads-Up:

Marseille will be without their coach, who is serving a touchline ban

Play of the Day - 3rd October

Hoffenheim vs FC Koln - BTTS Yes & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 (Coolbet)

• Key defenders Valentin Gendrey (broken ankle), Hennes Behrens (hamstring), and Koki Machida (knee) are all sidelined for Hoffenheim.

• Hoffenheim has conceded 11 goals in five matches while consistently scoring.

• Koln is a high-volume shooting team, ranking third in the Bundesliga with 73 shots taken.

• Koln has scored at least one goal in the last 10 matches (including friendlies), just like Hoffenheim.

• 7 out of 8 of Hoffenheim’s and 5 of the last 5 of Koln’s matches have gone Over 2.5 goals.

• Both teams has scored i four out of the last five matches between these teams

• Both teams have had eventful matches, and both teams like to attack, no matter how little time is left in the game. For example, Cologne has managed to score four goals and concede three goals after the 76th minute.

There are always some luck involved in the goal markets

Paris FC vs Lorient

Both teams have been defensively frail, conceding a combined 27 goals in 12 matches. Their games average 3.83 goals (combined), and Paris FC has scored in each of its last eight games against Lorient and put three past them in the last home meeting.

Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 goals has occurred in four of Paris FC's six matches this season

Bets I like:
- My Best Bet! BTTS Yes @ 1.73 (Coolbet)
- Feeling Brave? BTTS Yes & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.03 (Most Bookies)
- Feeling YOLO? Paris FC to win & BTTS Yes @ 3.40 (Betsson)

3rd October

 Osasuna vs Getafe

Osasuna are truly home-loving; they have two wins and a draw at home in Pamplona. Looking at the away table, they are at the very bottom with zero points and only one goal scored.

So everyone expects Osasuna to take the points at home, and I agree with that, but I don't agree that there should be such a big difference in the odds between these two teams. They are roughly evenly matched, and I think it could be a close game without beautiful play, without many free kicks, with a lot of fighting and interruptions, and with emotions running high.

The last six meetings between Osasuna and Getafe have resulted in 42 yellow cards and 4 red cards, and we could see a repeat today.

Getafe has only lost one of their last 12 meetings against each other, and I am betting on this trend to continue at these juicy odds.

- My Best Bet! Over 4.5 Cards @ 1.75 (Betsson)
- Feeling Brave? Getafe DC @ 1.74 (Coolbet)
- Feeling YOLO? Getafe DNB @ 2.80 (Coolbet)

Bournemouth vs Fulham

Bournemouth have taken seven points out of a possible nine at home, and their only loss so far is against Liverpool.

Fulham led 1-0 against Aston Villa but lost 3-1, and this is the fourth time this season they have lost a match after taking the lead, which indicates they are not a team to be relied upon. Fulham also has a striker shortage; Rodrigo Muniz was injured earlier, and Raul Jimenez was injured in the match against Aston Villa. His fitness will be assessed just before the next match, and he remains a doubt for selection. Therefore, it is uncertain who will lead the attack in the upcoming game.

Head-to-head statistics also favor Bournemouth; they have won all their home matches against Fulham since both teams were promoted to the Premier League, and they have lost only two of their last 16 league meetings against Fulham.

Bets I like:
- My Best Bet! Bournemouth to win @ 2.02 (ComeOn)
- Feeling Brave? Bournemouth DC & BTTS No @ 2.61 (Betsson)
- Feeling YOLO? Bournemouth to win & Under 2.5 Goals @ 4.70 (Coolbet)

Verona vs Sassuolo

Verona is winless in seven and struggling to score, while Sassuolo is coming off a confident win against Udinese and has a dominant head-to-head record in this fixture.
I know Verona can't keep losing forever, but the odds of their streak continuing for another match are too high to miss.

Bets I like:
- My Best Bet! Sassuolo DNB @ 2.15 (Betsson)
- Feeling Brave? Sassuolo to win @ 3.15 (Most Bookies)
- Feeling YOLO? Sassuolo to win to nil @ 4.95 (Coolbet)

My Play of the Day: Fenerbahce ML @ 1.82 (Betsson) | 2 units

Here is why I like this bet:

• Fenerbahçe has to bounce back from their away loss against Dinamo Zagreb on the road.

• They have a new coach and a new president and are looking to calm down the supporters with a home win today.

• Turkish teams are a joke on the road but on a different level when playing at home, as demonstrated by Galatasaray earlier this week.

• Fenerbahçe are unbeaten at home this season, including in the Champions League qualifications.

• A serious injury crisis makes things difficult for Nice. The team is without several key players due to long-term issues, including Youssouf Ndayishimiye and Mohamed Abdelmonem (both with cruciate ligament injuries) and veteran defender Dante (knee). and midfielder Hicham Boudaoui is doubtful.

• Nice has managed just two victories in its last nine matches across all competitions and is currently on a three-match winless streak.

• Nice has lost each of its last 10 consecutive fixtures on the road in the UEFA Europa League!

• Nice also performs poorly while playing on the road in Ligue 1, they lost both matches so far this year and went 6-5-6 last season, while they went 11-4-2 at home.

• Nice have conceded in their last five matches

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Lyon vs Salzburg

Both Lyon and Salzburg lost their opening Europa League matches, making this game crucial for their progress. Lyon, on a remarkable resurgence and unbeaten at home this season, boasts a solid defense and recent 1-0 victories, despite missing their first-choice goalkeeper. Salzburg, with a balanced but less dominant form, relies on young attacking talents but faces a tough challenge against Lyon’s organized defense. Given Lyon’s strong recent form, especially at home, and Salzburg’s vulnerability to disciplined defenses I believe Lyon will be winners after a tight game.

Bets I like:
– My Best Bet! Lyon to win @ 1.63 (Most Bookies)
– Feeling Brave? Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.29 (Betsson)
– Feeling YOLO? Correct Score: Lyon 1-0 @ 8.00 (Betsson)

The gulf in quality, combined with the home advantage, should just prove to be overwhelming.

Bets I like:
– My Best Bet! Sparta Praha -1.5 AH @ 1.89 (Coolbet)

2nd October

Although Roma is having trouble scoring goals, they are in third place in Serie A with four wins and one loss in their last five matches. They have now won seven out of their last ten matches. One area they don’t have a problem with is their defense, which is a surprise considering their coach and only one of their last eight home games has had more than 2.5 goals.

Lille have now lost two of their last three matches and they have a poor track record when playing away in the Europa League, with only 3 wins out of 16 matches played. They have had problems with their defense away from home, conceding a total of 7 goals in their last three away matches.

Roma’s superior form, strong defense, and home advantage, combined with Lille’s poor away record and recent inconsistency, suggest a likely Roma victory

– My Best Bet! Roma to win @ 1.72 (Coolbet)
– Feeling Brave? Roma ML + BTTS No @ 2.95 (Coolbet)
– Feeling YOLO? Roma ML + Under 2.5 Goals @ 4.35 (Coolbet)

Stuttgart is my favorite in this matchup due to their superior form, strong away record, and the return of several injured players. Basel has been inconsistent and defensively weak and recently suffered a disappointing home defeat vs Luzern.

Stuttgart, and their dynamic attack is expected to capitalize on Basel’s struggling defense, which has difficulty keeping clean sheets.

Bets I like:
– My Best Bet! Stuttgart to win @ 1.90 (Coolbet)
– Feeling YOLO? Stuttgart to win & BTTS Yes @ 3.15 (Coolbet)

Both teams are in excellent domestic form, with Porto undefeated in the Portuguese Liga and Crvena Zvezda similarly perfect in Serbia’s SuperLiga. However, Porto has a stronger European record, having won eight out of eight matches this season and maintaining a solid defensive record at home.

Crvena Zvezda usually struggles in UEFA competitions, with only two wins in their last 16 games and no away wins against Portuguese teams in four matches. The teams have not met before in competitive fixtures, but historically Porto has a good record against Serbian sides.

Porto’s squad is performing well, with key players like William Gomes in form, while Crvena Zvezda faces challenges due to injuries, notably to midfielder Aleksandar Katai. Given Porto’s superior European pedigree, home advantage, and Crvena Zvezda’s defensive vulnerabilities and injury setbacks I favor a Porto win.

Bets I like:
– My Best Bet! Porto to win @ 1.52 (Betsson)
– Feeling Brave? Porto -1 AH @ 1.83 (Betsson)
– Feeling YOLO? Porto to win to nil @ 2.85 (Coolbet)