2025-2026 NCAA FB ( 151 )

WEEK 10 early thoughts as we know things change


coming off a 10-4 Saturday and again about a even week, on plays given out better than losing


ok looking at these lines some offshores still not up but I am sure some can be found and these are early


I do like this Kennesaw st team who plays Tues, line now is -9.5 I think they could cover that, I think this team will surprise many as season goes on , then we have a couple of road fav's as Jacksonville st and James Madison are both -6.5 on the road , too early yet but Texas st can be a good team, out of those 2 I would favor Jax st right now , FIU at Missouri st -3.5 looks like good games, and we have Marshall at Coastal Car , Marshall -3.5 is who I would lean to now but again just going through some here


to be honest I kind of favor Duke +3.5 at Clemson right now just off 1st glances, and Texas -2.5 at home Vs Vandy wow, Houston -15.5 at home vs WV Houston off a huge win, and ranked how do they react?....Ohio St -20.5 at home to Penn St, ..Baylor -4.5 at home to UCF total 60.5 could be an over play here, Baylor just does not seem good enough to be a home favorite yet, but I do not know a lot about UCF will have to look into them, I have not bet on them yet this year, and Baylor has been a disappointment


Miami on the road laying 10.5 to SMU I think this line might drop ...Arizona st after getting beat up on at home by Houston now goes to Iowa st, who lost to BYU, if Iowa st does not win this one I just do not know, line seems low at 3.5 I mean they were giving BYU 2.5???


ECU at Temple Temple has found a little life last 2 games and they were on the road for both and yet won and covered both, they may be worth looking into, ECU is off the bye, and they have won last 4 vs Temple and last 2 have been really high scoring games both at 90+ total points maybe an OVER here


Louisville at VT Louisville -10.5 Louisville only won by 14 last game as a 25 pt fav, and VT pulled one out in OT that one hurt too...lol but Louisville has been good on thee road so far beating Miami and Pitt , so they should be able to get the win here, but Cover???

again have to make 2 post

Georgia vs Florida in Jacksonville tuff one with new fired coach, will Florida get up for this, I think they do but will it matter?
Pitt has to travel out west and play Stanford but they do not have to play at 1030 at least its a 330 start, but Stanford has seemed better at home, Pitt laying 14.5 might be a problem

Indiana laying big points at Maryland Maryland off a bye and they do have a good defense, 22.5 at home is a lot, last year Indiana won at home 42-28 interesting

Miss st at Arkansas Ark -4.5 67.5 this should be another high scoring game
One game I do like Wyoming at San Diego st SD st-10.5 I really like this SD st team, their defense is solid, Wyoming coming in after a 28-0 win at home vs Col st, and SD st went to Fresno as a 3 pt favorite and did what I thought they would all week won 23-0 I had talked about them all week and what a easy win , I do not like the hook but I do like SD st in this game, these 2 have played close games the last 3 , all within 3 points so I am hoping this line drops , I do like this team and their defense has been really good

I do favor Auburn at home over KY, KY goes on the road after a couple of home games I just think Auburn wins this by 2 td's

Oklahoma getting just 3.5 at Tennessee after losing at home to Ole Miss that line says a lot I think Oklahoma may be the play here

Ga Tech -6.5 at NC st they must think this could be a trip up game, because I think Tech wins this by more than a TD , GT does not have a BIG game after this, they play BC so they should be focused here, GT has won 4 of the last 5 between these 2 and I have not seen any weaknesses in GT, yes they won by only 1 pt at Wake , by 9 at Duke and by 7 at Col, I have to think this line creeps up a little I think Under 7 is safe unless I look more and see something

Wake +8.5 at fla st looks interesting .. and Troy has been playing well now at home laying 7.5 to Ark st
will be looking into every game as the week g

went ahead and took Kennesaw st -8.5  this line opened at 9.5 dropped last night to 8.5 so glad I grabbed it because I see it at 10 now  so 2 quick moves, this Kennesaw st team is a very good team, they have won 5 in a row and Utep finally got a win last game vs SHS, that was their 1st win vs a div 1 school this year, and before that they lost 4 in a row and only scored 54 points in those 4 losses , 3 of those they did not score over 11, and UTEP is averaging just 90 yds rushing a game and 3 yds a carry,  just think Kennesaw st wins this by 16+   

Kennesaw st -8.5  again hate the hooks but it is what books are doing in college ball this year

1 unit 

went ahead and took Kennesaw st -8.5  this line opened at 9.5 dropped last night to 8.5 so glad I grabbed it because I see it at 10 now  so 2 quick moves, this Kennesaw st team is a very good team, they have won 5 in a row and Utep finally got a win last game vs SHS, that was their 1st win vs a div 1 school this year, and before that they lost 4 in a row and only scored 54 points in those 4 losses , 3 of those they did not score over 11, and UTEP is averaging just 90 yds rushing a game and 3 yds a carry,  just think Kennesaw st wins this by 16+   also UTEP is not good at protecting the football, as they have 15 to's this season, they rank 125th and Utep is avg like 24 mins of possession time, so their defense is on the field a lot , and with Kennesaw st being at home and needing 1 more win to become bowl eligible, just many things point to Kennesaw st here   

Kennesaw st -8.5  again hate the hooks but it is what books are doing in college ball this year

1 unit 

Saan Diego st -10   just love this defense, and they give up about 280 on defense and just 90 yds rushing , just think they cause problems here, I do not see them covering by a lot though  I see a 23-10 style of game  so not easy unless their defense plays like last game and we have a 26-7 type of game 

1 unit 

Great read keep it coming 

well I am glad to see the Texas st lkine go up to 7.5 from 6.5 I mentioned on someones thread that I was favoring Texas st, as they were talking about JM, this should be a good game, Texas st is 0-3 in conf but they have 2 losses in OT so far as they lost to Troy 48-41 in OT and they lost to Marshall in double OT 40-37 after having an early lead in that game, this game tomorrow is a big game for Texas st as they are at home and on National TV and its a black-out game too, I think Texas st will want this to be a higher scoring game for sure, Both teams struggle against the run, I am hoping Texas st finds a way to play better defense tomorrow, it has been a problem for them to close out games, James Madison is the better team for sure here, but this offense for Texas st can play well, JM will want to try and run the ball and keep this game to a lower number of poss's , Texas st I am hoping can get out in front and make this a higher scoring game, the total was 60.5 and now has dropped to 55.5 so someone is expecting a lower scoring game , weather is clear and 70 tomorrow at game time, Texas st will have to win the turnover battle also or at least not give up any bad ones, if they can somehow get a break it will help a lot, Texas st does have a good pass rush, and if they can somehow force JM into passing it will help, JM has had problems protecting their QB this year, and Texas st does have a decent offensive line they have some pre season all conf players on their line, I am going to go with Texas st here and hopefully grab 8 pts + they have had many OT games this year and another could happen, they lost 30-31 at arkansas st, lost at home 48-41 to Troy and lost at Marshall 37-40, Texas st is avg 502 yds a game on offense and they are balanced as they avg 234 rushing and 267 passing, so they can run the ball, their defense will have to play fired up , both teams are coming off a bye week, again I will be buying up a little for more juice, you can get 7.5 at a good price , nothing is certain , as we have seen 

I do not really worry about me, like last Saturday even though I was buying a extra points, teams were still covering the lower line, I only worry about posting winning str up plays , and hopefully others making some money  I am hoping for a higher scoring game also   always make your own decisions 

Texas st +8.5 -130  reason I am doing this is because the other book offshore has 6.5 and they want -150 to get +8 

gl 151

I am going to chime in on all the talk about the Vandy@Texas game and pointspread , if anyone has read my post last few weeks you know I am a Vandy backer, last week on Sunday morning before lines came out I said no matter what I was going to take Vandy at home vs Missouri didn't care what the line was, and yes they won and covered but it was not easy. and I was on them vs LSU at home, let me say this...Texas being a 2 point favorite at home is not a trap line, to be honest its about what the line should be, I see nothing wrong here, I do not think Vandy should be favored on the road at Texas, Texas is not a bad team, if they play well  they could win this game and cover, I do not know why people think Vandy should be favored, yes they are a popular team right now, people like to bet them, so why are they not favored??  when I seen this line I didn't say right away OH MAN give me Vandy + the points, I felt it was a fair line, I mean Texas found a way last game to come back on the road and win after being down 2 scores late, I have not been on Texas this year, I have went against, actually I find this to be a tricky line, as many read many post in here of people who look ahead to next weeks games early, if ya notice the reason certain people including me like games early is because the line jumps out at us, its not they we did all kinds of work looking into it, that's almost impossible on a Sunday night 6 days before the games are played and with so much line movements to come, but its because we just liked the line we seen, maybe this popped  out to others, but to me NO , does not mean I wont be on Vandy just that I think I really need to look into this game more  ....gl everyone  and GOD BLESS 

151