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@OO7CRUSHER Fantastic job Crusher. Stay hot |
OO7CRUSHER | 31 |
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Damn, just not seeing things well. I'm gonna take a seat on the sidelines for the next day or two. If I'm feeling it, I'll pop in for the division series. Not gonna chase and certainly don't want to lose anybody tailing more $ |
Kaufee | 70 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BadBeatBandit:
@Kaufee Is it just my bookie or am I seeing Detroit at +170 now? What happened?
That's got to be an error, Bandit. But grab it if you can
And thanks to everyone that's stopped by. I read all your comments and appreciate you |
Kaufee | 70 |
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Quote Originally Posted by deltau46:
Thanks @Kaufee. Any chance you'll have a play(s) on the other two games or is this it for the day?
Hey Delta - still looking those 2 over. I'll post in here later if I'm going to play anything |
Kaufee | 70 |
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10/1/25
Maybe we grabbed a little momentum with the Dodgers last night. Let's see if we can keep it going. Today, I'm on the Tigers and Cubs to end their series.
Tigers at +119 - I like Bibee and won't be surprised if he keeps them in it for 5 innings. However, I don't see where the offense is going to come from. Vogt seems to be grasping at straws. He has a 195 hitter in the 5 hole and he's starting a rookie (in his first start ever) in centerfield. Sure, maybe he finds lightning in a bottle, but I don't see it.
Cubs at -111 - The Padres looked uninterested yesterday, particularly Tatis and Machado. But the reality is, I'm not a fan of Dylan Cease. If you asked SD in April who should be starting this game, the answer would have been Michael King. Injuries had other plans and now he's in a long relief role. I like that the Cubs are going with an opener. Imanaga has had his struggles in the 1st. Otherwise, he's a solid #2 and the Pads have proven they struggle against lefties. I think they fold today.
BOL out there. Cheers |
Kaufee | 70 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BadBeatBandit:
@Kaufee Anything for the late game?
Yeah Bandit, I decided to play the Dodgers -1 at -131. Apologies for the late post. Game starts in 10 min. |
Kaufee | 70 |
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Thanks for the comments everyone. Not the start I was looking for. We'll try again tomorrow when we don't have to deal with all the aces
@brocktherock - Thanks Brock, appreciate that. Yes, Savant is one of many tools I use
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Kaufee | 70 |
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@lik122 - Hey Lik, there you are! Thanks man
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Kaufee | 70 |
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@BadBeatBandit - Thank you, Badbeat. Yes, last season was epic. Probably not sustainable, but we'll do our best. Cheers my friend
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Kaufee | 70 |
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@PUSSYGALORE333
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Kaufee | 70 |
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Thank you all, it's good to see everyone!
@LAGameofInches - I hear ya, LA. I didn't miss Boyd's home numbers. He has been good on the season. However, again - most of that damage came earlier on. In his last 4 home starts, he's got an ERA North of 5. Like everything in this world, what has he done for us lately? Even with that, I don't hate the under. Wishing you luck bud
@Ascetic - The Cubs were scary good in the first half of the season. If they can find that again, SD is in trouble. But, that's a bif IF. Nice to see even Cubs homers have taken notice. Thanks for stopping by Ascetic. BOL
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Kaufee | 70 |
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It's that time of year again, my friends. In the post season, margins are very thin. As always, I'll be looking for angles to exploit. If I can find enough on one side, I'll make it a play. I'll post all my Wildcard plays in this thread.
Let's see what we can do!
The first game that drew my attention is San Diego @ Chicago. Below are a few reasons why I'm backing the Padres here:
- What really jumped out to me was the recent performance of Matt Boyd. In his last 7 games (37 innings), he's given up 25 ER on 39 hits and pitched to a 6.08 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Relatively small sample size, sure. However stretch that out over the last 2 months of the season and he hasn't been much better, pitching to a 5.16 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Those are not ace numbers.
- Nick Pivetta has been much more consistent. He's held his ERA under 2.99 and WHIP right around 1.00 in his last 7, 15, and 30 games. He is a little bit better at home than on the road. However, he's 7-2 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.86 WHIP during the day. With that and holding opponents to a 181 avg offsets any road concerns for me. Pivetta is right around league avg at keeping the ball on the ground with a 45.2% groundball rate. Typically, the concern with him is that when he does get hit hard, the ball tends to fly out of the yard. With the wind blowing in today, any mistakes will hopefully result in deep fly outs.
Statistically, the Cubs do bring the better offense. However, they did a lot of their damage in the first half of the season. They're still a top 10 offense over the past 30 days, but the Pads are right there at #13. Of course, SD doesn't have the power that Chicago brings. They're a scrappy offense that will grind out at bats and do the little things to score. Given the wind, I don't think a lot of balls are gonna get over the fence today. That favors SD in my opinion. I am concerned about Roman Laureano being out. Gavin Sheets will start in his place and that puts 3 lefties (O'hearn, Sheets, and Cronenworth) near the bottom of the order. However, O'hearn has great #'s vs South Paws (349 AVG and a 1.059 OPS). Cronenworth and Sheets both hit 250 against lefties, so while not ideal - I don't see the bottom of the lineup being a game changer.
- Lastly, the Padres have the best bullpen in baseball. The Cubs are middle of the pack. I expect this to be the difference in the series. Huge advantage to SD in a close game.
I'm on the Padres at +111
Again, will post in here if I play another game. BOL out there. Cheers
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Kaufee | 70 |
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I’ve missed you guys. I’ll post some playoff picks and we’ll see how it goes. Should have at least one tomorrow. Hope everyone is well. See you soon. |
BadBeatBandit | 15 |
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replied to
Cubs rookie Horton’s no longer a mystery — Braves bats expose him early. Taking ATL +½ first five…
in MLB Betting @LVTruck I hear ya man. I'll probably be back for another playoff run |
LVTruck | 9 |
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replied to
Cubs rookie Horton’s no longer a mystery — Braves bats expose him early. Taking ATL +½ first five…
in MLB Betting The contrarian up to his old tricks. BOL LV. Cheers bud |
LVTruck | 9 |
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I endorse this play. I see a lopsided matchup on the mound and offensively. BOL Bator |
MrBator | 114 |
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Quote Originally Posted by lik122: @Kaufee LSU to win it all Thank you so much for saving my terrible week Can’t wait for you to come back for MLB ![]()
Weird game with those ejections in the 1st. Sorry to you guys on Coastal. Thanks to Jesron for hosting this thread. It’s been a fun CWS
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jesron1269 | 293 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Jhizzle13:
Where is Kaufee?????????????????????????? ...I'm getting dizzy! I was MIA yesterday, sorry about that bud. On LSU today. I see some love for Coastal and respect that. Not gonna be easy either way. BOL
@LIK - Let’s get it buddy
@Jesron - BOL Jesron, wish we were on the same side |
jesron1269 | 293 |
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What’s up all?! Sorry I wasn’t around yesterday to get a post in. I think LSU closes it out today. It doesn’t get much easier for CC with Eyanson on the mound. I realize Morrison is on the other side. Just think CC will be anxious and tight after getting shutout yesterday. LSU to win it all @ +110
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jesron1269 | 293 |
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@PUSSYGALORE333 -
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jesron1269 | 293 |
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