BEST PLAYS THIS WEEK

To me NE+1 is a winner. Josh Allen has to play lights out for Buffalo to even sniff a W. NE is as well rounded a team as there is. Vrabel will out coach anybody. Vegas is telling me Buffalo is 4 points better than NE. No way 

CINN +2.5 is another gift. Tough loss for the Bengals Sunday but with there division rival going to Cincy they will get back up. Burrows best games are against Baltimore. Ravens are a mess. Ravens are great at beating themselves. 

Feel free to post your Best Bets 

Good luck WM.  

Don't think Cincinnati is a gift.  Bengals blew their load last week against Buffalo, essentially ending their season.  I see this as a letdown spot.  Baltimore has been bad, but still in the division race, 1 game behind Pittsburgh at 6-7.  Good luck.

PIT -3 -120

Game forecast is for 21 degrees with a chance of snow.  Tua is 0-7 in cold weather games (under 46 degrees), with 8 TDs 10 INTs and a 71 QB rating

@Biscuit

 Wasn't their last game at the Jets 40 degrees at kickoff?

Tua is 1-7 in this situation, he won last week at Jets.

i'm looking for the jaguars -13.5 to drag the jets through the turf, throw them up against the goal post, and kick them back down the other side of the field 

@tboon

@SecretAgentMan1

 Thanks for the correction 

I knew that Tua had a shaky record in cold weather, so I did a search, and got those stats

moral of the story……don’t blindly trust AI

But I’m still on the Steelers this week 

Caleb Williams 18+ completions +114 

Ben Johnson quote after loss to Packers:

”"Something that I've kind of talked about over the last few weeks with Caleb is, man, how can I best serve him to get him in a rhythm early in games to where we can have some strong starts to the first half? When you're asking your first completion to be an 18-yard dagger route, that's not always the easiest thing, particularly in those elements on the road like that. [It's] something that he's certainly capable of doing. He makes that throw all the time in practice, and yet we weren't able to do it there yesterday that early in the game."

Answer: more easy completions by calling for short passes to build rhythm and confidence 

If I were to wager this game, it would be Pitt ML or no play. As of now I'm uncertain if I'm playing the MNF game.

Good luck on your play!

Will the refs be on Pittsburgh this week? I mean the Steelers are such a juggernaut. Once again the Steeler D gave up over 200 yards on the ground in a rigged effort. Your boy Mike Tomlin is really stylin' now. 

Achane has a rib injury so they MIGHT get lucky again. I doubt that Tua will throw the ball more than 20x. 
My prediction for the Monday night game is that Minkah Fitzpatrick will get a pick 6 for the Dolphins, but yes, it will be frigid with temps maybe in the high teens at night. 
Minkah was never the problem as he had 96 tackles last year and he covered for a lousy front 7 and leaky corners. Tomlin was and IS the problem. 

that’s an interesting point. But it is a division game at home and Joe Burrow. There is no way Baltimore should be favored. They are not a good football team. They are mistake prone to a level that they give away games. They struggle to hold leads and are horrible in the 4 th qtr. Cincy will score. Lamar missed practice yesterday again. He is obviously hurt and the Baltimore O line is horrible 

From yesterday’s press conference 

…..“If I want to keep doing this, then what am I trying to do with myself?” Burrow told reporters. “And I have to have fun doing it. You know, if it’s not fun, then what am I doing it for? So, that’s the mindset…….”

would hate to see him go the way of Andrew Luck, maybe the bengals could trade him to a team with a decent O-line to give him renewed enthusiasm for playing 

GL WM 

100% spot on 

WM 

Ravens

Where did this press come from? based on that paste alone it sounds like he isnt happy in cincy.

Maybe he doesnt come out to ball today? I hope he lets Chase Brown run the floor. I took Brown over 35 yards rushing today.

@WilliamMunny

 Bills win , Super Bowl odds should tell ya this! 

Baltimore had 3 questionable officiating decisions go against them in Pittsburgh last week (which is nothing unusual). The league even admitted one of them was incorrect. Baltimore will be loaded for bear today. Cincinnati can't defend tight ends and no one on that defense is standing in Henry's way with a head of steam. The home crowd will be heading to the exits early.

Baltimore had 3 questionable officiating decisions go against them in Pittsburgh last week (which is nothing unusual). The league even admitted one of them was incorrect. Baltimore will be loaded for bear today. Cincinnati can't defend tight ends and no one on that defense is standing in Henry's way with a head of steam. The home crowd will be heading to the exits early.

Shocking to say the least.. I think he must have been having a bad day. I’m sure he will come out strong on Sunday. His teammates will pick him up. Higgins is out today. We will see how it shakes out. I will definitely have to revisit this play.

Just added NE ML +100

Buffalo is EASILY 4 points better than NE. What are we smoking here?!?!?  No way Pats are an 11-2 team on paper. Regression is due. They’ve played a CAKE WALK SCHEDULE.  You don’t know ball. You also got a terrible line. Watch and learn as the experienced Buffalo squad doesn’t care about Vrabel and that weak run defense. Cook will COOK today. Josh Allen doesn’t lose games like this in December. Welcome to the real NFL, in December, Drake Maye, things are different than earlier in season. The BIG BOYS ARE HERE TO PLAY NOW. And that’s Josh Allen and the BUFFALO BILLS

Denver , Pats and maybe Bengals - Home dogs that could easily win. How GB is favored in Denver , I don’t know same w Pats . Bills struggle against good defenses Big Time. It is difficult to beat a team twice in one year so I get that angle. Packers have not been impressive this year so that should be a heck of a game as well as the others.