Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Previous week (week 02): 7 - 2 [5 - 0 *Best Bets!] SEVERAL big games coming up in week 04!
Michigan @NEBRASKA looks really good!
Michigan @NEBRASKA looks really good!
Michigan @NEBRASKA looks really good!
Auburn @SOONERS!!
Auburn @SOONERS!!
Red Raiders @UTES ........... HUGE!
Red Raiders @UTES ........... HUGE!
Yeeesh. I've got at least 14 teams circled as potentially good bets, maybe more, and it's already looking tough to narrow them down. Injury status, as always, is a key factor and several are unknown...
I keep getting this nagging feeling that maybe the line is to my liking (good fortune?) *BECAUSE* there is an injury that I am not aware.
Yeeesh. I've got at least 14 teams circled as potentially good bets, maybe more, and it's already looking tough to narrow them down. Injury status, as always, is a key factor and several are unknown...
I keep getting this nagging feeling that maybe the line is to my liking (good fortune?) *BECAUSE* there is an injury that I am not aware.
Florida @MIAMI is a must watch!
Florida @MIAMI is a must watch!
Illinois @Indiana is HUGE!! Also a must watch game Saturday evening!
Illinois @Indiana is HUGE!! Also a must watch game Saturday evening!
@Twoinches
Hello. Welcome
Due to some injury concerns I am monitoring I will likely holdoff making any bets until gameday.
YTD: 21 - 9 [ 12 - 3 *Best Bets ]
2024: 215 - 99 68.5% [ 95 - 31 *BB 75.4% ]
@Twoinches
Hello. Welcome
Due to some injury concerns I am monitoring I will likely holdoff making any bets until gameday.
YTD: 21 - 9 [ 12 - 3 *Best Bets ]
2024: 215 - 99 68.5% [ 95 - 31 *BB 75.4% ]
Friday's look . . .
I have Iowa and Rutgers both rated in the same M+ tier, with IOWA slightly higher...On a neutral field I would expect IOWA to be -4 or -4.5 but since they are on the road at a near equal opponent that edge is almost wiped out by the HFA.
This is a coin-flipper. PASS
Friday's look . . .
I have Iowa and Rutgers both rated in the same M+ tier, with IOWA slightly higher...On a neutral field I would expect IOWA to be -4 or -4.5 but since they are on the road at a near equal opponent that edge is almost wiped out by the HFA.
This is a coin-flipper. PASS
I have Okl.State K'Boys rated about 1.75 tiers higher than weakass Tulsa.
That should out them around a line of -9 at home.
PASS.
I have Okl.State K'Boys rated about 1.75 tiers higher than weakass Tulsa.
That should out them around a line of -9 at home.
PASS.
Texas Tech @UTAH
Looks like UTES will be w/o a starter on the DL and at safety, while Tech will be w/o a CB
I have UTES rated with a razor thin edge on a neutral field but with HFA that should translate to a line of about -4 for UTAH
There isn't enough of an edge to pull the trigger here pre-game even on a moneyline, as I expect this could be very close, but I will watch & wait for a LIVE bet opp on whichever team seems to own the day, or simply pass - since I don't absolutely HAVE TO make a bet just because the game is on Saturday's schedule...
Texas Tech @UTAH
Looks like UTES will be w/o a starter on the DL and at safety, while Tech will be w/o a CB
I have UTES rated with a razor thin edge on a neutral field but with HFA that should translate to a line of about -4 for UTAH
There isn't enough of an edge to pull the trigger here pre-game even on a moneyline, as I expect this could be very close, but I will watch & wait for a LIVE bet opp on whichever team seems to own the day, or simply pass - since I don't absolutely HAVE TO make a bet just because the game is on Saturday's schedule...
M+/M...Terps
M+......@Badgers
Line opened at Wisconsin -7.5 then jumped to -10
Not sure why. They're not too far apart...
No question Wisconsin has the edge here, but according to my updated ratings it's not by a lot. Perhaps just by a TD. I have Badgers as a solid M+ team and Terps right on the edge between M+ and M......meaning Wisconsin has a half-tier edge, give or take (assuming my ratings are accurate) That would appear to be about a 3 or 4 pt edge for the Badgers on a neutral field, and more than that with HFA of course.....I figure the homies line should likely be closer to -7 or -8.0 MAX! Yes, the TERPS have a freshman at QB [although VERY HIGHLY rated!] and freshman are always a concern to start a season. But he's had 3 starts now, and built up his confidence playing weak teams, all at home. This will be a test as he will face a much tougher team - albeit not a whole lot better. He should now be ready to make the step up, so we shall see how he handles it. Badgers w/o Edwards will be just fine with O'Neil behind center., but my ratings suggest Wisconsin may be overvalued by a couple pts here...
M+/M...Terps
M+......@Badgers
Line opened at Wisconsin -7.5 then jumped to -10
Not sure why. They're not too far apart...
No question Wisconsin has the edge here, but according to my updated ratings it's not by a lot. Perhaps just by a TD. I have Badgers as a solid M+ team and Terps right on the edge between M+ and M......meaning Wisconsin has a half-tier edge, give or take (assuming my ratings are accurate) That would appear to be about a 3 or 4 pt edge for the Badgers on a neutral field, and more than that with HFA of course.....I figure the homies line should likely be closer to -7 or -8.0 MAX! Yes, the TERPS have a freshman at QB [although VERY HIGHLY rated!] and freshman are always a concern to start a season. But he's had 3 starts now, and built up his confidence playing weak teams, all at home. This will be a test as he will face a much tougher team - albeit not a whole lot better. He should now be ready to make the step up, so we shall see how he handles it. Badgers w/o Edwards will be just fine with O'Neil behind center., but my ratings suggest Wisconsin may be overvalued by a couple pts here...
Posted by fubah2 BET: OREGON mighty DUCKS -21 -115 1sthalf @B365 pg just looked fd 1h -19.5 (-122) so hit 30% boost -19.5 (+107) good luck this week 645pm eastern now
Posted by fubah2 BET: OREGON mighty DUCKS -21 -115 1sthalf @B365 pg just looked fd 1h -19.5 (-122) so hit 30% boost -19.5 (+107) good luck this week 645pm eastern now
LIVE BET, Mid-1Q, 7 - 7, Ruckers moving: Scarlet Knights +4.5 -225 altline@B365*BB
LIVE BET, Mid-1Q, 7 - 7, Ruckers moving: Scarlet Knights +4.5 -225 altline@B365*BB
Originally Posted by fubah2 BLACK KNIGHTS +3.5 -147 alt-line@pinn good luck army black knights.. i took north texas -1 for a contest pick ... let the game begin...
Originally Posted by fubah2 BLACK KNIGHTS +3.5 -147 alt-line@pinn good luck army black knights.. i took north texas -1 for a contest pick ... let the game begin...
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