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*** Monday's Bases - 3 Plays on the Card ***

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Captain
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Posted: #201
Quote Originally Posted by CMP:


Think we're mostly on the same page here, appreciate being able to talk like adults.

I do genuinely hope for all the tailers that LVL's record stays more like his streak survivor record, which is definitely profitable taking low juice or dogs. Just be prepared for 50/50 that's all I'm saying.

Interestingly, if you had taken every dog this season between +150 and +199 you'd be up 20-30 units (depending on closing lines) even while hitting only at 42-43%.

Wow!  Your a Monday morning quarterback genius 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #202

Quote Originally Posted by nbird33:

Gonna turn this around LVL, I'm looking forward to it !

CMP what does it matter RE long term record, who's saying LVL has been using the same capping methods the whole time?  It's pure speculation from you, and you're making assumptions - shit talking if you will.

I don't know why you'd come here and voice your thoughts, which no one has asked for, since it's not your thread.  Youre sole motivation in this thread has been to detract from LVL's ability and reputation.

 
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Posted: #203

You know you're doing something right when people complain about a 2-2 night.

gl tmrw

 
MVP
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Posted: #204
Quote Originally Posted by EIGHTYpercent:

You know you're doing something right when people complain about a 2-2 night.

gl tmrw

  tru dat..
 
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Posted: #205
Quote Originally Posted by CMP:

Bashing isn't necessary, but if I look at LVL's home page his long term record is as follows.

MLB Regular Season | Pick Status: Pending
                  WLT               Pct         Units     Rank
ATS           178-189-0        48.50% 3735     775
O/U           166-147-14 53.04% 2150     759
All Picks   344-336-14 50.59% 5885     428

MLB Overall
                  WLT               Pct         Units     Rank
ATS           222-241-2 47.95% -370 3209
O/U          166-147-14 53.04% 2150 740
All Picks  388-388-16 50.00% 1780 1182

So looks like over the long term 50/50 is what you should expect, maybe better if you just play over and unders.
Playing on paper is not the same thing as playing live with live money on the line, and a real dollar limit in which you can tap/go bust. Especially if they are not the same picks. Can be used as a tool to educate yourself, but it all changes with money on the line.
I'd rather be playing D&D.
 
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Posted: #206
2 for 2 brother..................BOL tomorrow.....................
 
Prospect
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Posted: #207
Quote Originally Posted by Dogjimbo:

Should be about posting plays..Who in the fuk high 5's.? Look at plays..if you like them..bet on em..if not, miss a free throw and high 5 everyone. No need to bash..CMP.  we all slump brother.

See for some reason you and others have interpreted me coming into this thread as bashing, when all I have done is highlight that the long term expectation based on past results for LVL - with past results being the best predictor of future results - is quite likely to be 50/50. If LVL himself thinks that's not a fair assessment I'd be happy to discuss.

Why is that interpreted as hating? Don't you want to know this information? I'd want to know if it I was new to Covers, new to baseball betting, new to tailing LVL, etc.

I agree we all slump and that is why most of us hit at 50/50 at best. The only edge I have found in this game is by playing maybe one game a day at most, sometimes only one game A WEEK, and choosing very select situation angles but betting them significantly. Being the equivalent of tight-aggressive in Poker.

Unfortunately most of us - myself included - can't do that as we like to have more daily action to follow. It's what keeps the sportsbook industry in business and churning over record profits. After all - how many people do you know that make a lot of money from this? Can you count them on one hand? One finger?

If you don't have a team of PHDs and analysts behind you like Billy Walters I don't see how the average punter has the edge on the books long term, they know everything you do and much more, you're always fighting against a more informed and better resourced opponent. It's why you see very few long-termers in the industry, and very few cappers that can make money year after year after year.
 
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Posted: #208
Quote Originally Posted by win1234:

I understand that but anyone can get lucky once in awhile, this guy has been absolutely cold for the last week. Whatever you are doing isn't working. Stop and just flip a coin, I think you have a better shot hitting a bet for once. Lol what a joke!


Pack it in?  That was pretty rude.  Yes, I went 1-2 today.  However, my totals are better than my side.  I will post if I lose or win.  If I am negative money on the season I will stop posting.  However,  I have a gift.

Thank you for your comment.
 
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Posted: #209
Quote Originally Posted by Dogjimbo:

Should be about posting plays..Who in the fuk high 5's.? Look at plays..if you like them..bet on em..if not, miss a free throw and high 5 everyone. No need to bash..CMP.  we all slump brother.


Myself,  DogJimbo, and Snakebyte all produce winners.   I post.  Jimbo does on occasion...as does Snakebyte.     Much respect and keep the faith. Hit the OVER in the NHL which was my POD but am not posting POD's in MLB until I am consistent.   Fade or follow.  Your choice.  God I sound like Jigsaw in the movie Saw.
 
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Posted: #210
Lord, I don't know if you saw my previous message in the thread, do you know how many units you profited in MLB last season? I would appreciate the insight!

PS Don't let the haters bother you. You are gifted and they are jealous. Pretty simple. =)
 
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Posted: #211
Quote Originally Posted by PropKing82:

Lord, I don't know if you saw my previous message in the thread, do you know how many units you profited in MLB last season? I would appreciate the insight!

PS Don't let the haters bother you. You are gifted and they are jealous. Pretty simple. =)


+127 Units last season sir. On pace to better this year. 
 
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Posted: #212
You are a beast. Don't let these morons touch you. You're untouchable. I've been doing this for a very long time. I know the pro's from the phonies. You my friend are a pro! God bless.
 
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Posted: #213
Quote Originally Posted by PropKing82:

You are a beast. Don't let these morons touch you. You're untouchable. I've been doing this for a very long time. I know the pro's from the phonies. You my friend are a pro! God bless.
 I nearly pissed in my pants 
 
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Posted: #214
   

   Don't let haters bring you down, LVL.  You'll turn it around I'm sure. 

People need to think for themselves-  No one is forcing anyone here!!
 
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Posted: #215
Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:

 I nearly pissed in my pants 


You are an idiot and I have seen the shit  you talk in the Penalty box...which is why I don't post in your thread.    Piss your pants....because you are an idiot. You goal in life is to talk shit.  
 
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Posted: #216
Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:

 I nearly pissed in my pants 


LMAO I can bet you're a broke 19 year old kid in college. LMAOOOOO. You don't deserve to see LVL'S thread.
 
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Posted: #217
Quote Originally Posted by LasVegasLord:



You are an idiot and I have seen the shit  you talk in the Penalty box...which is why I don't post in your thread.    Piss your pants....because you are an idiot. You goal in life is to talk shit.  

"Uriss2302 is a dickhead and an enemy of mine"

I'm watching you


First off I rarely Post 

2nd of all.. i could give a flying fuck if you posted in a thread of mine...

You call me an idiot.. Is that supposed to be insulting... you're a whinny little 20 yr old baby ... 
 
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Posted: #218
Quote Originally Posted by PropKing82:



LMAO I can bet you're a broke 19 year old kid in college. LMAOOOOO. You don't deserve to see LVL'S thread.
oh dear
 
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Posted: #219
Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:


"Uriss2302 is a dickhead and an enemy of mine"

I'm watching you


First off I rarely Post 

2nd of all.. i could give a flying fuck if you posted in a thread of mine...

You call me an idiot.. Is that supposed to be insulting... you're a whinny little 20 yr old baby ... 


Welcome to the Covers Rehab Uriss.
 
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Posted: #220
Lord, do you place your wagers at the vegas books? Or you go offshore?
 
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Posted: #221
hey lord you have to ignore all negative post, you dont have to respond at all,,i think,,, for me you are having a bad streak ONLY a bad streak!!,,,but let me tell you something, perfection or nearly perfection (like you been just a month ago) its kind of impossible to keep all season in a RALLY of 160's games or more,,, so like All Cappers, all people who HAVE A Piece of BRAIN, should know this is only a bad streak and only this!,,, i just want to know what they will say when your winning streak came again,,,,  its impossible to keep it all season long, if you can do this,, vegas going to broke down, and a lot jobs misses LOL, so keep it working,, im new in this bussiness but for me you are one of da best,, and MLB season its just in da begining so,, keep it working and wining streak should back early!!!
support you men!
 
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Posted: #222
As always, best of luck with your picks tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #223
sarahjphilli........ learn how to suck a dick
 
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Posted: #224
Quote Originally Posted by LasVegasLord:



Myself,  DogJimbo, and Snakebyte all produce winners.   I post.  Jimbo does on occasion...as does Snakebyte.     Much respect and keep the faith. Hit the OVER in the NHL which was my POD but am not posting POD's in MLB until I am consistent.   Fade or follow.  Your choice.  God I sound like Jigsaw in the movie Saw.
 
 
 
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Posted: #225
what is it with people on this forum. is it a neccesity that you have to be UNDER 18 to be a member ? thats look at the facts, going into last night lvl was 107-80 57% up 37 units so if are following him you are WINNING. yes there will be days when he goes 0-5 and days when he goes 5-0 but LONG TERM which is what gambling is all about he is a winner so why are there so many posts from people digging him out ? on the flip side sometimes the aduration is a bit ott but the reason the bloke gets so many views and posts is because his % and profits are so good. so take the short term blinkers off children and look at the bigger picture
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