MONDAY SINGULAR BRUTALITY (1-2 MAX PLAYS)!!!

4-6 (1-2 MAX), -4.11 units

My losing streak hit five yesterday despite being on the side of the team (CON) that spent over 39 of the 40 minutes covering the +4.  But when the horn sounded they were down five and a loss for those of us on the Sun.  Not necessarily a terrible selection but Mabrey shot 5/21 and clearly wants a trade so if one of the Sun’s two stars is disgruntled that is not good news for their team.  On the flip side a gritty comeback effort by the Mystics.  They will look to get to 3-0 with a winnable game at GS in a few days.  

Minnesota looked good in the nightcap with another performance that suggests they really belong in the top tier of teams.  We missed a classic Brutal play when the 2H under hit after a 90+ point first half.  Spottie I think you got a 1H under though after the 55 point Q1?  Nice hit.  

Only one game left today and I don’t have a lean pregame.

SEA -3 at DAL, 166.5 - Recency bias would suggest the Storm will need time to get their offense together without Lloyd.  And the Wings looked good in spurts on Friday so just take the points on a home dog right?  Hmmm I’m not sure.  But I don’t want to take the Storm again and lose with another ridiculous outcome.  Maybe a slight lean to the over as Dallas pushes pace and Seattle gets right offensively against a bad Dallas defense.  No type of result would shock me here.

Sharp not exploiting teens anywhere!!!

Brutal junior needs to step up his game! We need some tales from the streets! 

Haha well with me the stories would entirely be fiction.  Plus I’m likely to spend the season well below .500 in picks.  But my hope is that the real Brutal might check this board once in a while and be lured out of retirement to put a stop to this charlatan (me!). 

Seeing as you are so kind and willing to share your thoughts.  I appreciate this a lot.   You shouted out my under do I will share a trend that works really well in the women’s game. 

If one watches the box score and minutes played by the premier players.  After a quarter in which a a premium amount of points scored the following quarter will not usually keep that pace.  a few reasons:

1.) these are premium women’s athletes be even females have their limits.  Continued stamina at such high levels usually regresses in the second qtr.  

2.) how much rest do the premium players have heading in to the 2nd qtr.  as we all know rest for most players in most games will happen.  The books don’t account enough and slightly increase lines after high performances.  

To keep it simple a total of 160 assumes 40 each quarter.  If the first qtr accomplished the over that puts the half time under in play.  For sure other factors like the quality of the teams in play are one of the factors.  I’m not doing this when the Wings are in play. To begin to learn this I would eliminate high talented offensive teams. 

instead of closing watching the game I watch the in game lines as the game continues and I watch who has not rested.  Which teams have depth on the bench.  

The pregame lined total matters as well best to stay conservative and not do this with high totals.  The lines maker knows as much or more than us.  

anyways if this is something of interest practice it and see if you can make the connection.  

After scoring under 60 points last game, let’s see if Seattle team total over is the play tonight. They should be motivated anyway.  It’s very possible the Dallas poor D can get them back on track. 

best wishes 

Track Seattles output tonight.  Points achieved and top players minutes.  After a sit down does Seattles output increase.  You know the over is always in play.  Apply the other factors to make the best in game plays. 

Good stuff thanks for taking the time to type this out.  It gives insight into your live 1H under last night (based on a 55 pt first quarter).  I had been wondering how Seattle will respond and that will be interesting to watch tonight.  A bunch of the players who had just a couple FG’s could shoot much better.  In other words, a complete opposite of last game.  

@WNBASharp31

 Your kindness promotes communication and opportunities.  

I play a lot of in game and quarters I don’t post.  

With Seattles team total so high tonight at 84.5 I would assume at least one of these quarters zooms over the total.  If it doesn’t happen early it will promote a second half decreases total and an over opportunity 

we will see. 

You’re going to have to deal with my phone correcting my bad typing and my phones inability to understand English 

@WNBASharp31

 I hope your assertion if complete opposite provides an opportunity for in game success 

I don’t like this play as much with the Wings being involved but let’s do a Brutal staple and go with the 2H Under after a big scoring 1H.  I’ll take the 2H Under 84.5 and max it a MAX Play!

Good luck these type of plays are what I found success 

best wishes 

How about that the full game over is completely questionable now. 

Not even close. Nice win 

Nice to win a two unit play on a Brutal staple.  I was wondering if double OT would sink this when the Wings cut the lead to just a few 

Tough beat for anyone on the regular over.  Just crazy how the scoring can just halt from one quarter to the next in the W.  

@WNBASharp31

 All true and i count on these wonan to regress in game.  I just didn’t want to post this game.  I won a little bit but not even a unit.  I played because of the score but was timid because of the wings.