L2Thirst Week 7

Where is your thread? I want to follow it. Thanks 

Double Up 'Action' Play - Missouri St -2.5 x HALF U  (lose and next action bet is 1U)

-better offense and better defense 

-about 30 ranks in SP+ separate these two 

Give me -2.5 on Bama FFS!!! I will smash it and like my chances

If Missouri beats Alabama given how they improved, then we will know exactly how the worm has turned in the SEC and Missouri should be in consideration for Top honours for SEC!! Alabama must win with 1 loss already, to secure their place I believe ....to be considered top SEC seed when all is said and done because:

-I don't expect TexAM to go winless

-I don't expect Ole Miss to go winless

-I don't expect Oklahoma to go winless

.....and therefore, it comes down to who scalped whom in Committee's eyes 

TOP 5  Conference seeds are automatic (right now and after week 7)  > Ohio St or Oregon , Miami, Ole Miss, Texas Tech and likely Memphis as 5th best conference seed 

People have to realize now, the COMMITTEE is about 2 weeks away from setting their Playoff seeds 

Under the gun to take care of Playoff Seeding Business:

Alabama and Missouri

Tulane, South Florida and USF in a dogfight with Memphis (Tulane as well if they can knock off Memphis as a road dog) for that 5th best Conference winner seed 

Oklahoma 

Texas AM

Arguably, BYU and Utah as well..... whomever wins that battle coming up could fill a void if TTECH falters but they have quite a good favorable schedule including, hosting BYU 

This week LAST SEASON: = What the better teams doing in Week 7?

JMAD (h) > win 39 - 7 (Coastal)

UNLV (v) > win 50 - 34 (Utah St.)

Ariz St.(h) > win 27 - 19 (Utah)

Clem (v) > win 49 - 14 (Wake)

Alab. (h) > win 27 - 25 (S.Carolina)

Army (h) > win 44 - 10 (UAB)

GTech (v) > win 41 - 34 (UNC)

Iowa (h) > win 40 - 16 ( Washington)

Wisky (V) > win 45 - 7  (Rutgers)

Pitt (h) > win 17 - 15  (Calif.)

Penn St (v) > win 33 - 30  (USC)

Illinois (h)  > win  50 - 49  (Purdue)

Texas (N) > win  34 - 3  (Oklahoma) 

Irish (h) > win 49 - 7  (Stanford)

BYU  (h) > win 41 - 19 (Arizona)

Georgia (h) > win  41 - 31  (Miss St)

Tenn (h)  > win  23 - 17 (Florida)

LSU (h) >  29 - 26 (4OTs - Ole Miss)

Oregon (h) > 32 - 31  (Ohio St.)  <<<< maybe this explains the dropping line with Indiana?

Reason for the post....in many instances, if you like the team and they have a strong record but facing a line of -7 or lower vs a rival or even -14 to -21 vs a weaker team, many of those lines covered this week....best team showed up in Week 7 (2024) in almost every instance ...

Double Up 'Action' Play (Leg 2)  - USF/UNT UNDER 67  x 1 U  (lose and next action bet is 2U) 

- I see a hard fought game with its importance..... 34 - 31 at most ...and maybe 35 - 31 which is still under that total

@Last2thirst

My Plays This Weekend ( There might be 1-2 more):

Standard Plays: - grabbed these in first 24-48 hrs

Play #1 - North Texas -1.5 x 1U 

Play #2 - Alabama-Missouri Under 53.5 x 1U

Play #3 - USC -Michigan OVER 54.5 x 1U

Play #4  Hawaii/Utah St Under 58 x 1U 

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7 pt Teaser HALF U each except for 1st one 

Oregon -2.5 with ECU +14.5 with North Texas +5.5 

Oregon -2.5 with BWGr +15.5 with UNLV +0.5

Oregon -2.5 with Colorado +11.5 with TexAM -1.5 

Oregon -2.5 with Oklahoma Under 49.5 with NW +29.5 

.....OH, I am doing some more with Indiana down to +7  

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Double Up 'Action' Play - Missouri St -2.5 x HALF U   

Double Up 'Action' Play (Leg 2)  - USF/UNT UNDER 67  x 1 U  ... 

Best wishes this weekend 

Tough matchups ....lots of play in the middle of the field and lots of turnovers.....its happening in the USF-UNT game!!

I can also see UNT slowing things down to give their Defense a blow on the sidelines....long drives ....USF plays lightning fast!!

21 pts now as the Q closes ....looking for a life raft on my UNDER 

Taking OVER soon ....but they are asking for 73.5 now in game despite this turnover by USF again! Its weird, I saw UNT playing fast that last drive too.

What to do....what to do.... I figure this Q.... UNT scores here....to go up by 14....USF answers....then it grinds for another 3-10 pts more...that is a 38-45 pt HALF 

OVER 73.5 x 3U.....I am buying out my DOUBLE UP as this one has an OT feel to it ....I moved it up harder on a press and if I win, it will pay for my last DOUBLE Up

Double Up 'Action' Play - Missouri St -2.5 x HALF U   

Double Up 'Action' Play (Leg 2)  - USF/UNT UNDER 67  x 1 U   

OVER 73.5 x 3U  .....I am buying out my DOUBLE UP ...... <<< but I still have to  play a DOUBLE up tomorrow (its paid for though hehe) 

More Teasers: - 7 pt /$20 each

> pay $60 return per A Group win

> pay $42 return per B Group win

Key:

A Group: Oregon E  with NC State +31 with Alabama +4 with:

B Group: Oregon E with Oklahoma +8 with:

1. Ohio St. -7.5

2. Auburn +11

3. Cincy -4

4. Under 54.5 Nebr/Maryland

5. JMAD Under 52

6. UNLV Even

7. Ole Miss -25

8. Arizona +9.5

$320 more in new exotic bets...... +$270 profit from in-game UNT/USF bet yesterday

Final Double Up bet (Leg 3) = Oklahoma +1.5 x 2U

@Last2thirst

SEC ??

Your best team next to Alabama might lose to a team that came east and lost 59 - 10 North Texas?? USF just shellacked UNT last night emphatically.

And USF beat Florida?? 

VOLPLAY ....can you explain this to me instead of coming in my thread and basically shaking your finger at me ?

Its dangerous to bet SEC except for Alabama so far and I was prepared for a smash-dot-com bet at -2.5 but it never came...

Always enjoy putting this together late Saturday night as another 'wacky' week winds down....

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BEST TEAMS /PLAYOFF SETUP - as I see it looking ahead

Old King Reigns #1 = BUCKEYES   (BIG 10) 

-undisputed until they face Michigan and maybe Indiana in Big 10 Final

- only Michigan (5th or 6th best B10 team) has lost to a good team out of the Big 10 (vs Oklahoma)

#2. Miami    (ACC)

-no team in the top 4 of this conference has lost outside of their conference

#3 Texas AM   (SEC)

-has a lot of very good teams but no team has stepped up to impress out of conference or to dominate within the conference 

-one of their Top 5 teams lost to a Top 5th or lower ACC teams

#4 Texas Tech  (BIG 12)

-only one team (Cincy) has lost to an out of conference team (5th or 6th best Big 10)

---------------In the Playoff--------(some from #9 - 12 fit due to conference inclusion)

5. Indiana

6. Ole Miss 

7. Alabama

8. Oregon

9. USC

10. BYU

11. Georgia Tech

12. Memphis or USF  (best Group of 5?)

------------------- THE REST are next in line best teams/chance for playoffs

13. Georgia 

14. LSU

15. Missouri

16. Tennessee

---------------------Have a chance

17. Utah

18. Notre Dame 

19. Vanderbilt

20. Oklahoma

------------------------------21st  to 30+

 Good One Loss Teams = Washington, Nebraska, Virginia,  Cincy, USF, Tulane,  Louisville, Houston, UNT

 Good Two Loss Teams = Michigan, Texas, Illinois, Iowa, Arizona St, Iowa St, Pitt, Arizona 

Worst Undefeated team  = UNLV or Navy

How good are they? (1 loss teams) = James Madison, San Diego St.