Soccer Picks - August 11 - 17

2025/26  

30W / 24L / 3P (+4.07u)

Took the last few days off to get away from it all.  Left the tech behind and got out of the city for a few days.  It was awesome!  Although these hangovers seem to last a bit longer than I remember 

August 11

Botosani v Arges Pitesti match has both teams scoring 6 goals in 4 games with Botosani also giving up 3 and Arges giving up 6.  Were getting the BTTS at plus money which to me is the value play.  The Overs / BTTS Yes in Romania are starting to regress.  Total for the match is only 2 so that conerns me a bit.  I'll push the envelope

Botosani / Arges BTTS Yes +109 (1u to win 1.09u) 12PM EST

In the IMT / Zeleznicar Pancevo match I like the U2.5 at plus money.  This match has gone under 2.5 goals the last 5 H2H going back to 2023.  4 Goals scored for IMT and just 1 scored for Zeleznicar Pancevo but they also have only given up 2.  Good value here imo

IMT / Zeleznicar Pancevo U2.5 +115 (1u to win 1.15u)

In the Vasas / Bekescsaba we have Vasas as heavy favourites after only two games.  Their opponent has 2 ties with 2 goals scored and 2 goals against.  Vasas has 1 win and 1 loss with a -2 goal differential.  Its only two games in and -239 is to high imo.  If you look quickly at the recent H2H quickly you see this fixture has resulted in Vasas winning 3 to 1, 3 to 1, and 6 nil.  The first 3 to 1 was at the end of last season, the other was a Club Friendly and the 6 nil is from 2022 so....

Bekescsaba +1 +117 (1u to win 1.17u) 2PM EST

In the Otelul Galati / Rapid Bucuresti match I'm choosing to go with the better team early here which is Rapid

Rapid Bucuresti -0.5 +105 (1u to win 1.05u) 230PM EST

2025/26

31W / 26L / 4P (+2.16u)

Botosani / Arges BTTS Yes +109 (1u to win 1.09u) 

IMT / Zeleznicar Pancevo U2.5 +115 (1u to win 1.15u) 

Bekescsaba +1 +117 (1u to win 1.17u) P

Rapid Bucuresti -0.5 +105 (1u to win 1.05u) 

August 11

Qarabag / Shkendija match has the line screaming for a blowout from the club from Azerbaijan. They beat Shelbourne only 1 nil at home but that game didn't really mean to much.  Only a 1 nil match in the 1st leg.  I think this game will be tight.  Qarabag should advance but if they do I see 1 nil or 2 nil max.  Possible upset from Shkendija with a 1 nil win forcing ET.  Note the unit play on the total

Qarabag / Shkendija U2.5 +116 (8u to win 9.28u)

Shkendija +1.5 -105 (1.05u to win 1u)

August 12 (Incorrect Date Above)

Qarabag / Shkendija U2.5 +116 (8u to win 9.28u) 12PM EST

Shkendija +1.5 -105 (1.05u to win 1u) 12PM EST

I like Rijeka to win tomorrows match against Shelbourne but its -140 on the AH.  I dont see them winning 1 nil so I'll take the TT instead

Rijeka TT O1.5 -112 (1.12u to win 1u) 245PM EST

BOL to the forum 

2025/26 

32W / 28L / 4P (-5.89u)

Qarabag / Shkendija U2.5 +116 (8u to win 9.28u) 

Shkendija +1.5 -105 (1.05u to win 1u) 

Rijeka TT O1.5 -112 (1.12u to win 1u) 

Well if I'm going to lose a big play I'd rather it go down in the first 30 min.  Clearly read the game wrong.

August 13

Basaksehir at home with a two goal lead 3 to 1 on aggregate.  Instant gut feeling was Over 2.5 and BTTS to score.  Both are juiced high.  I've seen Norwegian clubs make a fight in these 2nd legs when it looks like they are down and out.  A draw is a possibility here but I'll take the safer bet and take Viking on the AH

Viking +0.5 -128 ( 0.64u to win 0.5u)

2025/26  

32W / 28L / 4P (-5.89u)

Not much to go on in South Arica other than unders seemed to reign supreme in the 1st match day.  Both Richards Bay and Golden Arrows scored in their opening matches and gave up 2 and 3 goals respectively.  There won't be many BTTS in this league.  Lots of 2 nil or 1nils.  Its early though and we get good value on the BTTS.

Golden Arrows / Richards Bay BTTS Yes +152 (1u to win 1.52u)

2025/26   

33W / 29L / 4P (-6.39u)

Viking +0.5 -128 ( 0.64u to win 0.5u) 

Golden Arrows / Richards Bay BTTS Yes +152 (1u to win 1.52u) 

August 14

In Egypt much like South Africa Over 2.5 and BTTS will be hard to find.  From betting the Egyptian Premier League over the years I believe the time to get good value on the overs is in the early part of the year.  The total in the Al Ittihad Al Sakandary / Modern Sport match is 1.5 at -122.  Both teams each had 4 total goals in their first match.  I'll take a stab at the Over 2

Al Ittihad Al Sakandary / Modern Sport O2 +174 (1u to win 1.74u)

2025/26   

33W / 29L / 4P (-6.39u)

August 14

Al Ittihad Al Sakandary / Modern Sport O2 +174 (1u to win 1.74u) 10AM EST

With Midtjylland having a comfortable 2 goal advantage after leg 1 and playing at home I anticipate them doing enough to secure the tie but I'm not seeing another 4 goal affair like leg 1. 

Midtjylland / Fredrikstad U3 +132 (0.5u to win 0.66u) 12PM EST

2025/26    

33W / 29L / 4P (-6.39u)

August 14

Al Ittihad Al Sakandary / Modern Sport O2 +174 (1u to win 1.74u) 10AM EST

Midtjylland / Fredrikstad U3 +132 (0.5u to win 0.66u) 12PM EST

I feel like there is serious value with Drita today.  They gave FC Copenhagen all they could handle on the road and FCSB has looked extremely disappointing to start the season off.  5 goals were scored in the opening leg with FCSB coming out on top 3 to 2 at home.  Now Drita is at home.  There is value to take them on the ML or you can take the AH at +0.5 -115.  Throwing some Pizza Money on them to qualify would be worth it as well.  I feel like they will come out strong and at least score a goal in the 1st half.

Drita 1H TT O0.5 +128 (1u to win 1.28u) 2PM EST

2025/26   

33W / 29L / 4P (-6.39u)

August 14

Al Ittihad Al Sakandary / Modern Sport O2 +174 (1u to win 1.74u) 11AM EST

Midtjylland / Fredrikstad U3 +132 (0.5u to win 0.66u) 12PM EST

Drita 1H TT O0.5 +128 (1u to win 1.28u) 2PM EST

I've been riding Kl Kaksvik for awhile now.  Usually like them at home but with them having a 2 nil lead heading on the road I still like them to at least get a draw out of today's tie.  U2.5 seems descent today. Maybe 1 to 1 or 1 nil Klaksvik.

Kl Klaksvik +0.5 -143 (4.29u to win 3u) 2PM EST

2025/26   

33W / 29L / 4P (-6.39u)

August 14

Al Ittihad Al Sakandary / Modern Sport O2 +174 (1u to win 1.74u) 11AM EST

Midtjylland / Fredrikstad U3 +132 (0.5u to win 0.66u) 12PM EST

Drita 1H TT O0.5 +128 (1u to win 1.28u) 2PM EST

Kl Klaksvik +0.5 -143 (4.29u to win 3u) 2PM EST

One more for the afternoon.  Maybe I'm not giving Hibs enough respect but I'll take the 2nd biggest club in Serbia on the road all day long here.  Rather than take them on the AH I'll look at the TT instead.  I think Partizan wins the match but not by scoring just 1 goal.

Partizan Belgrade TT O1.5 +160 (0.5u to win 0.8u) 3PM EST

Might be back in the evening. Depends on how these plays go today.

BOL to the forum 

2025/26   

36W / 31L / 4P (-8.47u)

August 14

Al Ittihad Al Sakandary / Modern Sport O2 +174 (1u to win 1.74u) 

Midtjylland / Fredrikstad U3 +132 (0.5u to win 0.66u) 

Drita 1H TT O0.5 +128 (1u to win 1.28u) 

Kl Klaksvik +0.5 -143 (4.29u to win 3u)  - Thought we had this one

Partizan Belgrade TT O1.5 +160 (0.5u to win 0.8u) 

Calling it a day.  All the best to everyone 

2025/26  

36W / 31L / 4P (-8.47u)

August 15

Opening week of the QSL.  Great league for over 3.5 once it gets going.  I like to play unders in this league for maybe round 1 and 2

Al Arabi Doha / Al Wakrah U3 +109 (1u to win 1.09u)

2025/26 

36W / 31L / 4P (-8.47u)

August 15

Al Arabi Doha / Al Wakrah U3 +109 (1u to win 1.09u) 1130AM EST

Interesting line in the FC Copenhagen match.  Seems to suggest possibly a draw based on the AH.  FC Nordsjaelland is 1 and 3. Scored 7 and given up 10. FC Copenhagen has 3 wins and 1 loss scoring 9 and giving up 5.  Copenhagen team total is juiced to -126 at only 1.5.  Reeks of either a 1 nil win for Copenhagen or possibly a 1 to 1 draw.  I'll take a shot at the U2.5 at plus money

FC Nordsjaelland / FC Copenhagen U2.5 +130 (1u to win 1.3u) 12PM EST

2025/26  

36W / 31L / 4P (-8.47u)

August 15

Al Arabi Doha / Al Wakrah U3 +109 (1u to win 1.09u) 1130AM EST

FC Nordsjaelland / FC Copenhagen U2.5 +130 (1u to win 1.3u) 12PM EST

So the line suggests that maybe Metaloglobus has a shot at points today? Possibly.  They will need to score for sure.  They have only scored 4 total goals however the BTTS Yes is only +104. I'd grab this one.

Unirea Slobozia / Metaloglobus Bucuresti BTTS +104 (1u to win 1.04u) 12PMEST

2025/26  

36W / 31L / 4P (-8.47u)

August 15

Al Arabi Doha / Al Wakrah U3 +109 (1u to win 1.09u) 1130AM EST

FC Nordsjaelland / FC Copenhagen U2.5 +130 (1u to win 1.3u) 12PM EST

Unirea Slobozia / Metaloglobus Bucuresti BTTS +104 (0.5u to win 0.52u) 12PMEST (Unit correction on this play)

Bodo / Glimt 3 points out of first playing a bottom feeder.  Stromsgodset had gone 3 games in a row of not scoring at home before scoring 2 a piece in the last 2 home games winning 1 and losing 1.  A good bet might be to take Bodo Glimt to win to nil but I'm going with Stromsgodset to not score at all

Stromsgodset TT U0.5 +168 (0.5u to win 0.84u) 1PM EST

2025/26  

36W / 31L / 4P (-8.47u)

August 15

Al Arabi Doha / Al Wakrah U3 +109 (1u to win 1.09u) 

FC Nordsjaelland / FC Copenhagen U2.5 +130 (1u to win 1.3u) 12PM EST

Unirea Slobozia / Metaloglobus Bucuresti BTTS +104 (0.5u to win 0.52u) 12PMEST 

Stromsgodset TT U0.5 +168 (0.5u to win 0.84u) 1PM EST

In Egypt we'll take a stab at playing an under 1.5 given both teams failed to score in their opening match.  Double zero's for both in round 2 usually means a 1 nil win for someone from my experience betting this league anyways.  Both matches last year featured BTTS Yes so you can consider that I guess

Haras El Hodood / National Bank of Egypt U1.5 +136 (0.5u to win 0.68u) 2PM EST

2025/26  

36W / 31L / 4P (-8.47u)

August 15

Al Arabi Doha / Al Wakrah U3 +109 (1u to win 1.09u) 

FC Nordsjaelland / FC Copenhagen U2.5 +130 (1u to win 1.3u) 12PM EST

Unirea Slobozia / Metaloglobus Bucuresti BTTS +104 (0.5u to win 0.52u) 12PMEST 

Stromsgodset TT U0.5 +168 (0.5u to win 0.84u) 1PM EST

Haras El Hodood / National Bank of Egypt U1.5 +136 (0.5u to win 0.68u) 2PM EST

Perfect spot to fade Red Star imo.  Playing on the road after a mid week European tie.  Their opponents is defensive minded scoring only 4 but allowing only 5. 1 win, 2 draw and a loss.  I'll take Mladost at home on the AH

Mladost Lucani +2 -113 (1.13u to win 1u) 2PM EST

2025/26

37W / 33L / 4P (-9.95u)

August 15

Al Arabi Doha / Al Wakrah U3 +109 (1u to win 1.09u) 

FC Nordsjaelland / FC Copenhagen U2.5 +130 (1u to win 1.3u) 

Unirea Slobozia / Metaloglobus Bucuresti BTTS +104 (0.5u to win 0.52u) 

Stromsgodset TT U0.5 +168 (0.5u to win 0.84u) 

Haras El Hodood / National Bank of Egypt U1.5 +136 (0.5u to win 0.68u) 2PM EST

Mladost Lucani +2 -113 (1.13u to win 1u) 2PM EST

Welcome back EPL!

Opening game with the defending champions at home.  Anything can really happen here.  I've got maybe a 3 to 1 or even 3 to 2 Liverpool win.

Liverpool / Bournemouth O3.5 +106 (1u to win 1.06u)

2025/26

40W / 34L / 4P (-8.50u)

August 15

Al Arabi Doha / Al Wakrah U3 +109 (1u to win 1.09u) 

FC Nordsjaelland / FC Copenhagen U2.5 +130 (1u to win 1.3u) 

Unirea Slobozia / Metaloglobus Bucuresti BTTS +104 (0.5u to win 0.52u) 

Stromsgodset TT U0.5 +168 (0.5u to win 0.84u) 

Haras El Hodood / National Bank of Egypt U1.5 +136 (0.5u to win 0.68u) 

Mladost Lucani +2 -113 (1.13u to win 1u)  Thought we had this one

Liverpool / Bournemouth O3.5 +106 (1u to win 1.06u) 

@GrizzlyMusic881

2025/26

40W / 34L / 4P (-8.50u)

Testing out the J League as its a league I don't bet that often.  Machida Zelvia is right in the thick of it for the title and for Champions League Positions.  With a win Cerezo Osaka will put themselves within striking distance of at least the champions league 2  position.  I see both teams going for it.

Machida Zelvia / Cerezo Osaka BTTS Yes -131 (1.31u to win 1u)