DK NFL Preseason Week 1

I am leaning Indy 

Shieeeet the line reversal to Indy -2.5, what happened 

@Digitalkarma

 Looking at Carolina on Friday...Don't like the QB situation in Cleveland....

The QB situation in Cleveland does look messy but they got ton of QBs they can play on Friday. Shadeur Sanders idk about him and his commitment to the team and some other rookie QB will likely play . Not sure if Kenny Pickett will play seems doubtful probably the next game after. Panthers not sure what their game plan is but I doubt Dalton plays his backup job is probably safe. You'll probably see a ton of Jack Plummer only. Tough one 

I see why the line jumped on Colts. Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones scheduled to play. Interesting...

Ravens +2.5(-105)

Ravens ml +125

Hoping Cooper Rush gets in some 1H action. Heard he was trash early in training camp but had a good practice today his best yet so far. Will probably see a lot of Devin Leary for 3 quarters. Trusting the depth of Ravens defense to hold off the early onslaught and keep the opposing backups in check 

Raiders PK -105

Pete Carroll is back and I hope he still remembers his preseason winning ways, aka getting the Raiders "team culture" back on track and getting to face former team. Maybe we'll see some Aiden O' Connell. It's likely going to be Jalen Milroe vs Cam Miller for majority of the game. Apparently Brady seems to like this guy..

Lions -1.5

dan Campbell was pissed with how abysmal their hall of fame game performance was. I think they will put in a better performance here. I don't think the Falcons will play Penix or Cousins much if at all. I'll take my chances against Easton Stick/Emory Jones

Got a jump on the Raiders and Lions. Had a feeling the Lines were going to be on the move. Colts getting hella steamed tho wtf, got a bad number on that one..

Fade Titans preseason. They have the worst preseason record according to ChatGPT and Grok. 

If this line holds or goes up even more this is probably the biggest underdog spot, home underdog John Harbaugh has been in preseason since being coach

Ravens +4.5

Ravens ml +170 (cashed out of +125 and rebought at current line) 

Funny that they're -3 faves this week 

Line has moved even higher now. Betonline has Baltimore +5.5. Baltimore has been abysmal in exhibition the past 2 years (2-4 su and 0-6 ats). Almost as if Harbaugh doesn't care about exhibition games anymore 

+6 and +210 ml now. I don't think it's not because Harbaugh doesn't care about preseason. It's the depth at QB which has been lackluster and defensively a little bit lacking on depth too. I like the Ravens draft picks on defense this season. Want to see Mike Green in action!  And a bit of Malaki Starks too.

The same issue are here at QB. I don't think Cooper Rush is in any rush to defend his backup job  so it will be Devin Leary show. In the past , they'd have 3rd and 4th string QB they can rotate. I think defensively the Ravens stocked up and added depth which could be the difference here. I think this number is a bit too high. too bad I can't buy out of +4.5 and get better # at +6. My gut says this is going to be 4 pt win either way. Colts are gonna put up a fight they've played Ravens close in preseason.

My mistake. Bucs have the worst preseason record.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 5-15 (25% ATS winning percentage, 20 games)

Cashed out Ravens +2.5 and rebought at +6

Ravens +6

Updated card for Thurs/Fri

Ravens +4.5

Ravens +6

Ravens ml +175

Lions -1.5

Raiders PK -105

The bigger dogs are good bets in week 1 preseason.  It’s when the starting qbs play more in the coming weeks the favorites fight back stronger. 

Good luck DK.  

@Digitalkarma

Good assessment Spottie. I looked back to 2021 season to confirm and dogs of 5 and 6 pts have covered 7 of 9 games.

I know Ravens haven't been solid in their last 7 preseason games (3-4 SU, 0-7 ATS) since their crazy winning streak but this line just seems a little disrespectful to the Preseason Kings lol. So I expect them to be competitive here tonight

@D-Town

@lmb4321

Trap? Maybe but I'll play along 

Bengals 1st quarter -1.5(-125)

While Bengals 1st half is -6 and full game -6.5? Why not Bengals 1st qt -3? Hmmm  

@Digitalkarma

We Falcons fans are not happy with the head coach. That aside, he has stated no Penix or Cousins tonight. I think he also sits them next week. It’s his MO then we pay with shitty starts offensively to the season. Behind the 8 ball before we even start the regular season. 

If the coach doesn't play them in the 3rd game then I can understand your frustration. I think the first team unit should get at least a quarter or two, whether it's game 1, 2 or 3. Hang tight and let's see what happens. 

DK are you in Bmore/DC area?  You have good sense on DMV teams.