Week Four SLAUGHTER METER

Week One Slaughter Meter: 9-7 ATS

Week Two Slaughter Meter: 7-9 ATS

Week Three Slaughter Meter: 10-5 ATS - Monday night pending

Total to date: 26-21 ATS

Bet against all line movements of 2 or more points off the opener:

Week One: 10-6 ATS

Week Two: 11-6 ATS

Week Three: 5-1 ATS

Total to date: 26-13 ATS

Everyone reading this should be way up for the year. If you're not winning, go back to my summer post Absolute Best NFL Handicapping Books and Magazines. Get the Bobby Smith book, the "Week One NFL Winners" book, and Lindy's, Athlon, and Marc Lawrence's magazines TODAY. Read as much as you can before the coming weekend. Your odds of winning will increase tremendously.

Week Four Slaughter Meter:

Jets bust up Broncos

Panthers pulverize Cardinals

Bears cauterize Colts

Jaguars jeopardize Bungles

Browns bulldoze Cowpokes

Lions slay Saints

Texans take it to Vikings

Seabags scuttle Dolphins

Bucs blow by Chargers (Chargers cover)

Steelers steal one from Titans

Ravens ravish Redskins

Rams roll over Giants

Chiefs put one over on Patriots

Raiders rally over Bills

Niners knock off Eagles

Packers fake out Falcons (Falcons cover)

bring out the meat cleavers! 

HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!

Change Kansas City to Chiefs chew up Patriots

"Jets bust up Broncos" 

The only thing the Jets should bust up is Adam Gase. Worst coach and franchise in the league.

Bunch of bums. Never in my life would i bet on the jets. Fade that trash weekly with zero regard. Close your eyes special on the broncos.

From a player and coaching perspective, you are 100% correct. The difference for me as a bettor is I bet numbers not players. Taking the 3 points is the only way I would bet this. But your assessment of New York is correct.

much better edit 

nice work. this is a great thread. thanks for putting it out there

???? 

Thank you!

Week Three updated to 11-5 ATS with Chiefs winning.

Giants would be the play by your system because if the line move from the open..but u have the rams

interesting - I have the playbook and of his 3 picks this week one differs from yours. Will see so far its going good

I posted this when the line was -11. But, yes, if the line has moved 2 or more points off the opener, it's a smart money play. Bear in mind, that the earlier in the season the better, with Week One being tops. By now, the advantages are starting to melt away and there are also less plays.

Hey DS don’t understand the Chief’s pick line opened at either-2.5 or -4 ? That’s 1 point or .5 ! To -3.5. Speaking of opening lines where’s a good site for that ? Yesterday I saw -2.5 on one and -4 on another! Thanks 

Question, the line moved all the way to the other side. Does this system say play the Jets?

If you were a true devoted reader of the Slaughter Meter, you would have taken the Jets at +3 at the beginning of the week when I posted it and would now be thinking of taking Denver + points and shooting for a 20-1 middle payout.

Per the go against the public line movement games, you want to go against any line that moves 2 or more points off the opener. It works much better when the line is moved by betting - hence, go-against-the-public. In this case it moved due to a QB change, not betting. But I will still tally it with the results at the end of the week. 

I don't understand your first question. Second question, Vegas insider has lines for multiple books posted Sunday night.

Thanks! Let us know how the playbook picks go!

 very interesting indeed will keep checking back Doctor

Doctor would like your thoughts on Eagles +7 at Niners.....Seeing some Eagles momentum....

Thanks...keep the info coming....

I'm in a pick'em Ats league, I have the Jets at +3.5. I has nothing to do with being a devoted reader, I just haven't grasp the concept of the system yet hence why I'm asking. Thanks for the post. GL 

Check the injury report. Philly has O-line problems and a bunch of guys aren't practicing this week. If they limp into frisco down 2 or 3 starters on their line again, they will probably get stomped.

Why not take the little Chicago Bears +3 points?

Check the injury report. Philly has O-line problems and a bunch of guys aren't practicing this week. If they limp into frisco down 2 or 3 starters on their line again, they will probably get stomped.

Why not take the little Chicago Bears +3 points?

Jets +3.5 is a super-sharp play!!!

The premise is the oddsmakers do a very good job. If they set the line at 7 and bettors drive it up to 9, you will win in the long run by taking the 9 points. Especially strong in Week One.