TD 2025 CFB

@Hoyasaxa

 On 3rd down, no less. Very, very suspicious.

Then Villanova makes a miralce QB throw/ catch with 4 seconds left..500-1 that happens..to lose by only 46 and don't tell me they had reason to avoid the shutout because Penn St had the same reasons to get one...but nothing's new with James Franklin..they should have completely blown this team out, their schedule and Ohio State's new team should allow them to win it all BUT DON'T U BET ON THAT

Sorry all, New Haven playing really well so far tonight.  Surprised by that, I guess the high variance comment is coming true.

Nothing like waking up at dawn for a fall baseball game after a very, very humbling Saturday of college football wagering.  I'll have to double check it later today, but first pass of my spreadsheet is -19.4 units for the week, which puts me at -7.8u for the college football season.  Unfamiliar territory; when you're playing from ahead, its a different mindset.  I will obviously need to be more selective moving forward.  Sorry to any of you that played some of these.  It's not a good feeling to get your @ss kicked so badly like that.  A couple swing games didn't go my way, but also a lot of bad calls.

Week 4: only opener last night was USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Was just about to send..."that UAB -8' is a LOCK"......I might pay his buyout just to get rid of that idiot ha 

@bookieassassin

Dilfer with 31 points at the half puts up a goose egg in the 2nd half.  smh as I think about that some more.  Just faded him this week.  Heupel off a loss should take it to UAB.

What I took yesterday and have so far:

Week 4:

Illinois +4.5 -110 (1u) & Lookahead from last week Illinois +4.5 -104 (1u) (2u overall)

Wyoming / Colorado Under 46.5 -110 (1.5u)

USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Iowa / Rutgers Under 46.5 -110 (0.5u)

Tennessee -37.5 -112 (0.5u)

And not recommended now, but Lookahead from two weeks ago that I have to deal with:

Florida +4.5 -105 (1.3u) ouch

Updates:

Week 4:

Illinois +4.5 -110 (1u) +4.5 -104 (1u) (2u overall)

Wyoming / Colorado Under 46.5 -110 (1.5u)

USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Added:  Florida International -5 -110 (1u)

Iowa / Rutgers Under 46.5 -110 (0.5u)

Tennessee -37.5 -112 (0.5u)

And not recommended now, but Lookahead from two weeks ago:

Florida +4.5 -105 (1.3u)

Added since openers late yesterday:

College Extra & FCS:

Idaho / San Jose State Under 50.5 -110 (2u)

VMI / Richmond Under 43.5 -110 (1.25u)

San Diego / Princeton Under 50.5 -110 (1u)

Sacramento State -10.5 -110 (1u)

Southern Illinois -6.5 -105 (0.8u)

Wofford / Virginia Tech Under 48.5 -110 (0.75u)

Northern Arizona -2.5 -110 (0.75u)

The Citadel +8.5 -110 (0.75u)

Eastern Washington -9.5 (0.6u)

Good luck this week TD!

Get em TD 

Thanks guys, appreciate it.  A little more luck would be good.  Some tough losses these last two weeks on swing games.

One update below:

Week 4:

Illinois +4.5 -110 (1u) +4.5 -104 (1u) (2u overall)

Wyoming / Colorado Under 46.5 -110 (1.5u)

USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Florida International -5 -110 (1u)

Iowa / Rutgers Under 46.5 -110 (0.5u)

Tennessee -37.5 -112 (0.5u)

Added:  Memphis +3.5 -103 1st Half (0.5u)

And not recommended now, but Lookahead from two weeks ago:

Florida +4.5 -105 (1.3u)

College Extra & FCS:

Idaho / San Jose State Under 50.5 -110 (2u)

VMI / Richmond Under 43.5 -110 (1.25u)

San Diego / Princeton Under 50.5 -110 (1u)

Sacramento State -10.5 -110 (1u)

Southern Illinois -6.5 -105 (0.8u)

Wofford / Virginia Tech Under 48.5 -110 (0.75u)

Northern Arizona -2.5 -110 (0.75u)

The Citadel +8.5 -110 (0.75u)

Eastern Washington -9.5 (0.6u)

@TD21

 Did you notice Illinois is up to +7?

Week 4:

Illinois +4.5 -110 (1u) +4.5 -104 (1u) (2u overall)

Wyoming / Colorado Under 46.5 -110 (1.5u)

USC -13.5 -110 (1u)

Florida International -5 -110 (1u)

Iowa / Rutgers Under 46.5 -110 (0.5u)

Tennessee -37.5 -112 (0.5u)

Memphis +3.5 -103 1st Half (0.5u)

And not recommended now, but Lookahead from two weeks ago:

Florida +4.5 -105 (1.3u)

College Extra & FCS:

Idaho / San Jose State Under 50.5 -110 (2u)

VMI / Richmond Under 43.5 -110 (1.25u)

San Diego / Princeton Under 50.5 -110 (1u)

Sacramento State -10.5 -110 (1u)

Southern Illinois -6.5 -105 (0.8u)

Wofford / Virginia Tech Under 48.5 -110 (0.75u)

Northern Arizona -2.5 -110 (0.75u)

The Citadel +8.5 -110 (0.75u)

Eastern Washington -9.5 (0.6u)

Added:  South Carolina State +38.5 -110 (0.4u)

@marman1224

Yep, I know that the all conf CB is out, but still seems like a lot of points for two evenly matched teams.  Should be a back & forth tight game to me, but maybe I'm missing something.  GL today!

Last week was a mess!  Again!  The FBS plays were simply bad including a couple of Lookahead Lines that I should not have played in hindsight.  And in-game I made some mistakes with doubling down too soon in a couple games that I played the Total. 

Looks like 5-5 on College Extra and FCS.  Now, this is where I am struggling because I made an effort to trim down the number of plays from Week 3 to Week 4.  Looking back at my full list of plays to consider in Week 4 and had I just taken the opener on everything I listed I would have gone 27-13.  Talk about a mind fck,... I'm really struggling with this.  My feel on these games has been really good, but which games I'm most confident in has been off.  Not sure what the answer is.  Flat bet maybe and just power through it??  Anyway, close to my worst two back to back weeks ever other than when I first started in 2011 and was too greedy at the start of this endeavour.

Week 5 FBS plays locked in on Sunday:

Baylor -19.5 -110 (2u)

Utah State +22.5 -110 (1u)

Mississippi State +10 -110 (1u)

Alabama / Georgia Over 53.5 -115 (0.9u)

Notre Dame -6.5 -110 (0.75u)

A little late to the party on this, but with Manny Diaz's style of play on defense and with the QB injury, I'll take Duke here.

Week 5 FBS locked in:

Baylor -19.5 -110 (2u)

Utah State +22.5 -110 (1u)

Mississippi State +10 -110 (1u)

Added: Duke -5.5 -105 (1u)

Alabama / Georgia Over 53.5 -115 (0.9u)

Notre Dame -6.5 -110 (0.75u)