Pittsburgh Steelers

Data analysis and computer modeling is and has been the future of sports betting. I can 100% guarantee you that most professional sports bettors would consider data analysis the #1 tool. To be a real winner in sports betting you need every single advantage that you can find, and what better advantage can you have than properly analyzing previous outcomes? All that said, a pro bettor is happy to probably pick around 53-55% for the season. So you are correct in saying that sometimes data and modeling and whatever else is useless. But that’s only true when what happens in the game is not reflective of the average/expected result.

And if you think there are no professional sports bettors you are clueless. I think maybe you think that a professional sports bettor is some guy driving around in a sports car, wearing expensive suits, and covered in gold chains. Ever consider that a pro bettor is just a regular guy doing a regular job that most people can’t do? Working endless hours just to make a decent living? All “professional bettor” means to me is someone who is consistent enough that they can make a living off of gambling.

@brn2loslive2win

 Funny how Sooo many games get beat or won by the hook!!!!  Even Teasers by the Hook!!  haha   Amazing!   Public vs. Sharps???   Odds makers could give a shit...they want to aatract money on BOTH sides!!!!  Then move the line and middle or AD books!

@getcarter

 Not at all! this is a football discussion board. Constructive discussion is the whole point of creating threads!

I don't discount anything you have said; they are all legitimate points, that everyone needs to consider when taking a side.

it will make me review all your points to consider if my side is right.

I appreciate the feedback. I wish for a solid game, with no antics, and may the better side Sunday win.

I am 60 years old. Not even sure how you wrapped me into this. I lived in Vegas for 10 years. I have gambled on sports my entire life. I am hardly clueless to this world. The Casinos always win. Once you figure out what side is the best analysis let me know I will take the other side and win more often. Obviously they want action on both sides. No one can make a living off sports gambling. Keep your analysis going if it makes you feel bettor.

6 games in NCAAF have spreads under or around 3 Saturday with ranked teams where the higher seed is either a dog or not much of a favorite. That's how I play games. Your analysis would tell you that the higher ranked teams statistics would suggest they win. My theory is to play the point spread. Why are the spreads so low or the higher ranked team favored?? 

@Oviewan

 Its always about the number...They want both sides, and thats they they move it!!!  

BTW 56yo, spent much time in Vegas and South Bay, Los Angeles, CA 3-4 hr late night drives to Vegas!!  Well until the Real Estate bottomed out!!! haha

I here you get Carter. Why are we posting?? Ha. I just hate the time people spend to figure things out.

One more post for TGZ.....I'm on your side, I'm not the dealer.....ha.

I just posted this in NCAAF.

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7 games in NCAAF have spreads under or around 3 Saturday with "ranked teams" where the higher seed is either a dog or not much of a favorite. 

Analysis would tell you that the higher ranked teams statistics would suggest they win.

Why are the spreads so low for the higher ranked team or why is UN-ranked team favored?

#8 Alabama -3 #14 Missouri

#6 Oklahoma - 1 1/2 Texas (unranked)

#2  Iowa State - 2 1/2 Colorado (unranked)

#10 Georgia -3 Auburn (unranked)

(unranked) USC -2 1/2 #15 Michigan

#18 BYU - 1 1/2 Arizona (unranked)

(unranked) Utah - 5 1/2 #21 Arizona State

7 Plays

Missouri +3

Texas +1 1/2

Colorado +2 1/2

Auburn +3

USC (ml)

Arizona +1 1/2

Utah -5 1/2