NFL WEEK 4 ......................2025

Let's hope they do..............

Yep ..........

Good deal dog..................

But maybe it is possible they are getting the wrong results. I th8nk they ise a different search engine.

I have caught them posting incorrect info in the past from my own research.

Other method .........

Giants +6.5 over Chargers --- .55 units

Pats -5.5 over Panthers --- .55

Pending plays ................

Other method....

Falcons +1.5 over Wash .55 units

Bucs +3.5 over Eagles --- .55 units

Bounce  Factor ........

Rams -3.5 (+100) over Colts--- 1 unit

And ......Packers -6.5 (-129) over Boys --- 1.2 units

My other method plays will all be .5 units untill after a couple weeks of a losing record then I will up my plays.

I did post these at 1 unit plays by mistake.

I was hoping Giants would move to 7 but didn't see it. -140 to buy the half pt is crazy. 

I did see Pats at -4.5 and there were some -5's so I thought the line was coming down and decided to wait for a possible 4 which didn't happen.

Bummer if they win by 5. Could of had the win or push.

Packers also as it turns out I could of had -6 at -120 later in week. Instead of 6.5 at -120.

I didn't get the best of the numbers this week with a few games.

I did do well with Falcons and the other plays Rams I got a great price but I did see a +105 on them. Book wasn't going to 3.

I did see the Bucs juiced heavier quite often over the week but the line never moved from what I saw. I did get the best line at the best price I saw from my 4 books.

3-1 ATS in the early games.

With Rams up at half by 3. 

My other system keeps on winning after going 7-2 in weeks 2 and 3.

3-2 this week with Zona loss.

Nice day so far. Hoping for a strong finish to your Sunday 

The Rams came through.  Congratulations.

Thank you ........

Packers looking good early.

Thanks dog .........

Little lucky for sure. With tie game they only needed a FG so the only way they cover -3.5 is basically they need to break a long TD play.

If he were to be tackle in FG range they  likely only try for better position then kick it for the win.

That's the issue in these spots if a FG wins the game you are going to lose the cover most of the time. Unless the FG gets you the cover.

I've  been in these spots many times and lose a high percentage  of them

Every once in a while the team does break a long TD for the cover.

Sunday--- 4-2, won .9 units

Thursday--- 0-1, lost .55 units

week --- 4-3, won .35 units

Geez Packers could not get it done once again.

They got off to a very nice start but that extra pt try turned into 2 pts for the Boys was too much.

Next week only 1 play for my other system at this point with 2 games tonight remaining 

But 2 Bounce Factor plays this next week.

And I'll likely back the Packers again off 2 ATS losses.

The 2 other top 3 largest performers  week 1 have both looked like potential surprise teams.

Colts and Jags.

I was following the Colts stats throughout the game. With Colts leading most of the time but it was the Rams who were outplaying them and should have been leading.

However Colts being in regression I'd expect that so goung forward we'll  find out if they are for real or not.

Jags did outplay 9ers and should of won by 14.19 pts but the biggest part of that was winning the TO battle by 3 or 4 or whatever it was.

Teams won't lose very often with that big advantage.

Pats looked very focused and aggressive  off that Steelers loss they should of, could of won.

That might be all Varbel there. They were not going to be denied.

Bills on deck. Bills off 2 ATS losses.

Saints did regress big time and with that Titans drop to last place in pts per plays margin.

With Zona on deck off a big divisional  SU loss themselves