Public Indicator Calculations 2025

@HooAlum

 Sorry made a slight miscalculatrion, Illinois is a 1.5 unit pick not a 3 unit pick.  Southern Cal has much stringer SKS given they are the road team.

This also gives me the opportunity to better explain what I mean by SKS.  It is a fun little term taken from Lee Corso "somebody knows something" that he would use when a lower ranked team was a favorite over a higher ranked team, but I apply it, like the other indicators, mathematically.  If a lower ranked or unranked team is a favorite or within the traditional 3 point homefield margin - see Alabama Georgia - then it intuitively does not make sense in regards to the public's view of the game.  Thus the oddsmakers know something that should cut against common sense.   For every "key number" (e.g. 3 point spread) it is favored or cuts into the home field, the stronger the SKS indicator is

You're retarded lol. Some plays flip, driven by line movements, yet he never posts lines. He never finalizes plays. He could flip a strong play he had all week 30 mins before kickoff.. without ever posting the line he bet LMAO

If you don’t post the lines or odds you’re betting, you aren’t serious. Keep defending your bf simp

@BarrelledIn

Seems to me if you don't like his thread you might find one you do like instead of bashing him. But that's just me. 

@BarrelledIn

I could be wrong but I doubt he is seeking or needs your approval or validation. There’s no need to criticize or hate on anyone here, doing so is retarded since nobody here owes anybody else anything. The poster is taking time out of his day to give out free information. You can either tail or fade or neither, carry on as you wish. But if he wins 100 games straight or loses 100 games straight, he doesn’t get a dollar from any of us. A reasonable man would say that you are the retarded simp for wasting your time to post that you don’t approve of what he’s doing lol there are other ways to get attention from strangers, just imagine if you were born a girl

@HooAlum

Midafternoon update for the 3:30/4:15 games.  not a lot of change from the morning except out west where there is a pop due to a rush of bets and money on the Huskies (not a good thing if you are a U-Dub fan).  

Cal (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh bye week return

Indiana (3 units): Line movement, low ticket favorite

Ole Miss (6.5 units): SKS, low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators

Auburn (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh bye week return and low handle favorite

Oh and as I always say SHOP for your lines.  My jurisdiction has multiple sportsbooks with choices.  Did that and choose the best available.  Otherwise you are not maximizing your opportunity.  UVa yesterday is an example.  You really wanted -7 (though it did not matter anyone watching OT probably was thinking they wish they had that and not -6.5).  

CHANGE: Ohio State (4 units): low bet low handle favorite bye week return

Tennessee (1 unit): Low handle favorite

@HooAlum

BTW, I REALLY want to pull the trigger on UCLA-Northwestern.  The handle is just not there so this is not an official call and will not go down as such (so buyer BEWARE) but the indicators are really strong on UCLA if you want to go forward on that game.  Yo can still get 6.5 at MGM and a few other places as the line starts to shrink before gametime

Penn st still 8u ? 

its very strong because im on ucla

@HooAlum

Here are the early evening games (Colorado - BYU will qualify and I will report closer to game time).  Penn State still a strong play but some of the shape indicators pulled back slightly

Arizona (2 units): line movement and Sharp Indicator

Penn State (6 units): low ticket and handle favorite, heavy sharp indicators and bye week return

Alabama (4 units): SKS heavy sharp indicators

@HooAlum

Nice catch on the OSU/UW late numbers HOO. Appreciate the effort....

Plus money so far.  Good job Hoo.  Even got the push on the Tenn game.  

@HooAlum

 BYU (1 unit) - sharp indicator.  Line movement went away coming back down to -6.5  to give the Cougars the modest call

@paperprophets

 congrats on the Tennessee game.  I unfortunately got a half point loss :(

(but got a half point win in college station for a similar wager so cannot overly complain)

@HooAlum

 and of course, I did not add in the high handle on the late night game, which favors Colorado so actually a no bet game overall.  Sorry about that slip up.

Huge weekend thanks to you, @HooAlum!

I even cashed out all of my NFL bets on the day since I don’t want to lose back what I gained on NCAA.  ¡Muchas Gracias!