OK, Pitt is getting 10 and the O/U is 49. Your odds may vary.
Let's put our heads together and figure out the best play here.
State's QB (Winston) is a true freshman and Pitt's QB (Savage) is an experienced senior transfer from Rutgers.
Florida State looks to return a strong running game behind a strong offensive line. Their receiving core is mainly intact from last year.
Their defense will lose a lot of sack power and their best playmaker (Rhodes) in the secondary.
Pitt's running game is a massive question-mark as inexperienced junior Bennett will start. Pitt returns their best receiver and debuts a talented freshman.
PItt's stingy defense returns nine starters, including three-of-four in their secondary. They will be leaned on to keep games manageable while the offense finds its feet.
--------------------------
Well, what do we think here? Under 49? Neither side's offense inspires a shoot-out type game and one should expect both defenses to show up. Winston in his first game and Savage in his first Pitt game don't make me think the scoreboard will be lighting up.
How about the side? Can Florida St. win by 11 or more? Can Pitt's defense bend but not break?
Also, let's look at perception here........everyone knows everyone and their square kitchen sink would and will take the Seminoles in this spot. So why should the books put out a 7, 7.5, or 8, when they can get just as much Seminole money on 10? I can't help but think that this line is inflated.
But then again, I can't see how Pitt is going to be able to hang within the number if Florida State comes to play and Winston is halfway decent.
OK, Pitt is getting 10 and the O/U is 49. Your odds may vary.
Let's put our heads together and figure out the best play here.
State's QB (Winston) is a true freshman and Pitt's QB (Savage) is an experienced senior transfer from Rutgers.
Florida State looks to return a strong running game behind a strong offensive line. Their receiving core is mainly intact from last year.
Their defense will lose a lot of sack power and their best playmaker (Rhodes) in the secondary.
Pitt's running game is a massive question-mark as inexperienced junior Bennett will start. Pitt returns their best receiver and debuts a talented freshman.
PItt's stingy defense returns nine starters, including three-of-four in their secondary. They will be leaned on to keep games manageable while the offense finds its feet.
--------------------------
Well, what do we think here? Under 49? Neither side's offense inspires a shoot-out type game and one should expect both defenses to show up. Winston in his first game and Savage in his first Pitt game don't make me think the scoreboard will be lighting up.
How about the side? Can Florida St. win by 11 or more? Can Pitt's defense bend but not break?
Also, let's look at perception here........everyone knows everyone and their square kitchen sink would and will take the Seminoles in this spot. So why should the books put out a 7, 7.5, or 8, when they can get just as much Seminole money on 10? I can't help but think that this line is inflated.
But then again, I can't see how Pitt is going to be able to hang within the number if Florida State comes to play and Winston is halfway decent.
I'm gonna play an under of some kind. Still need to figure it out.
I am gonna hit the Under.
I reckon both teams will play a game-management styled game. When Florida State has the ball, they will lean heavily on their rushing game. Not only because this is their strength, but to not put too much into the hands of their freshman QB who has no experience. For Pitt, this plays into their defensive strength. This also drains the clock heavily. See Wisconsin game this weekend.
When Pitt has the ball, they will want to maximize the time they have it in order to keep Florida St. off the field and give as much rest as possible to their defense. Savage is an experienced QB from Rutgers, but he just doesn't have the weapons to spin the scoreboard crazy. I expect a lot of dink-and-dunk short yardage plays. Of course, Florida State should still be somewhat competent on the defensive side of the ball, even though they've lost a good deal of talent there.
I'm gonna play an under of some kind. Still need to figure it out.
I am gonna hit the Under.
I reckon both teams will play a game-management styled game. When Florida State has the ball, they will lean heavily on their rushing game. Not only because this is their strength, but to not put too much into the hands of their freshman QB who has no experience. For Pitt, this plays into their defensive strength. This also drains the clock heavily. See Wisconsin game this weekend.
When Pitt has the ball, they will want to maximize the time they have it in order to keep Florida St. off the field and give as much rest as possible to their defense. Savage is an experienced QB from Rutgers, but he just doesn't have the weapons to spin the scoreboard crazy. I expect a lot of dink-and-dunk short yardage plays. Of course, Florida State should still be somewhat competent on the defensive side of the ball, even though they've lost a good deal of talent there.
Fla St lost a lot of players on defense...Only 4 starters return from
last season...They lost Werner,Carradine and Jenkins to the
NFL....Werner and Carradine combined for 24 sacks last season....They also lost corner back Rhodes.
I
remember Tom Savage when he played for Rutgers...I have a feeling he
will be tough in this game...Devon Street caught 74 passes last season
for 975....5 TD`s....He will be a nice target....Freshman receiver Tyler
Boyd is suppose to be the real deal.
9 starters return on defense for the Panthers.
I`m also not feeling this Jameis Winston guy....LOL
I see him making some mistakes on the road in the opener.
And it helps that there is a whopping 73% of the public on the Noles.
Fla St lost a lot of players on defense...Only 4 starters return from
last season...They lost Werner,Carradine and Jenkins to the
NFL....Werner and Carradine combined for 24 sacks last season....They also lost corner back Rhodes.
I
remember Tom Savage when he played for Rutgers...I have a feeling he
will be tough in this game...Devon Street caught 74 passes last season
for 975....5 TD`s....He will be a nice target....Freshman receiver Tyler
Boyd is suppose to be the real deal.
9 starters return on defense for the Panthers.
I`m also not feeling this Jameis Winston guy....LOL
I see him making some mistakes on the road in the opener.
And it helps that there is a whopping 73% of the public on the Noles.
Savage has not played a game in 2 years - not sure how he will adjust. Winston is a friggin beast man and even though FSU can rely on their run game, don't be surprised if they let Winston flex a bit. There will be some growing pains here and there but Winston is pretty damn good and should have no problem adjusting.
I wouldn't exactly call Pitts defense stingy those returning starters gave up quite a few points against average competition, they are another year experienced though.
I'm really predicting FSU to dominate on both sides of the ball, i think with all the new faces FSU is being underrated with this line. I get it there are quite a few question marks with the new faces but I have no doubt they will ready to go. Jimbo will have his boys ready. Chryst isnt on the same level.
Savage has not played a game in 2 years - not sure how he will adjust. Winston is a friggin beast man and even though FSU can rely on their run game, don't be surprised if they let Winston flex a bit. There will be some growing pains here and there but Winston is pretty damn good and should have no problem adjusting.
I wouldn't exactly call Pitts defense stingy those returning starters gave up quite a few points against average competition, they are another year experienced though.
I'm really predicting FSU to dominate on both sides of the ball, i think with all the new faces FSU is being underrated with this line. I get it there are quite a few question marks with the new faces but I have no doubt they will ready to go. Jimbo will have his boys ready. Chryst isnt on the same level.
Fla St lost a lot of players on defense...Only 4 starters return from
last season...They lost Werner,Carradine and Jenkins to the
NFL....Werner and Carradine combined for 24 sacks last season....They also lost corner back Rhodes.
I
remember Tom Savage when he played for Rutgers...I have a feeling he
will be tough in this game...Devon Street caught 74 passes last season
for 975....5 TD`s....He will be a nice target....Freshman receiver Tyler
Boyd is suppose to be the real deal.
9 starters return on defense for the Panthers.
I`m also not feeling this Jameis Winston guy....LOL
I see him making some mistakes on the road in the opener.
And it helps that there is a whopping 73% of the public on the Noles.
At the moment...Pittsburgh +10 is my play.
GL
As for the side, no way in hell would I touch the massive public favorite in the final game of the week. No. Way.
Fla St lost a lot of players on defense...Only 4 starters return from
last season...They lost Werner,Carradine and Jenkins to the
NFL....Werner and Carradine combined for 24 sacks last season....They also lost corner back Rhodes.
I
remember Tom Savage when he played for Rutgers...I have a feeling he
will be tough in this game...Devon Street caught 74 passes last season
for 975....5 TD`s....He will be a nice target....Freshman receiver Tyler
Boyd is suppose to be the real deal.
9 starters return on defense for the Panthers.
I`m also not feeling this Jameis Winston guy....LOL
I see him making some mistakes on the road in the opener.
And it helps that there is a whopping 73% of the public on the Noles.
At the moment...Pittsburgh +10 is my play.
GL
As for the side, no way in hell would I touch the massive public favorite in the final game of the week. No. Way.
Savage has not played a game in 2 years - not sure how he will adjust. Winston is a friggin beast man and even though FSU can rely on their run game, don't be surprised if they let Winston flex a bit. There will be some growing pains here and there but Winston is pretty damn good and should have no problem adjusting.
I wouldn't exactly call Pitts defense stingy those returning starters gave up quite a few points against average competition, they are another year experienced though.
I'm really predicting FSU to dominate on both sides of the ball, i think with all the new faces FSU is being underrated with this line. I get it there are quite a few question marks with the new faces but I have no doubt they will ready to go. Jimbo will have his boys ready. Chryst isnt on the same level.
What do you know about Winston?
If he is as good in his first game as Cal's QB was, Pitt is in trouble.
Savage has not played a game in 2 years - not sure how he will adjust. Winston is a friggin beast man and even though FSU can rely on their run game, don't be surprised if they let Winston flex a bit. There will be some growing pains here and there but Winston is pretty damn good and should have no problem adjusting.
I wouldn't exactly call Pitts defense stingy those returning starters gave up quite a few points against average competition, they are another year experienced though.
I'm really predicting FSU to dominate on both sides of the ball, i think with all the new faces FSU is being underrated with this line. I get it there are quite a few question marks with the new faces but I have no doubt they will ready to go. Jimbo will have his boys ready. Chryst isnt on the same level.
What do you know about Winston?
If he is as good in his first game as Cal's QB was, Pitt is in trouble.
Pitt is one of those teams that will play the exact opposite of the total you bet. Bet the over, and you will never see more three and outs. Bet the under, and all of a sudden they think they are Texas A&M. Pitt is ow is on my no bet list
Pitt is one of those teams that will play the exact opposite of the total you bet. Bet the over, and you will never see more three and outs. Bet the under, and all of a sudden they think they are Texas A&M. Pitt is ow is on my no bet list
I reckon both teams will play a game-management styled game. When Florida State has the ball, they will lean heavily on their rushing game. Not only because this is their strength, but to not put too much into the hands of their freshman QB who has no experience. For Pitt, this plays into their defensive strength. This also drains the clock heavily. See Wisconsin game this weekend.
When Pitt has the ball, they will want to maximize the time they have it in order to keep Florida St. off the field and give as much rest as possible to their defense. Savage is an experienced QB from Rutgers, but he just doesn't have the weapons to spin the scoreboard crazy. I expect a lot of dink-and-dunk short yardage plays. Of course, Florida State should still be somewhat competent on the defensive side of the ball, even though they've lost a good deal of talent there.
UNDER 49
GL buddy I'm leaning that way big time. Good analysis
I reckon both teams will play a game-management styled game. When Florida State has the ball, they will lean heavily on their rushing game. Not only because this is their strength, but to not put too much into the hands of their freshman QB who has no experience. For Pitt, this plays into their defensive strength. This also drains the clock heavily. See Wisconsin game this weekend.
When Pitt has the ball, they will want to maximize the time they have it in order to keep Florida St. off the field and give as much rest as possible to their defense. Savage is an experienced QB from Rutgers, but he just doesn't have the weapons to spin the scoreboard crazy. I expect a lot of dink-and-dunk short yardage plays. Of course, Florida State should still be somewhat competent on the defensive side of the ball, even though they've lost a good deal of talent there.
UNDER 49
GL buddy I'm leaning that way big time. Good analysis
Do you really think Trickett would have left if Winston wasn't ready to step up. Fisher and company know what theyre doing or Trickett would be the starter.
Do you really think Trickett would have left if Winston wasn't ready to step up. Fisher and company know what theyre doing or Trickett would be the starter.
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