yup
its true..i am basing this on 120 Div 1 teams times over 29 years
..could be a few more or less as a few years may not have had exactly
120 Div 1 teams....this chase had never lost since 1980 until last year
when Bowling Green was the first ...even then it made $$ . The key is
to win one unit per team , once that team gets their unit you are done
with them for the season ..sometimes simpler strategies are the
easiest.... so what is the chase ?..since 1980 only 1 team has ever
started the season with 3 unders followed by 3 overs.(i.e uuuooo)
-Bowling Green last year..therefore you simply bet every team over there
first 3 games..when they hit they are done...then bet the remaining
teams under the next 3, once all teams are done you are done...
definetely open to suggestions..but i think the smartest way to play
this would be to use the grand martingale progression to 6 games as
follows
1 -3-7-15-31-64 for 121 units..that way even if lightning strikes
twice and we get another chase loss this year..we are going to make more
than the 121 units we lost with the other 119 teams hitting on games
3,4,5 etc ..and if all teams complete the chase as has happened in 28 of
the past 29 years you are looking at a minimum of 120 units
profit..probably closer to 150-160 depending on which games of the
progression the winners come in
- also i think it would be smart to not actually bet week one, to
save the juice on 60 or so bets..and then in week 2 start with 3 units
on all the teams that had Unders week one
yup
its true..i am basing this on 120 Div 1 teams times over 29 years
..could be a few more or less as a few years may not have had exactly
120 Div 1 teams....this chase had never lost since 1980 until last year
when Bowling Green was the first ...even then it made $$ . The key is
to win one unit per team , once that team gets their unit you are done
with them for the season ..sometimes simpler strategies are the
easiest.... so what is the chase ?..since 1980 only 1 team has ever
started the season with 3 unders followed by 3 overs.(i.e uuuooo)
-Bowling Green last year..therefore you simply bet every team over there
first 3 games..when they hit they are done...then bet the remaining
teams under the next 3, once all teams are done you are done...
definetely open to suggestions..but i think the smartest way to play
this would be to use the grand martingale progression to 6 games as
follows
1 -3-7-15-31-64 for 121 units..that way even if lightning strikes
twice and we get another chase loss this year..we are going to make more
than the 121 units we lost with the other 119 teams hitting on games
3,4,5 etc ..and if all teams complete the chase as has happened in 28 of
the past 29 years you are looking at a minimum of 120 units
profit..probably closer to 150-160 depending on which games of the
progression the winners come in
- also i think it would be smart to not actually bet week one, to
save the juice on 60 or so bets..and then in week 2 start with 3 units
on all the teams that had Unders week one
I will be playing this in the NFL beginning in Week 3 I believe. I made somewhere around 34 or 35 units last year. I will try and find the thread I used.
I will be playing this in the NFL beginning in Week 3 I believe. I made somewhere around 34 or 35 units last year. I will try and find the thread I used.
So far so good. Playing NCAAF and NFL. College going as expected. I'm using the top 25 plus teams that had a better than .500 average on overs last season. After week one I have 30 winners and 23 losers. NFL is going great. 24 teams already eliminated, up 17.5 units. Week 2 puts a lot more pressure on the bankroll betting 3 units on all remaining teams, so 96 units at risk(incl. juice). GL to everyone playing this system.
So far so good. Playing NCAAF and NFL. College going as expected. I'm using the top 25 plus teams that had a better than .500 average on overs last season. After week one I have 30 winners and 23 losers. NFL is going great. 24 teams already eliminated, up 17.5 units. Week 2 puts a lot more pressure on the bankroll betting 3 units on all remaining teams, so 96 units at risk(incl. juice). GL to everyone playing this system.
Not so great this week in NCAAF. Only eliminated 10 teams with 16 still on the hook, putting more pressure on the bank, with a lot of 5unit bets for game #3.
NFL is great...29 teams eliminated after 2 games, only 3 teams left, with one going tonight(St. Louis) on MNF.
Not so great this week in NCAAF. Only eliminated 10 teams with 16 still on the hook, putting more pressure on the bank, with a lot of 5unit bets for game #3.
NFL is great...29 teams eliminated after 2 games, only 3 teams left, with one going tonight(St. Louis) on MNF.
Big question here as there needs to be clarification on a HUGE Gray area.
Looking at Covers' history of teams, it shows that 11 teams would be a play this week in College. HOWEVER, 8 of these 11 teams have played against FCS (1AA) opponents. Covers has given a history of an O/U result on these games. In this System, are these games counted as O/U's or are they not counted yet (No Line)? Meaning the teams only have a 2-game history thus far this season?
I wonder if neilsy25 (the back-tester) or roguewager know the answer to this. Or anyone else for that matter?
Also, 2 of the other 3 teams that HAVE played all games against FBS (1A) opponents are playing against FBS (1AA) opponents this weekend. Are those going to be played against a line or will they simply be not counted?
This is a huge question as 10 of the 11 teams this weekend have either played or are playing vs 1AA teams. Will these count or not?
How was it back-tested? Were these games counted in the record back to 1980?
I can get totals on these from Bookmaker. These are all swing games, which means if the games/totals played against 1AA teams have counted or will count, then these teams' games need to be played as UNDERS this week. If they don't count, then 8 of these games need to still be played as OVERS on the third game. The other 2 games against 1AA would not be played.
Leaving us with 1 game this weekend: OHIO STATE UNDER in game four of the chase.
Big question here as there needs to be clarification on a HUGE Gray area.
Looking at Covers' history of teams, it shows that 11 teams would be a play this week in College. HOWEVER, 8 of these 11 teams have played against FCS (1AA) opponents. Covers has given a history of an O/U result on these games. In this System, are these games counted as O/U's or are they not counted yet (No Line)? Meaning the teams only have a 2-game history thus far this season?
I wonder if neilsy25 (the back-tester) or roguewager know the answer to this. Or anyone else for that matter?
Also, 2 of the other 3 teams that HAVE played all games against FBS (1A) opponents are playing against FBS (1AA) opponents this weekend. Are those going to be played against a line or will they simply be not counted?
This is a huge question as 10 of the 11 teams this weekend have either played or are playing vs 1AA teams. Will these count or not?
How was it back-tested? Were these games counted in the record back to 1980?
I can get totals on these from Bookmaker. These are all swing games, which means if the games/totals played against 1AA teams have counted or will count, then these teams' games need to be played as UNDERS this week. If they don't count, then 8 of these games need to still be played as OVERS on the third game. The other 2 games against 1AA would not be played.
Leaving us with 1 game this weekend: OHIO STATE UNDER in game four of the chase.
My bad folks...there are actually 27 teams to play with a potential 28th being Kentucky. Kentucky Pushed last week, so now what? 2 Unders and a Push...which way do you go? Continue on and play a 3rd Over or start the Unders?
The only Under play is Ohio State. The rest are still Overs.
My bad folks...there are actually 27 teams to play with a potential 28th being Kentucky. Kentucky Pushed last week, so now what? 2 Unders and a Push...which way do you go? Continue on and play a 3rd Over or start the Unders?
The only Under play is Ohio State. The rest are still Overs.
The weekend went pretty well. 2 teams left in NCAAF, Louisiana Tech, and Illinois.
All teams eliminated in NFL, for a total win of 50 units. It should have been more, but I haired out on some big wagers, betting smaller than the system called for.My bank has taken some big hits this year, and my huevos decided to shrink up. Still haven't made the wagers on the two college teams yet, calling for 46 units
The weekend went pretty well. 2 teams left in NCAAF, Louisiana Tech, and Illinois.
All teams eliminated in NFL, for a total win of 50 units. It should have been more, but I haired out on some big wagers, betting smaller than the system called for.My bank has taken some big hits this year, and my huevos decided to shrink up. Still haven't made the wagers on the two college teams yet, calling for 46 units
The weekend went pretty well. 2 teams left in NCAAF, Louisiana Tech, and Illinois.
All teams eliminated in NFL, for a total win of 50 units. It should have been more, but I haired out on some big wagers, betting smaller than the system called for.My bank has taken some big hits this year, and my huevos decided to shrink up. Still haven't made the wagers on the two college teams yet, calling for 46 units
The weekend went pretty well. 2 teams left in NCAAF, Louisiana Tech, and Illinois.
All teams eliminated in NFL, for a total win of 50 units. It should have been more, but I haired out on some big wagers, betting smaller than the system called for.My bank has taken some big hits this year, and my huevos decided to shrink up. Still haven't made the wagers on the two college teams yet, calling for 46 units
How come you have those teams left ? They do not fit the system as far as I can see.
I know, Sahlsa. It looks like those teams don't fit. But Louis. Tech had a total of 69 vs. Houston, going over the Covers total of 681/2. But I had them at 691/2 at my book. But they finally covered me last week. As for Ohio State, one of their Over games was against an unlined opponent, which doesn't count. They are my final team to be eliminated, going UUUOO so far. I probably won't have the balls to bet 63 units on that one game.
How come you have those teams left ? They do not fit the system as far as I can see.
I know, Sahlsa. It looks like those teams don't fit. But Louis. Tech had a total of 69 vs. Houston, going over the Covers total of 681/2. But I had them at 691/2 at my book. But they finally covered me last week. As for Ohio State, one of their Over games was against an unlined opponent, which doesn't count. They are my final team to be eliminated, going UUUOO so far. I probably won't have the balls to bet 63 units on that one game.
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