NFL WEEK 3 .............................2025

Crazy info on the Bills.........

Incredible the Bills were a Bator method fade early in the season for 3 straight years .

And even more incredible one of the games to qualify for a fade came in week 2 in each of the 3 years.

Now look, once again in week 2 the Bills produce a 30-10 game qualifying for the first game of yet another Bator fade depending on the results of tonight's game.

So will they do it again making it 4 straight years of Bator fade involving a week 2 ?

How is that possible ?

That's quite the coincidence. 

But wait, there's more .......going back the previous year the Bills also qualified for a Bator fade in week 2 winning 35-0 but they did not complete the fade with game 3 or with game 1.

That's 5 straight years Bills have qualified for a Bator fade in week 2.

The 3 times they did qualifying they were 1-2 ATS the next week.

Crazy they did play the Dolphins in 2 of those 3 games going 1-1 ATS. I don't think you apply the method when playing a division foe.

Last season the Ravens rolled the Bills in the Bator fade spot 35-10.

If the Bills do it again next week they play the lowly Saints.

If Seahawks roll the Saints this week what will the spread be ?

That will be one of those games you close your eyes and play the Saints. You have to do it 

Well, Bills didn't get the Bator fade.

We'll see if they do it again in week 2 next year. But I doubt they will.

I did have Bills in survivor and was sweating it out with Dolphins down 7 and driving with like 4 minutes left.

All I could see was a TD and 2 pt conversion to try and win in regulation with little time left on the clock.

Bills needed a TO and got it.

I saw on you tube that teams -4 or better have won every game SU so many still alive in survivor.

I'd  expect that to change soon.

Packers -7.5 (-105) over Browns --- 1.05 units

Looks like alot of sharps on Browns here understandable I suppose but I will keep riding this Packers team.

I was hoping to see this fall to -7 although I thought it likely wasn't  going to but you never know.

Maybe it still could right before game time. 

GL claw 

Claw, surprising you of all people not trusting process...randomness always exists in life...even in baseball with 162 points of life, some weird ass crap is happening this year to season win totals...but dogs always will come in the NFL because the lines and the money move right in the long run...like this week, watch out NO, Cleveland, NYG all may do better than cover...peace my brother

@Scottyy411

 Chiefs are taking the year off.   Rest.    And a shit ton of money in the bank.   Claw… you really think Pitt goes 0-3 to start season ats.    I was thinking all they needed was a qb…. But they may have had to sell their soul to get Rodgers…. Their defense has to be near league worst for points so far.     

C 

I understand  what you are saying.............

However, I am playing my method top 3 largest performers week 1 with best bets being twam off a 10 win season. 

it is the Packers.

These teams do well ATS weeks 2 through end of season .

This is not a big regression  spot with methods I use. Mostly a trend spot and my methods beat these trend spots all the time but they do beat my methods also.

I think it is very possible the sharps will be correct that Browns play a close game but Packers will still find a way to get the close cover. May not be by alot. And it might take till later in the 4th but I think this team gets it done based on my method 

Yea I hear you ..........

I think coach Tomlin has never had a losing season with Steelers. But this team is not good. 

I suspect this will be his 1st losing season. 

Boy oh boy Pats with INT  down at the 5 yard line to end the half and now  a fumble going into the end zone at like the 1 yard line just happened as I was writing this.

That will be tough to overcome for sure.

0-1, lost 1.1 units

Crazy game. Just too crazy. I thought Packers would get a score late after Browns got their 1st score and get the cover much like I thought it could go.

My other possible plays went 4-2 on top of going 3-0 last week.

But unfortunately  I didn't  take any action.

With 1 game  the Lions at +6 remaining for tonight.

Next week starts my Bounce Factor if we have a team that qualifies. I think at least 1 should but haven't gone over things yet.

Next week also starts my other system I did talk about last season. It did go 19-13, (59%).

I may post those plays this season. The plays I made that I did not take action  did come from this method.

They can do well early as they have this year  but it is better long term to wait a few weeks.

I don't like coming in off strong records as may not be sustainable. Best to come in off 2 losing weeks then it has a strong record.

Last season I don't think it had 2 losing weeks in a row. It did have 2 weeks of a losing record and a .500 record which is a losing record over 2 weeks.

The results the next weeks was very good. 

I'll look all this up and post it later in week once I run all the numbers for any plays this weekend.