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Woods NCAAF ‘25

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Posted: #1

WEEK 3:     (Listed lines posted in Penalty lol Box) #winnersonly 

1 Ga Tech +3 winner 
2 Air Force -3’ loss
3 Miss -10 (ugh bad line) loss
4 A&M +7 (-115) winner
5 UGA -3’   Loss by hook
6 Houston -5’ winner   
7 Tex Tech -23’ winner 
8 Stanford +14’ winner   
9 North Texas -5’ winner    
10 Florida +7’ loss 

6-4 ATS 

 



WEEK1: 10-3-1 ATS 

Week 0/1:   
1 Fresno state +14 loss     
2 Hawai’i nei -2’ win   
3 Hawai’i ML win    
4 Utah -6 win
5 Northwestern +7 loss
6 Buffalo +18 win
7 E Carolina +12 win
8 Wisconsin -17 push  
9 South Florida +7 (-120) win        
10 TCU -2’ (-135)  win
11 Ohio St ML (-120) win
12 Cincinnati +7 (hold out for that 7) win 
13 Old Dominion +23’ win
14 Va Tech +7’ loss 

 

WEEK 2: 9-3 ATS 

1 Illinois -2’ winner
2 Miss sr +7 winner   
3 UVA +3 loss by point
4 Oregon -28 winner
5 BC +3 winner 
6 UNLV +3 winner
7 Iowa +3’ winner    
8 Colorado -23’ winner 
9 Navy -20’ loss   
10 Fresno +3’ winner
11 UTSA -4 loss   
12 Mizzou -6 winner 

 

JJ Woods 

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Posted: #2

Yessir we’re sitting 25-10 ATS.. I’m happy to discuss my plays with whomever I love football peace_5 .  
My first wager was 1987, I’ve worked 10+ on the other side and am retired on a beach and am so thankful it’s worked out that way.  Now im just doing this as a hobby, and I have a lot of fun with it, and am successful…. Currently after 3 weeks I’ve helped out all the great people of the Forums with a 71.428571428% ATS win  Absolutely my best start since pandemic 2019 and I’m damn proud of my work. Excuse my French there.   

Recently I had a kid tell me I was tout, that I play paid picks or some nonsense…then called me all kinds of profanity, All because i tracked his last week of wagers (allegedly) and he went a documented 1-12 (can’t make this up. lol karma man) .  

what we have here is an amateur pretending to be a big shot by bullying, who has a terrible record, lies about me EMAILING him? wtf  now this kids just lost his marbles.  

I did not email this clown and tell him to buy my picks….the best is you can’t email message anymore Son…..on covers confused   

Week 4 coming and they boxed the wrong dude here….transparency should be allowed. I’ve seen people ridiculed by lines, unit amounts etc.  

 

Bottom line, why can’t I fade someone, no names mentioned out of respect or at least track their results since I’m “shit for brains, blowjob contest winner, a dick with ears, a tout, a pay per play dude that emailed CBBANALYST with magic telepathy (google that kid) 

what’s the jail dudes think? 

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Posted: #3

JJ WEEK 4 ……… 71.428571428% ATS thumbs_up

1 Utah -3’ (2x units)
2 Air Force +10   
3 E Carolina +7’   
4  Oregon St +35’    Civil war bruh   
5 Wisconsin -7 (-115)    
6 TCU -6’ (2xunit)     
7 Iowa -2 

GL everybody… warning, I’m due for some regression obviously 

NCAAF season to date 25-10 ATS peace_5

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Posted: #4

Total blatant lie… I email him every week?  Lol cmon man 

 

I mean how dumb a statement? Really 

 

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Posted: #5

Great work peace_5

 
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Posted: #6

You're in the groove baby an_dance

 
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Posted: #7

Quote Originally Posted by JJWoods:

JJ WEEK 4 ……… 71.428571428% ATS  1 Utah -3’ (2x units)2 Air Force +10   3 E Carolina +7’   4  Oregon St +35’    Civil war bruh   5 Wisconsin -7 (-115)    6 TCU -6’ (2xunit)     7 Iowa -2  GL everybody… warning, I’m due for some regression obviously  NCAAF season to date 25-10 ATS
JJ i'm seeing wisconsin at 9.5 right now  still good or should i pass? Your other plays i got the same lines.

 
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Posted: #8

@chicubs09

 That’s a tough call man…8 and 9 are typically useless numbers so that’s going for ya.  Nothing over 10 for sure…always ok to pass. an_cheers Sometimes I’ll ML parlay with another team in this case I think TCU/Wisconsin would be a nice play. 

GL 

JJ 

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Posted: #9

Got Utah at -3 today 

GL peace_5

 
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Posted: #10

@JJWoods

 Ok thanks i'm seeing wisky-10 now so won't play it at that number. Might do them in a ml par as you saidpeace_5

 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Got Utah at -3 today  GL

beautiful peace_5 love this spot…. Let’s win!

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Posted: #12

Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

You're in the groove baby

thanks brotha…. I love college football an_2drinks

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Posted: #13

Boa33 an_cheers I saw your post in the forums asking me about my Utah wager..peace_5 Thanks for that brotha. 

 

Yeah to be honest the line movement has me puzzled…to the point i hit this Utes -2’ sitting out there now to drop my average cost basis to -3.  My posted line is all that matters though -3’ an_getawaybad shopping which burned me on ole Miss last week. 

With all dat said , I still think public is on the wrong side here for a few reasons…an_light

Travel/Elevation just a brutal spot for TT with @Houston (should play well here), KU at home (will smash here) and then @ASU.  Of those, they will be the least focused this weekend at Utah.    
Coaching Whittingham is just a coach I love to bet on an_cheers. You know what you’re going to get.  Beyond that I think this is a very important bounce back season 2025 and focus will be sharp all across the staff every week. The only goal is BIG 12 Champion. Beck at OC has been a killer… great mind, great advantage.
Regression Tech won by 60, 48, 21 not really even tested. 600yds and 60 pts vs a deflated Beavers team. Sometimes eating too much beaver can slow a team down. bigsmile  I think we will see that… ole boy Behren Morton will play a major role, and I think Utes defense and the moment will overwhelm the dude for a subpar performance 2 turnovers, a few bad decisions, penalties etc Dual threat Devon Dampier on the other hand is a hassle…a handful. cool I’ve heard all week so far of what David Bailey is going to do this upcoming Saturday morning, and I think this matchup will be fantastic..but give me Mr Dampier all day at home under Coach Beck peace_5  Not your best situation Mr Bailey. 

OLine: Utah’s Polynesian warriors on the line will take over this game 4th quarter…emotions wear off, altitude kicks in and Utah smashes in the final 10 minutes running away peace Fano and Lomu will play on Sundays. If close or even not, I have a chip saved for the live 4th Q 
First true test I’m from the school you can’t just throw together a bunch of stars being paid gazillions and expect a championship. Or at least can’t expect a perfect season.  Raiders have come out on fire by meeting every expectation. But these kids haven’t even flown together….played a road game together, shared a hotel… pressure cracks pipes in a hostile environment in your first road game of the season 
secret elixir these are just historical tidbits, a few advantages I cherish, knowing a host of incredibly bright people, and putting all that back through my formula….and I see some Utah Utes whoop ass come 10am MST  clover

JJ 

 

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Posted: #14

[Quote: Originally Posted by chicubs09]@JJWoods  Ok thanks i'm seeing wisky-10 now so won't play it at that number. Might do them in a ml par as you said[/

Terps former QB  Edwards will play for the Badgers Saturday.....

Washington  Terps QB is no joke  GL...

The Red Raiders will give Utah all they want....peace_5

 
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Posted: #15

Making some moves early this morning …we’ll call these the lucky 7777 hookers ….rabid dogs  an_cheers 

Added week 4 wagers:    

8 Memphis +7’   
9 N. Carolina +7’ 
10 Auburn +7’ (-120) 
11 Florida +7’ 

Best of luck and I have 3 games that I haven’t decided to post due to injuries etc peace_5  

Let’s have another solid week everybody an_2drinks but plesse keep in mind that big old Uncle Reggie is lurking… stay within the means. With regards 

JJWoods 

 

 

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Posted: #16

The bad news is im buying out of Air Force +10 an_light

something tells me that wake up call at USF 34-7 an_eek2 pays dividends here at a really difficult spot C Springs.  Boise is acclimated to altitude.  Both teams need this one… I can see Boise rolling or losing outright.  So I’m out and ate the 10%vig. 

salute 

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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by bigred84:

Quote Originally Posted by chicubs09:

@JJWoods  Ok thanks i'm seeing wisky-10 now so won't play it at that number. Might do them in a ml par as you said[/ Terps former QB  Edwards will play for the Badgers Saturday..... Washington  Terps QB is no joke  GL... The Red Raiders will give Utah all they want....

thanks for hanging in the cell buddy..you bring any edibles ?   I could see Raiders rolling. Pound for pound advantage.  But intangibles and what’s important to my capping this time of year says Raiders won’t shine here in this spot peace_5 

thanks again Big Red GL bro 

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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by chicubs09:

Quote Originally Posted by JJWoods: JJ WEEK 4 ……… 71.428571428% ATS  1 Utah -3’ (2x units)2 Air Force +10   3 E Carolina +7’   4  Oregon St +35’    Civil war bruh   5 Wisconsin -7 (-115)    6 TCU -6’ (2xunit)     7 Iowa -2  GL everybody… warning, I’m due for some regression obviously  NCAAF season to date 25-10 ATS JJ i'm seeing wisconsin at 9.5 right now  still good or should i pass? Your other plays i got the same lines.
Quote Originally Posted by chicubs09:

@JJWoods  Ok thanks i'm seeing wisky-10 now so won't play it at that number. Might do them in a ml par as you said

@chicubs09

 Wanted to make sure you saw me pull the option read on AFA and bailed. GL man peace_5

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Posted: #19

@JJWoods

 Thanks for the heads up i'll cash out Air forcepeace_5

 
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Posted: #20

I like AF. Boise is still overvalued in my opinion and the fact they are facing a rushing team that can hold on to the ball and control time of possession limits Boise’s chance to elevated their scoring. 

In this situation Boise is 12-41 lifetime and Air Force qualifies this week. 


 

t:team=BOIS and F and o:rushing yards>127 and line<-6.5 and points<52

 

Boise as a -7 or more favorite when allowing their opponents to rush for more than 128 yards as long as Boise doesn’t score 52 points 

Boise is 12-41 ATS.  To me the fact that these military school run gives them the odds and the fighting chance they stay within the number.   Boise win chances increase the more they score.  Of course that could be said for all teams.  I just still think Boises reputation needs some humbling at this early part of the season. 

Air Force and these others are really strong in my eyes 

 

9 N. Carolina +7’ 
10 Auburn +7’ (-120) 
11 Florida +7’
1 Utah -3’ (2x units)

2 Air Force +10   
3 E Carolina +7’   

 

best wishes JJ stay hot like this guy an_laugh new_devil

 

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Posted: #21

At the beginning of the season you were combing thru my plays and telling me CAL was absolute trash.  Well they elevated past your original thoughts so far and this week is their regression.  
SD St might even with the crap fest.  Oregon State is the crap show this season.  Keep an eye on them.  *35 this week tells a story. They might cover this week but if this line is evaluated by the books this week that doesn’t say much about their future evaluations.  I hope they cover this week against Iregon that could be sleepwalking. 

That will improve the perception on Oregon State a little bit and provides opportunities against Oregon State going forward. Let’s go Beavers this week and more importantly I want an Aztec win vs Cal 

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Posted: #22

I know you’re high on TCU but I don’t see it at all.  They beat a lousy UNC team in week one only -3 in that game.  You called that against my UNC pick.  Now this SMU isn’t 2024 good, but they are better than +7 in this game.  You won’t agree with me but I’m passing along my thoughts.  I hate being against you but I just like the play too much. 

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Posted: #23

Utah -3’ (2x units) totally agree, healthier and they play hard football and enough talent and discipline to out last schools and not beat themselves. 

2 Air Force +10   totally agree Boise is not 2024 and Air Force lost last week looking ahead to this one. Running dogs win. 

3 E Carolina +7’   Totally agree they are due for regression but dog teams do not regress. After this win is an opportunity for them to fail not this game. 

4  Oregon St +35’    Civil war bruh   I hate big lines but this bad Oregon State team needs this many.  I love this play as well.  This is one of the weeks I do trust this team to play.  I think Oregon has a big game next as well.  

5 Wisconsin -7 (-115)    no opinion 
6 TCU -6’ (2xunit)     Nope 
7 Iowa -2 Iowa is just another Utah when they play the big boys with better athletes they fail.  Not here they should be okay this week. 

 

for the most part I love your card.  Even though I appose one play doesn’t mean that I will win the game.  

Best wishes, stay out of other idiot threads and stay in the mains. 

an_cheers

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Posted: #24

@spottie2935

 Absolutely was off on CAL…im still an_speechless “absolute trash “ doesn’t sound at all like me. But for certain I have some CAL under Win total.  Thanks for the heads up they due for a hit.  I’ll stay away. 

Air Force…trust me I’ve run through everything mentioned, I’ve had Air Force circled here since summer. Truth is AFA can’t tackle. I thought they would be much much better than what I’ve seen. Fundamentally not sound, and not a lot of heart. You mentioned “just still think Boises reputation needs some humbling at this early part of the season” 

I feel like that wake up call happened week 1…34-7 at USF an_eek2 

Seeing 12 now, Ho brah! Too many…strange game, happy to buy out  GL with the falcons 

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Posted: #25

Spottie “ I know you’re high on TCU but I don’t see it at all.  They beat a lousy UNC team in week one only -3 in that game.  You called that against my UNC pick.  Now this SMU isn’t 2024 good, but they are better than +7 in this game.  You won’t agree with me but I’m passing along my thoughts.  I hate being against you but I just like the play too much. “

All good, just a few reasons off the cuff … 

1. Josh Hoover an_clap I love this kid and especially in a rivalry game… one of my favorite QB’s in the country   
2. REVENGE as a 2 point favorite last season,  TCU was jacked up 66-42 in Dallas an_eek2 Embarrassing as hell    
3. Double REVENGE… let’s not forget Sonny Dykes left SMU to join TCU in 2021. This one’s important.  
4. ACC seems especially soft so far this season…im certain SMU’s dream season last year leaves lofty goals and less motivation. Fade SMU all year in spots. Canes and Noles are nice GT is actually tough. Then zilch…. Not their best season coming for the ACC in my opinion 
5. I wasn’t jazzed on the Frogs defense until I watched them… 8 returning starters and you can tell.  They gave UNC nothing.  Secondary is sound as a rock.  My man Bud Clark, Obazor, Elarms-Orr…and the secondary is complete. I’m certain 66 has been on entry defensive players locker. Laser focused for this one…revenge 
6. Jennings will get his and studs at WR will make plays…bend don’t break, a few turnovers, and some home cooking on a few flags.  Frogs are horned up for this one 

Good luck Spottie clover

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