All Forums | College Basketball

Monday theory plays

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 3291
Posts: 52
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 7
Posted: #26
I didn't do too well yesterday having Colorado st and La Salle, but NBA and NFL were good to me so not too bad over the weekend. Hoping to begin the week with a win on Kent st at -15.
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2003
Posts: 15457
Posted: #27
yea but you should have gone 7-1 on friday and saturday
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 10512
Posted: #28
Raging where are you getting your percentages cause here is what i am seeing...

This is multiple online sportsbooks avg. out together...

12/15/08 521 Youngstown St. 141 +15-110

2805 32% 25% 50% 14%
7:00PM 522 Kent St. -15½ -15-110

68% 75% 50% 86%


12/15/08 525 UC Riverside -2½ -5-110

6203 91% 91% 89% 88%
10:00PM 526 Loyola Marymount 116 +5-110

9% 9% 11% 12%

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 127
Posted: #29
rizlyn where are you getting your avg. from? 
 
Overall | In-Depth
YOUST
KST		 62.7
73.6		 39.5
45.3		 32.4
31.7		 68.1
61.4		 29.5
30.9
Def Aga FG% 3P% FT% Reb
YOUST
KST		 71.7
72.1		 44.4
43.5		 42.7
33.3		 71.1
77.3		 32.3
33.5
 
these are the overall stats for the two teams that wageline has, what am i doing wrong, i really thought i had this figured out????
 
so it should be kent st. -12
 
all the help would be appreciated, thanks
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 127
Posted: #30
raging, you are just using the overall stats correct? instead of home/away stats correct?
 
thanks for clearing this up for me, if so, loyola would be a play if using overall stats
 
IMO
 
thanks again
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 402
Posted: #31
fers..
 
Raging explained earlier that Loyola wasn't a play cause the public %
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2003
Posts: 15457
Posted: #32
Guys. You are all right on Loyola. I (becuase I went 0-2 last night) just got an eerie feeling. But the real reason is simple. 39% on Loyola is a tad to high.Basically at the cieling of my liking for dogs.

However im adding it as a play. Since Friday ive gone 10-3. So, I will lose a few here and there. I did this last year to decent success. Also Utah under 91.5 is a slam dunk
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2006
Posts: 593
Posted: #33
usually for a line to move like that, it's smart money........beware
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 127
Posted: #34
hey the public is 91% on UC and 9 on loyola
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 127
Posted: #35
here is the site, check it out
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 323
Posted: #36
what about utah under 90.5 -120  would you still take it?
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2008
Posts: 4731
Posted: #37
Loyala's best player is out Vernon Teel???
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 1412
Posted: #38

Quote Originally Posted by Rizyn:



youngstown offense: 67.4 ppg
kent st offense: 73.6 ppg

youngstown defense: 69.9
kent st defense: 72.1

-6 +2 = kent st should -4 but -15

kent st is the play.

Rizyn - Where did you get your numbers? On Covers matchup I show

Y Off 62.7

KS Off 73.6 = 11

Y Def 71.7

KS def 72.1 = -1

total = 10  line is15  55% on KS

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 1412
Posted: #39
Whoops, just saw fers post above. Still in confusion like fers though. clarification please?
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2003
Posts: 15457
Posted: #40
55% on Kent is OK. It must be 58% or less
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 1412
Posted: #41
I understood the 55% was okay. But the math is off more that rizyn posted above. Is a 5 point move okay when it is a fav?
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 812
Posted: #42
Hey rage... what do u mean UTAH TT is a slam dunk ...I don't seet that on tap tonight!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 53
Posted: #43
Hey guys,

What if you put these games into teasers 6 or 7 points, if the line is already off by 5+ and you make it 11 or 12 it seems pretty solid,

I have Kent -8.5 tonight now..
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 478
Posted: #44
hey storm have you mentioned what your system is for the NBA.  You said you used a system there as well, was wanting to read up on that as well.

Thanks
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2003
Posts: 15457
Posted: #45
NBA Totals
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 2384
Posted: #46
kent line is up at 15.5 on my book..... still a safe play?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 478
Posted: #47
Yeah totals I believe a while back I had read to where you add the averages together and if there was  a certain difference you would play the opposite there as well, am I close
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2003
Posts: 15457
Posted: #48
Take both team totals

home/away. If the difference is 7 or higher than the line bet the opposite. I have been using it for four years about now and have hit over 58% every year. Two years ago I went on a 17-4 run. Last year I went on a 18-5 run.

IE: If Utah is avg 96 and ATL is avg 95 =191

If the real line is 183 you take the under. If the line was 201 yopu take the over.

I rarely play the Knicks,teams in a transition or team with a major injury. Also I do NOT play totals over 206-207

Minny and Sac avg 193 tonight and the line is 200. I would go over the total.



Now to the guy who posted a teaser. I hope you win but you do realize you fucked us all by jinxing us with that stupid teaser crapola dont ya?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 478
Posted: #49
yeah that is the one I am looking for thanks
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 323
Posted: #50
half time kent st 29 to youngstown 31
All Forums | College Basketball
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.