Chicago at New York (10/03/2010)

Quote Originally Posted by wangichu:

i'm calling shennanegins on this one.  Bears are the only 3-0 team in the AFC and the giants public stock is very low after back to back blowouts, but there are other issues afoot which are pushing me towards the giants...

g-men will be fired up to play the only undefeated team in their conference and the coaches will spend a LOT of time perfecting a solid game plan against this top tier team.

some variables at work:

CJ ran for 125, but on 32 carries, so the giants held him under 4 yards per carry, no small feat.  I think that an inferior bears running attack will struggle to maintain an offensive balance which will put this game on cutler's back and while he could do it, I still see him throwing at least one pick and the Bears have looked vulnerable to a pass rush which will make mistakes more likely as he continues to take hits.  Just look at how hard detroit made it on him in week one and i know detroit's d-line is improved, but it's not in the conversation as the giants personnel on d-line.

Giants played a very good pass defense who capitalized on some sloppy play, but it's not like the giants couldn't do anything.  I saw a eli manning throw for 386 yards on an elite secondary with a lot of pressure and a giants squad run for 105 on 19 carries, looking very good in the run game, but lacked opportunities to maintain their success on the ground due to 2 hugely costly turnovers that did not allow them to stay in the game late and forced them to keep throwing as they played on their heels.  If eli doesn't get cute at the goal line having delusions of brett favre that game could have a very different complexion. 

They are still an elite offense, and I think that they have enough working for them on defense to get an inspired home effort that makes the difference.  It's not time to write them off yet.  I believe in their offense more than i believe in chicago's still and their defense isn't inferior enough at relevant positions to be enough of an edge to overcome the giant's offense.

I like betting on the home team off a home loss, and i love betting the team off a big in division home win, especially beating a team everyone picked to play the cowboys in the NFC title game. 

The Bear's stock is too high and the Giants stock is too low for that spread to mean anything other than vegas is making another highly calculated risk, claiming that the giants will beat the bears by a touchdown, and knowing what I know about this matchup, I believe them.

I will wait before booking it and just research the little things, but I think i'm going

GIANTS -4

Quote Originally Posted by delija66:

two words

Julius Peppers

Quote Originally Posted by W8LIFTER:

NY Giants -3.5

Quote Originally Posted by greek04champs:

CHICAGO is 0-12 ATS  away vs nfc non div opp off non div su ats loss. They are 0-11 ATS if above 500 vs opp off bb su losses.they are 0-9 dogs ATS 6 points or less vs opp off bb losses.And CHICAGO is 0-9 dogs ATS vs non div opp off a su fav loss GMEN lost to the TITANS last week they were -3.BEARS are 0-9  ATS 0ff bb su wins of 10pts or less vs non div opp with revenge GMEN beat them in 2007 21-16.Stats and trends are from Marc Lawrence black book 2010.