Week 14

Working through the matchups....

Play #1 - Western Michigan -6.5 x 2U

-I think they romp over an EMU that has nothing to play for and a 134th ranked run defense that will get steamrolled by a Broncos team that I think, has a shot at getting into the MAC title game?

-WMU has a very strong run game and they will roll

I am intrigued by the Miss St +7.5 ....Ole Miss though will want to not lose this but will Miss St play their guts out? You bet because if they can sneak a surprise, then they go bowling and you have to wonder if the Lane Kiffin leaving chatter for a bigger program might cause some players to not give their all which might just be enough

Iowa Under 39.5 x 3U

- last two years, the total hit 23 pts in a turkey week game..... Riaola is out and Iowa defense is getting stronger each week..... I don't see the urgency in Iowa to run up the score so they will put together methodical drives and the Huskers defense will stop some of them 

- At most, I see a 24 - 9 score here and likely not that many for Iowa ...and if so.... 31 - 6 

Watching the TOTAL on SDSU - NMexico all week.... ideally I want 42 or 42.5 but if it starts falling,

I think this will be one to play in-game > Like the UNDER in a slobber-knocker played at midfield (25 yd line to 25 yd line with FGs attempted) for much of the game 

Texas  AM -2.5 x 1U - Gift in my opinion, otherwise I would be pounding BECAUSE.... strange things are happening in games where undefeated teams play near the end of the season and Texas is improving.... still though, Horns secondary is terrible and their run game can be controlled which will be the game plan to put the ball in Manning's hands which against a rival, I don't expect to go too well

Arizona +1 x 1U - no LEAVITT ...no chance vs this secondary with Sims

- I think the crowd will help but Zona has a nice team and they match up well this year 

If I see Leavitt plays, I will buy out up to -3

HA!! 

Laughing at this Michigan line..... if they are healthy at RB, and TE, give me +10, +10.5 and I will take Wolverines at home but you know the Buckeyes are itching to pound Michigan and then plant a flag at mid field ...... and they just might attach a flag that says COLLEGE CHAMPS!

What to do, what to !!! hmmmm

@Last2thirst

 Marshall will be good. Haynes out. Should get Hogan Hansen back at TE. Should have Hausmann which is HUGE. Not sure on Rod Moore.

Delaware -5 x HALF U 

- like this line at -3 better but one win away from bowling so they will be very motivated and have a steamroll type of run game that can overwhelm this travelling UTEP team...though they are still fighting

-Delaware is just really strong at home!

Washington +7 x HALF U ....will add 1U if I find +7.5 or +8 

-this crowd is gonna be bananas and Washington will be highly motivated....both teams will and both teams no losing much juice cause they can sleep in their own beds all week right up to the game

-should be a fun one

- I think Washington is better than USC and this time Ducks have to travel

There are a lot of good games to try some angles this week but I have squeezed the best 'juice' for me in my opinion

Haynes  out hurts.... I am glad to see you chime in on this 

I lean Buckeyes now because they want revenge BIG TIME!!

In hindsight..... Buckeyes have wanted a revenge game forever it seems 

This is really the Wolverines chance to get into the Playoff.....HMMMMM...what to do....now I am on the fence!

Don't have to bet it...sounds like maybe you shouldn't

@Last2thirst

 BOL on the plays this week   

Thanks Colonel and everyone else chiming in..... 

Always good to start well:

Play #1 - Western Michigan -6.5 x 2U  

Iowa Under 39.5 x 3U

Texas  AM -2.5 x 1U

Arizona +1 x 1U

Delaware -5 x HALF U 

Washington +7 x HALF U ....will add 1U if I find +7.5 or +8  << looks like that is not gonna happen 

Last,supposed to be cold and snow! Plus all the pressure on buckeyes, I'm probably taking the 10 and ml.

I am thinking that way too ....I know high winds are coming in Friday and lakes are not frozen so maybe we see a slobber knocker with lots of running - short to medium passes?

....still hoping for +10.5

WM closed at 10......

WEATHER PLAYS!

Under 66.5 ECU-FAU x 1U - 24 mph angle wind blowing in will affect FGs and passing no doubt so 7-8 TDs only and maybe 1-2 missed converts and max 2 FGs made should do it.... 9 TDs and 1 FG also works!

Oklahoma-LSU Under 36 x HALF U ....two strong defenses and I wonder how LSU will score with weak QB play and lack of a run game

-side wind 23-25 mph so even stalled drives will be difficult to put up FGs

24-10 type of game at most or 21-13

Michigan UNDER 44.5 x 2U

- I will be shocked if Michigan scores more than 13 pts on this defense!! 

-Buckeyes will likely get their 24-27 pts but I doubt more than that .....my only thing..... will the BUCKEYES want to put a boot to the throat of Michigan

-snow could also affect footing and advantage for RBs if they get the blocking scheme right

Taking a shot on the total instead of line..... I just feel that Michigan +10 is a teasing time of line....I would rather have them +13 to +14 ....OSU is 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs Michigan 3 - 7 ATS 

I got sucked into this bad weather and hard nosed football with Iowa-Nebraska....no Raola as well so I feel like a fish watching my UNDER lose in the first half 

STRANGE SEASON reading situations ...WOW

Michigan SLOBBERKNOCKER!!!  

Love it ! I think this UNDER is gonna be good but the juices are high if you watch Bo Jackson run like a maniac for OSU and Michigan Defense dig in like its their lives on the line....FG city most of the game likely 

Who is gonna beat Ohio St??

Georgia will need a run game and be able to stop their run....GOOD LUCK!!

Indiana - Ohio St ? That might be the final in the nation / Big 10 final

Who the hell in the SEC can beat them???? Honestly. Alabama...no run game. Texas AM...good run game but a better defense of the Buckeyes who are clearly the #1 defense means more of the same in what you saw with Texas doing to them....

Summary:

Play #1 - Western Michigan -6.5 x 2U  

Iowa Under 39.5 x 3U  

Texas  AM -2.5 x 1U  ... bad read on my part (had nothing to play for except first round bye)

Arizona +1 x 1U    

Michigan UNDER 44.5 x 2U  

Under 66.5 ECU-FAU x 1U  

+2 Units so far 

Still to come......

Delaware -5 x HALF U   

Washington +7 x HALF U

Oklahoma-LSU Under 36 x HALF U