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Cincinnati at Louisville (10/26/2012)

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Away:  Cincinnati [3-2 ATS]
Home:  Louisville [3-4 ATS]

Game Time: 8:00 PM
Stadium: Papa John's Cardinal Stadium

Recent Meetings:
10/15/11 - LOU 16 vs. CIN 25
10/15/10 - CIN 35 vs. LOU 27
10/24/09 - LOU 10 vs. CIN 41

Team Leaders:

Cincinnati:
Passing: Munchie Legaux (1435)
Rushing: George Winn (607)
Receiving: Travis Kelce (286)

Louisville:
Passing: Teddy Bridgewater (1694)
Rushing: Senorise Perry (588)
Receiving: DeVante Parker (337)

More:
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In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

 
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Posted: #2

Cincinnati - 28                                          Louisville - 23

Bearcats +4                                     under 54

L'ville living on borrowed time. Cincy loves playing the role of the spoiler....The Bulls softened up the Cards, now the Bearcats finish them off.

Cincinnati - Under

 
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Posted: #3

    Agreeing with the Colonel here. Bearcats appear to have a shot and at least keep it close.

CINCINNATI  + 4

 
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I have no idea what kind of road team Cincinnati is because they've played just one game away and lost it against an inferior team.  Louisville has won both at home and away.  Louisville's yards/pass against similar competition has been above 10, which should carry over to this game.  This line will probably drop to 3.5, at which point Louisville looks like a good bet.
 
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Posted: #5
Early lean on Cincinnati 
 
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It's going to be hard to go against a qb named munchie
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Topo:

I have no idea what kind of road team Cincinnati is because they've played just one game away and lost it against an inferior team.  Louisville has won both at home and away.  Louisville's yards/pass against similar competition has been above 10, which should carry over to this game.  This line will probably drop to 3.5, at which point Louisville looks like a good bet.

They played a neutral site game vs Vtech at fedex field that was 90% hokie fans.  They looked good, dealt with the crowd noise.  Their defense will keep this close.
 
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Posted: #8

@unchoop15 - VaTech isn't very good, as we now know. Louisville is battle tested, and at home.

Lousville -3.5

 
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Posted: #9

Cincy loss to fuckin Toledo...Enough said.

Louisville -3.5 LARGE!!!

 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by InVegas:

@unchoop15 - VaTech isn't very good, as we now know. Louisville is battle tested, and at home.

Lousville -3.5


Battle tested by whom, a 2-5 S.Fla team, an 0-7 So. Miss team, a 1-7 Fla. Int team?  In none of these games could they cover the spread.  I wouldn't trust this team to cover anything more than a FG. In fact, I could see Cincinatti winning this game as they have proven year after year, that they can go on the road and play spoiler in the weak ass big east.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by Nhenley:

Cincy loss to fuckin Toledo...Enough said.

Louisville -3.5 LARGE!!!


Toledo is 7-1 with their only loss in their first game of the season @ AZ in OT.  Though I didn't see the game, I'm guessing this was a classic "look ahead" to a conference foe... 
 
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Posted: #12
 Neither Lou or Cincy playing a monster schedule but the BCS needs some teams to go down soon... so Lou, sorry your next. CIN and OV for the large!
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by wasabitobiko:


Toledo is 7-1 with their only loss in their first game of the season @ AZ in OT.  Though I didn't see the game, I'm guessing this was a classic "look ahead" to a conference foe... 

Nice angle, but you ignore the obvious - S Fl. was off a bye and Louisville was in "look ahead" mode as well. 'Ville went on the road and beat Pitt in Pitt, after Pitt destroyed Va Tech (whom Cinci barely held on to beat).

 

 
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Quote Originally Posted by wasabitobiko:


Toledo is 7-1 with their only loss in their first game of the season @ AZ in OT.  Though I didn't see the game, I'm guessing this was a classic "look ahead" to a conference foe... 
Toledo is a solid team... If they didnt get a 72 yard pick 6 and a 90 yard kick return Cincy wins that game!!! I also like cincy in this game they seem to have the better over all team!! Louisville could have easily lost at Toledo also!!!
 
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Posted: #15
With the Cardinals giving 3 at home this amounts to nothing more than a pick em. With 61% of the public on Louie and the line moving the other way, looks to me that the sharp money is coming in on Cincy. And the Bearcats have the better offensive numbers, with almost as good a defense.  With that being said;

Put me down for Cincy +3.5 / buying the hook I think. 

Make any sense?   
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by bkg1010:

With the Cardinals giving 3 at home this amounts to nothing more than a pick em. With 61% of the public on Louie and the line moving the other way, looks to me that the sharp money is coming in on Cincy. And the Bearcats have the better offensive numbers, with almost as good a defense.  With that being said;

Put me down for Cincy +3.5 / buying the hook I think. 

Make any sense?   
Makes every bit of sense 
 
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Posted: #17
Concerns me that this is just UC's 2nd road game(I know they played a neutral site game). Both teams have played a shit schedule to this point, and both have struggled against lesser competition(UL struggled with USF, Southern Miss, and FIU. While UC struggled with Delaware St and Fordham). 

I think UC has the edge here, particularly on defense. They've forced 13 TO's so far, and get good pressure on the QB, averaging 3 sacks/gm and UL allows 2/gm.

I think the difference in the game will be special teams, where these 2 teams are way far apart. UC is far superior in all aspects. UL is almost dead last in net punting, and are dreadful in punt/kick returns. 

UC +3.5
 
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Posted: #18
IM NOT OVERTHINKING THIS ONE.GIMME LOUISVILLE AT HOME-1-163@HERITAGE.
 
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Posted: #19

Quote Originally Posted by Topo:

I have no idea what kind of road team Cincinnati is because they've played just one game away and lost it against an inferior team.  Louisville has won both at home and away.  Louisville's yards/pass against similar competition has been above 10, which should carry over to this game.  This line will probably drop to 3.5, at which point Louisville looks like a good bet.

 Virginia Tech was a road game, so that makes 2

Cincy got a wake up call last week @ Toledo, Butch Jones is a GREAT coach, he'll have the troops ready

Cincy +3

 
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Posted: #20
Cincinnati +3.5 
 
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Posted: #21
CARDINALS -2.5 again buying it down (1000 units)

Cinncy lost to TOLEDO and that was their first away game.. So that tells me I can't put my money on a team only on its 2nd road game too much of a risk and I really think cards win by +6 
GL 
 
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Early lean on Cincy.. These teams both know each other very well
 
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Posted: #23
Everyone keeps screaming about losing to Toledo BUT hold on a sec..Toldeo is 7-1 overall,tied for first in W Mac,4-0 in conf AND 6-2 ATS.Guys this isnt the Toledo of old.Granted they arent Alabama but they are producing and playing some solid games.Im not overly impressed by either team or the strength of their schedules (or lack there of) BUT the biggest difference I see off hand is Cinci does have a better total yardage package and much better rushing effort.Give me Cinci +3 1/2 and U52.
 
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Posted: #24
2-0 last night Clemson under and Tampa over return tonight Cardinals -7 , I already posted last night who ever took WF must go sleep at half time and I also said WF scored 13 points and Clemson score at least 38 points. Good luck.
 
 
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the evil eye 
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