2025-2026 NCAA FB ( 151 )

WEEK 2

Going to go ahead and take USF +17.5 @ Florida   -115  1 unit   USF has Miami Fl next but that's not a conf game or anything   , but Florida on the other hand does have LSU as their next game after the USF game, and they have to travel to LSU  so even though they say they never look ahead , maybe we do catch Florida looking ahead a bit and get a cover here,  

USF +17.5  1 unit 

14-6  14-4 on 1 to 1.5 unit plays  0-2 on half units 

+8.2 units  

gl 151

getting lines as soon as they come out is important, and figuring out where they will move is even more important, they best thing a bettor can do is get the best possible line for what he or her likes, if a team you like is -7 opening line and you think it will go up then you should bet it right then, it you feel it will go down you should wait, but you could fuck yourself if your wrong, it takes a long time to get a good grasp on where lines will move, and no one can always be right, when a half pt can make the diff either way.... its why I took USF now, I feel if anything this line will go down , I could be wrong but the bet is in..... with the way USF looked last week and the fact that Florida has to travel to LSU the following week I think this goes under 17 just my hunch  

@RUM151

 Hey Rum any update on tonight’s game 

thanks Dude 

@RUM151

 10-4… totally agree… over course of season … 5% of these games will be won or lost based on the line move… which is a huge number over a season… you are wise at this rum… great job so far…btw… my horse filly still has best beyer of the year… come n catch me she says.    Seismic beauty.   Baffert said no more till breeders cup… she had 2 bone chip surgeries… before she ever raced… they said one more and she is headed to breeding shed…. Glad she has been healthy for last 15 months.   She’s a runner. 

As a horse guy, I want to say congrats on that!! I am into standardbreds mostly and getting ready within a couple few years to go back to being an owner in a consortium. I just need the markets to be sane and do their thing. Congrats!

Sorry Rum for commenting on something other than Football

3 of my books already have plus 17... one doesn't have it, and one for 17.5. Locked and loaded.

@Last2thirst

 after my own heart   the ponies   congrats on owning   ,  I'll keep an eye out  

I'll fire up my Mohawk Standardbred soon..... I have no luck in the summer because there is a ton of cheating when you play the PICK5 and the reason for that, the best drivers get the glory purses in big 2-3 yr races so they tend to let other drivers /trainers win in the summer and do odd things.

Come the first cool weather weekend soon, I will fire it back up and show some PICK5s from Race 1-5 .....I get on a roll from fall to spring and then I ease off. I think if you click ALL FORUMS you will find a horse racing section......come in and view once in a while, you might hit a $200-$3000 ticket once a month if you get me on the right day....I tend to play 2-3  per week and hit 1 out of every 3 to 4 that I play during that season

on tonight's game I am taking N Car+4  , many are on TCU, and they have the reasons, better QB for sure, or at least he played last year, but I am on N Car for a diff reason, please bet what you like .....I am taking the home dog here, I think it will be rocking in NC tonight, and again both teams lost players , you have to give the edge to TCU , but I am going with other factors tonight, popular coach, opening game, prime time TV, Loud crowd maybe   the QB for N Car I think is the kid from S.Alabama Gio Lopez  17 tds  5 Int's last year and 500 yds rushing ...very hard game to figure because of so many unknowns about UNC, they will run a lot, or so we think ...I think the offenses will struggle early...Bill is a good head coach in the NFL what will he be like in college?  I am going to go with N Car and hope they surprise people tonight and take the 4 pts  I do not want to change anyone's mind, this is just what I am doing   

N Car +4 -115

gl everyone  151 

I played tonight's Mohawk because the card looks great RUM! 

Watch link > Race #1 completed > #6 just won and my notes in my harness thread 

https://woodbine.com/mohawk/watch-races/

---------------------------------------------------------

HEAT SEASON is finally Over.....

Time for me to start winning P5's with more honest driving consistency.

Race 1 Key #2 or take 5 horses ....just saw post parade.... 2610 looked the best/ready to go

Race 2 - big driver change to Luc Roy on #7 .....#4 and #5 go on another ticket

Race 3 - take 6 horses....all except #1

Race 4 - 134 is all you need.... #4 is a big of a price with JMAC....don't look at times, look at form with trotters

Race 5 - 78 (3 and 5 might appear on another ticket)

Big Ticket: 23610 / 457 / 6 horses (2-7) /134 / 78 = $86+

2/7/ 6 horses/ 134/ 3578 = $14.40  << dead ticket

2/45 / 6 horses / 134/ 378 bet #5 flat if alive = $21.60  < dead ticket 

346710 / 7 / 6 horses/ 134/ 78 = $36  < will bet #3 and #5 if alive to race #5 for $40-50  each if payout is over $350

Race #1 = 5-1 winner #6 >> P5 should pay out $200 - $1000 now depending on remaining combos...

@RUM151

Michigan was +6 @ oklahoma. Now. Its 5 damnit. I think I may still grab this at 5. . If 6 is out there I would take it fast...  I think they could get this game.  Any thoughts?  

I'm a sooners fan from Oklahoma. Their new QB threw for nearly 400 as a WSU transfer. All I really am confident in is that if Venables can get some offense going, I believe he will bring our defense back to the glory days and keep them good for a while. We've had some terrible defenses the last 15 years as an average. Venable has had some blunders managing the game as head coach at times, but I hope he gets a longer leash with the defensive potential. I actually live near the northern boundary of where the land run was in 1889... where the term boomer sooner comes from. 

HockeyNight has a good feel for BIG 10 ....he moved on Michigan +6.5

I personally think its a watch and learn game

@Last2thirst

 I've posted my plays on derby and shit in there    I'll be looking 

@Last2thirst

 I've posted my plays on derby and shit in there    I'll be looking 

well every once in awhile we do something really dumb, its why I posted to please bet what you like, N CAR is going to have issues this year for sure, not sure how good TCU is, because excerpt for the 1st drive NC  really looked bad, its amazing how a team can come out 1st drive go right down the field, then not even gain a yard the next 3-4 possessions , 

14-7   14-5 on 1 unit plays  

gl everyone

I think the air pressure in the ball for his QB wasn't quite the desired pressure. JK. 

@RUM151

 R/151.....solid start to the season.....thank you....

continued success with week 2......indy

@RUM151

 NC reminded me of Boise State against USF. Just flat out shit the bed after the first drive. And I bet both Boise st AND NC like a jerkoff. Marone! You and a few other cappers on here have been doing pretty damn good considering a lot of what a team can and can’t do is a mystery so early in the season. 

and another game.....USC-28 vs Ga southern I was on Ga southern last week as many were, and the 1st half they did ok, but 2nd half they got beat up on, it was 14-13 at half and Fresno st won 42-14 shutting down Ga southern, and Fresno ran for 350 yds in that game and passed for 176 and they also had 2 int's and still won by 28....Ga Southern only turned it over 1 time so it was Fresno st just doing what ever they wanted, and now you have Ga southern staying out west this week, and going to USC who just put up 73 pts at home, to be honest I do not see how a team can get beat up on and give up 525 yds, and 29 1st downs to just 13 for them, and the time of poss was crazy as Fresno had the ball for 38 mins to just 21 for GS.....this looks like it is going to be a tuff day for ga Southern again, USC is much better than Fresno st, USC threw for 364 yds and ran for 233, GS it seems cannot stop the run at all....I never usually play games with big point spreads but I was on USC last week and it was a very easy win, I do not see why USC should not win this game by 35+ and Fresno st should have won by even more, they had a drive in the 2nd qtr where they fumbled at the 1 going in for a TD, and like I posted after the game Ga southern had 5 drives in the 2nd half 3 were 3 and outs, other 2 were 5 plays not much on offense, I think USC rolls here again...I wish I had looked at this when the lines came out as it has went up 3.5 pts  it opened at 24.5  right now at Hard rock they have -27.5 -105   I am taking it   I just think its hard for a team to get manhandled and then have to stay out west and then play a better team who just put up 73 points 

USC-27.5   could not buy a half  this is only line offered but I am fine with it, I think USC would have to turn it over a few times, and just play really bad to not cover here   

1 unit 

Like your USC thinking they traditionally are good bullies against weak teams Michigan I kind of agree can’t bet against Florida in that spot. Thanks for posting.

Looking into Boston College +3.5-4  at Michigan st  BC threw for over 450 yds last game, QB Lonergan was 26/34 268 yds 4 td's  and the backup was 5/5 190 and 1 td, their defense gave up just 16 yds rushing vs Fordham...BC did not run it very well as they were 38/98 yds  Mich st only gained about 330 yds total vs W Michigan  and W Michigan did not throw for a high completion % but 16 catches for 188 yds    really leaning towards BC in this game for now 

@RUM151

 Any thoughts on Baylor +2.5 vs SMU? I’m liking it.

@RUM151

 Good Luck This Week Rummer!