Biscuit

MIA Jaylen Wright 20+ rush yds +104

He came off the bench when Achane was injured last week vs Jets and performed well, 107 yds + 1TD

Even with Achane’s return tonight I’m guessing he might get more touches than usual

PIT DT Derrick Harmon might be out again, which will benefit Fins run game

steelers have allowed 217 + 249 rush yds in the 2 games he’s missed 

GLTA 

Illegal TD

TD Vikes 

LAR +340

SEA +650

DEN +800

BUF +850

PHI +1100

HOU +1100

GBY +1100

NEP +1300

JAX +1700

SFO +2200

LAC +2200

BAL +2800

DET +3000

CHI +3500

TBY +7000

PIT +9000

probably more like grandpa 

I remember when the Jets won the SB 

Day started well, Swift TD +150, eagles 1Q, then bungles no show in 2H, Caleb needed just 1 more completion…….

packers TT Over 25’ -120 

Bengals -2’ -120

I agree 

GL on your plays 

GL 

Yeah colts DO have a slim chance of winning SU

They are an above average team with a good OL + running back and a decent defense

Rivers is a wild card, the odds are against him winning but it’s not unthinkable

seahawks are a good team but they’ve also gotten fat on cupcakes so their record might look better than the team actually is

I took colts + points but I suppose they have a punchers chance to win SU

put it this way….if given a choice between raiders +575 or titans +600 or colts +700, I’d choose the colts

GL on your plays 

After looking at this matchup more closely I’m leaning packers, based on recent form

in the last several games, compared to the broncos, the packers seem to be playing better defense, and are more committed to the running game, which is more important in late season weather.    Also the broncos commit a lot of penalties, which could be the difference between winning and losing when facing better quality opponents 

Also apparently teams are starting to effectively neutralize the broncos simulated pressure looks with quick passes, which Love and the Packers have the talent and experience to do.   Can Vance Joseph make the necessary adjustments to keep the packers offense in check?

the packers have the more experienced QB and the more polished offense IMO and that might be the deciding factor in this game

yeah, my thought is…..if it don’t fit, don’t force it

I might do something in-game, depending on how it goes

From yesterday’s press conference 

…..“If I want to keep doing this, then what am I trying to do with myself?” Burrow told reporters. “And I have to have fun doing it. You know, if it’s not fun, then what am I doing it for? So, that’s the mindset…….”

would hate to see him go the way of Andrew Luck, maybe the bengals could trade him to a team with a decent O-line to give him renewed enthusiasm for playing 

Caleb Williams 18+ completions +114 

Ben Johnson quote after loss to Packers:

”"Something that I've kind of talked about over the last few weeks with Caleb is, man, how can I best serve him to get him in a rhythm early in games to where we can have some strong starts to the first half? When you're asking your first completion to be an 18-yard dagger route, that's not always the easiest thing, particularly in those elements on the road like that. [It's] something that he's certainly capable of doing. He makes that throw all the time in practice, and yet we weren't able to do it there yesterday that early in the game."

Answer: more easy completions by calling for short passes to build rhythm and confidence 

@tboon

@SecretAgentMan1

 Thanks for the correction 

I knew that Tua had a shaky record in cold weather, so I did a search, and got those stats

moral of the story……don’t blindly trust AI

But I’m still on the Steelers this week 

PIT -3 -120

Game forecast is for 21 degrees with a chance of snow.  Tua is 0-7 in cold weather games (under 46 degrees), with 8 TDs 10 INTs and a 71 QB rating

@ndsent1

@camby700

 Thanks guys 

GL on your plays 

Eagles TT Over 16’ -105 

at first glance, 3 things favor broncos IMO 

1. Home team + better defense + getting points = play ON

the defenses are pretty close, tho broncos are marginally better, plus their O-line is better

2. Broncos W streak…….As a rule, you’re supposed to bet into a streak, not against it

3.  When a visitor is favored, I usually like to see that they’ve won at that location recently, before I will back them.   Packers last  win @denver was in 2007 

They were 5-12 last year, so they have made good progress so far