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TD 2025 CFB

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Prospect
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Posted: #126

@Hoyasaxa

 On 3rd down, no less. Very, very suspicious.

 
Captain
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Posted: #127

Then Villanova makes a miralce QB throw/ catch with 4 seconds left..500-1 that happens..to lose by only 46 and don't tell me they had reason to avoid the shutout because Penn St had the same reasons to get one...but nothing's new with James Franklin..they should have completely blown this team out, their schedule and Ohio State's new team should allow them to win it all BUT DON'T U BET ON THAT

 
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Posted: #128

Sorry all, New Haven playing really well so far tonight.  Surprised by that, I guess the high variance comment is coming true.

 
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Posted: #129

Nothing like waking up at dawn for a fall baseball game after a very, very humbling Saturday of college football wagering.  I'll have to double check it later today, but first pass of my spreadsheet is -19.4 units for the week, which puts me at -7.8u for the college football season.  Unfamiliar territory; when you're playing from ahead, its a different mindset.  I will obviously need to be more selective moving forward.  Sorry to any of you that played some of these.  It's not a good feeling to get your @ss kicked so badly like that.  A couple swing games didn't go my way, but also a lot of bad calls.

Week 4: only opener last night was USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

 

 
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Posted: #130

Was just about to send..."that UAB -8' is a LOCK"......I might pay his buyout just to get rid of that idiot ha 

The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #131

@bookieassassin

Dilfer with 31 points at the half puts up a goose egg in the 2nd half.  smh as I think about that some more.  Just faded him this week.  Heupel off a loss should take it to UAB.

 
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Posted: #132

What I took yesterday and have so far:

Week 4:

Illinois +4.5 -110 (1u) & Lookahead from last week Illinois +4.5 -104 (1u) (2u overall)

Wyoming / Colorado Under 46.5 -110 (1.5u)

USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Iowa / Rutgers Under 46.5 -110 (0.5u)

Tennessee -37.5 -112 (0.5u)

And not recommended now, but Lookahead from two weeks ago that I have to deal with:

Florida +4.5 -105 (1.3u) ouch

 
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Posted: #133

Updates:

 

Week 4:

Illinois +4.5 -110 (1u) +4.5 -104 (1u) (2u overall)

Wyoming / Colorado Under 46.5 -110 (1.5u)

USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Added:  Florida International -5 -110 (1u)

Iowa / Rutgers Under 46.5 -110 (0.5u)

Tennessee -37.5 -112 (0.5u)

And not recommended now, but Lookahead from two weeks ago:

Florida +4.5 -105 (1.3u)

 

Added since openers late yesterday:

College Extra & FCS:

Idaho / San Jose State Under 50.5 -110 (2u)

VMI / Richmond Under 43.5 -110 (1.25u)

San Diego / Princeton Under 50.5 -110 (1u)

Sacramento State -10.5 -110 (1u)

Southern Illinois -6.5 -105 (0.8u)

Wofford / Virginia Tech Under 48.5 -110 (0.75u)

Northern Arizona -2.5 -110 (0.75u)

The Citadel +8.5 -110 (0.75u)

Eastern Washington -9.5 (0.6u)

 

 

 
Veteran
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Posted: #134

Good luck this week TD!

 
Legend
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Posted: #135

Get em TD peace_5

 
Captain
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Posted: #136

Thanks guys, appreciate it.  A little more luck would be good.  Some tough losses these last two weeks on swing games.

 

One update below:

 

Week 4:

Illinois +4.5 -110 (1u) +4.5 -104 (1u) (2u overall)

Wyoming / Colorado Under 46.5 -110 (1.5u)

USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Florida International -5 -110 (1u)

Iowa / Rutgers Under 46.5 -110 (0.5u)

Tennessee -37.5 -112 (0.5u)

Added:  Memphis +3.5 -103 1st Half (0.5u)

And not recommended now, but Lookahead from two weeks ago:

Florida +4.5 -105 (1.3u)

 

College Extra & FCS:

Idaho / San Jose State Under 50.5 -110 (2u)

VMI / Richmond Under 43.5 -110 (1.25u)

San Diego / Princeton Under 50.5 -110 (1u)

Sacramento State -10.5 -110 (1u)

Southern Illinois -6.5 -105 (0.8u)

Wofford / Virginia Tech Under 48.5 -110 (0.75u)

Northern Arizona -2.5 -110 (0.75u)

The Citadel +8.5 -110 (0.75u)

Eastern Washington -9.5 (0.6u)

 
Prospect
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Posted: #137

@TD21

 Did you notice Illinois is up to +7?

 
Captain
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Posted: #138

Week 4:

Illinois +4.5 -110 (1u) +4.5 -104 (1u) (2u overall)

Wyoming / Colorado Under 46.5 -110 (1.5u)

USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Florida International -5 -110 (1u)

Iowa / Rutgers Under 46.5 -110 (0.5u)

Tennessee -37.5 -112 (0.5u)

Memphis +3.5 -103 1st Half (0.5u)

And not recommended now, but Lookahead from two weeks ago:

Florida +4.5 -105 (1.3u)

 

College Extra & FCS:

Idaho / San Jose State Under 50.5 -110 (2u)

VMI / Richmond Under 43.5 -110 (1.25u)

San Diego / Princeton Under 50.5 -110 (1u)

Sacramento State -10.5 -110 (1u)

Southern Illinois -6.5 -105 (0.8u)

Wofford / Virginia Tech Under 48.5 -110 (0.75u)

Northern Arizona -2.5 -110 (0.75u)

The Citadel +8.5 -110 (0.75u)

Eastern Washington -9.5 (0.6u)

Added:  South Carolina State +38.5 -110 (0.4u)

 
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Posted: #139

@marman1224

Yep, I know that the all conf CB is out, but still seems like a lot of points for two evenly matched teams.  Should be a back & forth tight game to me, but maybe I'm missing something.  GL today!

 
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Posted: #140

Last week was a mess!  Again!  The FBS plays were simply bad including a couple of Lookahead Lines that I should not have played in hindsight.  And in-game I made some mistakes with doubling down too soon in a couple games that I played the Total. 

Looks like 5-5 on College Extra and FCS.  Now, this is where I am struggling because I made an effort to trim down the number of plays from Week 3 to Week 4.  Looking back at my full list of plays to consider in Week 4 and had I just taken the opener on everything I listed I would have gone 27-13.  Talk about a mind fck,... I'm really struggling with this.  My feel on these games has been really good, but which games I'm most confident in has been off.  Not sure what the answer is.  Flat bet maybe and just power through it??  Anyway, close to my worst two back to back weeks ever other than when I first started in 2011 and was too greedy at the start of this endeavour.

 

Week 5 FBS plays locked in on Sunday:

Baylor -19.5 -110 (2u)

Utah State +22.5 -110 (1u)

Mississippi State +10 -110 (1u)

Alabama / Georgia Over 53.5 -115 (0.9u)

Notre Dame -6.5 -110 (0.75u)

 

 

 
Captain
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Posted: #141

A little late to the party on this, but with Manny Diaz's style of play on defense and with the QB injury, I'll take Duke here.

Week 5 FBS locked in:

Baylor -19.5 -110 (2u)

Utah State +22.5 -110 (1u)

Mississippi State +10 -110 (1u)

Added: Duke -5.5 -105 (1u)

Alabama / Georgia Over 53.5 -115 (0.9u)

Notre Dame -6.5 -110 (0.75u)

 
Captain
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Posted: #142

This side was quickly bet from -6.5 opener to -7.5.  I make it closer to -11 to -12.  But took a position on the Total instead.

 

Week 5 College Extra / FCS:

Rhode Island / Western Michigan Under 47.5 -110 (1.5u)

 
Captain
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Posted: #143

Back to smaller plays and ok with high volume.  So far pretty good reads on which way the lines should move.  Waiting on several games that have not been offered yet.

Week 5 College Extra / FCS:

Rhode Island / Western Michigan Under 47.5 -110 (1.5u)

Austin Peay -13.5 -110 (1u)

Dayton -23.5 -110 (1u)

Maine -13.5 -110 (1u)

Jackson State -13.5 -110 (1u)

Elon -15.5 -110 (0.75u)

Richmond -9.5 -110 (0.75u)

McNeese State / Stephen F. Austin Over 48.5 -110 (0.5u)

Nicholls State +6.5 -110 (0.5u)

Albany +17.5 -110 (0.5u)

William & Mary +9.5 -110 (0.25u)

Stephen F. Austin -13.5 -110 (0.2u)

 

 

 
Captain
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Posted: #144

Some more FCS openers from the wee hours of the night and early this morning that I’m just getting around to posting over lunch.

 

Rhode Island / Western Michigan Under 47.5 -110 (1.5u)

Mercyhurst +35.5 -110 (1.5u)

Austin Peay -13.5 -110 (1u)

Dayton -23.5 -110 (1u)

Maine -13.5 -110 (1u)

Jackson State -13.5 -110 (1u)

Elon -15.5 -110 (0.75u)

Richmond -9.5 -110 (0.75u)

Holy Cross / Fordham Over 48.5 -110 (0.75u)  …currently 45.5, oops 

Lamar -6.5 -110 (0.75u)

NDSU -21.5 -115 (0.75u)

Stonehill College +5.5 -110 (0.6u)

McNeese State / Stephen F. Austin Over 48.5 -110 (0.5u)

Nicholls State +6.5 -110 (0.5u)

Albany +17.5 -110 (0.5u)

Holy Cross -13.5 -110 (0.5u)

East Tennessee State +5.5 -110 (0.5u)

Idaho +10.5 -110 (0.5u)

Dartmouth -9.5 -105 (0.4u)

William & Mary +9.5 -110 (0.25u)

Stephen F. Austin -13.5 -110 (0.2u)

 
Captain
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Posted: #145

None of us know how good or bad this startup team really is just yet.  I think they may surprise some, relatively speaking, in their first conference game.  

 

Week 5 College Extra / FCS:

Rhode Island / Western Michigan Under 47.5 -110 (1.5u)

Mercyhurst +35.5 -110 (1.5u)

Austin Peay -13.5 -110 (1u)

Dayton -23.5 -110 (1u)

Maine -13.5 -110 (1u)

Jackson State -13.5 -110 (1u)

Elon -15.5 -110 (0.75u)

Richmond -9.5 -110 (0.75u)

Holy Cross / Fordham Over 48.5 -110 (0.75u)  …currently 45.5, oops 

Lamar -6.5 -110 (0.75u)

NDSU -21.5 -115 (0.75u)

Stonehill College +5.5 -110 (0.6u)

UTRGV +17.5 -110 (0.6u)..... before I can even post it, up to +19.5 -105..... I get another oops on the board for CLV.

McNeese State / Stephen F. Austin Over 48.5 -110 (0.5u)

Nicholls State +6.5 -110 (0.5u)

Albany +17.5 -110 (0.5u)

Holy Cross -13.5 -110 (0.5u)

East Tennessee State +5.5 -110 (0.5u)

Idaho +10.5 -110 (0.5u)

Dartmouth -9.5 -105 (0.4u)

William & Mary +9.5 -110 (0.25u)

Stephen F. Austin -13.5 -110 (0.2u)

 

 
Captain
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Posted: #146

Week 5 UDML Parlay fun lottery ticket donation:

6-leg parlay:

Sacred Heart ML +190

Stonehill ML +158

Marist ML +180

Washington ML +250

East Tennessee State ML +146

UTRGV ML +860

Risk 0.15u to win 259.6u

 
Captain
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Posted: #147

Week 5 FBS locked in:

Baylor -19.5 -110 (2u)

Utah State +22.5 -110 (1u)

Mississippi State +10 -110 (1u)

Duke -5.5 -105 (1u)

Alabama / Georgia Over 53.5 -115 (0.9u)

Added:  Washington +10 -121 (0.9u)

Notre Dame -6.5 -110 (0.75u)

 
Captain
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Posted: #148

A couple updates......

Week 5 College Extra / FCS:

Rhode Island / Western Michigan Under 47.5 -110 (1.5u)

Mercyhurst +35.5 -110 (1.5u)

Austin Peay -13.5 -110 (1u)

Dayton -23.5 -110 (1u)

Maine -13.5 -110 (1u)

Jackson State -13.5 -110 (1u)

Elon -15.5 -110 (0.75u)

Richmond -9.5 -110 (0.75u)

Holy Cross / Fordham Over 48.5 -110 (0.75u)

Lamar -6.5 -110 (0.75u)

NDSU -21.5 -115 (0.75u)

Stonehill College +5.5 -110 (0.6u)

UTRGV +17.5 -110 (0.6u)

Dartmouth -9.5 -105 (0.4u) & Added Dartmouth -6.5 -120 (0.2u)  (0.6u overall)

Added:  Marist +7 -110 (0.5u)

McNeese State / Stephen F. Austin Over 48.5 -110 (0.5u)

Nicholls State +6.5 -110 (0.5u)

Albany +17.5 -110 (0.5u)

Holy Cross -13.5 -110 (0.5u)

East Tennessee State +5.5 -110 (0.5u)

Idaho +10.5 -110 (0.5u)

William & Mary +9.5 -110 (0.25u)

Stephen F. Austin -13.5 -110 (0.2u)

 
Captain
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Posted: #149

One more based on line movement and leaning this way from the start.

Week 5 College Extra / FCS:

Rhode Island / Western Michigan Under 47.5 -110 (1.5u)

Mercyhurst +35.5 -110 (1.5u)

Austin Peay -13.5 -110 (1u)

Dayton -23.5 -110 (1u)

Maine -13.5 -110 (1u)

Jackson State -13.5 -110 (1u)

Elon -15.5 -110 (0.75u)

Richmond -9.5 -110 (0.75u)

Holy Cross / Fordham Over 48.5 -110 (0.75u)

Lamar -6.5 -110 (0.75u)

NDSU -21.5 -115 (0.75u)

Stonehill College +5.5 -110 (0.6u)

UTRGV +17.5 -110 (0.6u)

Added:  Alabama State -3 -120 (0.6u)

Dartmouth -9.5 -105 (0.4u) & Added Dartmouth -6.5 -120 (0.2u)  (0.6u overall)

Marist +7 -110 (0.5u)

McNeese State / Stephen F. Austin Over 48.5 -110 (0.5u)

Nicholls State +6.5 -110 (0.5u)

Albany +17.5 -110 (0.5u)

Holy Cross -13.5 -110 (0.5u)

East Tennessee State +5.5 -110 (0.5u)

Idaho +10.5 -110 (0.5u)

William & Mary +9.5 -110 (0.25u)

Stephen F. Austin -13.5 -110 (0.2u)

 

 
 
Captain
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Posted: #150

Week 6 Locked In:

Wyoming +5.5 -105 (3u)

Iowa State -2.5 -105 (1.5u)

Miami (Ohio) / Northern Illinois Under 39.5 -110 (1.3u)

Central Michigan -6.5 -110 (1u)

Vanderbilt +14 -110 (0.7u)

Houston +12.5 -105 (0.7u)

UL Monroe +12.5 -115 (0.6u)

Old Dominion -16.5 -110 (0.5u)

Ball State +17.5 -110 (0.5u)

Air Force +11.5 -110 (0.5u)

Kansas -3 -110 (0.4u)

 

 

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