as predicted when I increase wagers for draws they flop and when I decrease wagers for picks they do well. And wtf Bo’s why do you score a pointless goal with 20 seconds left to make det a push come on
I have been losing money betting against caps for the past two weeks and now that I am betting on them I sense a loss incoming just to mess with me
Sides: 212-129-5184.28
Parlays: 2.08
Robins: 4.84
Draws 38.65
The stars might lie but the #’s never do…I feel lucky today
as predicted when I increase wagers for draws they flop and when I decrease wagers for picks they do well. And wtf Bo’s why do you score a pointless goal with 20 seconds left to make det a push come on
I have been losing money betting against caps for the past two weeks and now that I am betting on them I sense a loss incoming just to mess with me
Some fun details on what teams are screwing me this season and it appears to not be so bad just col can’t bet on them or against them…caps have been screwing me recently betting against them during their hotness but they began the season being helpful. Dal started off being good to bet against but also have become relatively hot during my slight funk the past week. Sj has been good to bet on and bad to bet against so today that doesn’t fair well, sharks are gonna win this one in OT most likely…Buf also has been hard to pin down so that doesn’t fair the best for phi today but just like against the pens last game they got clobbered they have good numbers. I didn’t include the other which we’re doing better than avg or way better than avg which was a good deal of them or slightly greater than 2/3rds of the teams have been playing along swimmingly…alright back to the salt mines as dyamarik says, speaking of which where has he gone, I left for a few days and come back and this forum is even quieter than it was before my hiatus
Teams that lost me money betting on them
Buf 6-9-2
Cgy 7-9-2
Col 1-3-1
Fla 3-3
La 3-5-1
Nah 5-5-1
Stl 5-8
Tor 4-5
Uta 2-6
Veg 5-9
Betting against lost money
Ana 6-6-1
Bos 3-3-2
Buf 4-5
Col 5-13-3
Dal 7-7-6
Pit 4-4
Sj 2-4
Tam 4-6-4
Was 8-7-2
Wpg 5-5-1
The stars might lie but the #’s never do…I feel lucky today
Some fun details on what teams are screwing me this season and it appears to not be so bad just col can’t bet on them or against them…caps have been screwing me recently betting against them during their hotness but they began the season being helpful. Dal started off being good to bet against but also have become relatively hot during my slight funk the past week. Sj has been good to bet on and bad to bet against so today that doesn’t fair well, sharks are gonna win this one in OT most likely…Buf also has been hard to pin down so that doesn’t fair the best for phi today but just like against the pens last game they got clobbered they have good numbers. I didn’t include the other which we’re doing better than avg or way better than avg which was a good deal of them or slightly greater than 2/3rds of the teams have been playing along swimmingly…alright back to the salt mines as dyamarik says, speaking of which where has he gone, I left for a few days and come back and this forum is even quieter than it was before my hiatus
The patterns you see from various teams are nothing of the sort. They are inevitable consequences of reviewing large data sets. Order will seem to exist but this is a mirage
Unless you are using different methods to bet different teams you should ignore who your system is pointing to and bet it regardless. If your numbers stack up as they seem to you should play every bet and disregard perception of teams that are good or bad to you. BOL
The patterns you see from various teams are nothing of the sort. They are inevitable consequences of reviewing large data sets. Order will seem to exist but this is a mirage
Unless you are using different methods to bet different teams you should ignore who your system is pointing to and bet it regardless. If your numbers stack up as they seem to you should play every bet and disregard perception of teams that are good or bad to you. BOL
raman yes overall things are working so why change them but col has been crushing me and considering I usually bet against them I would have to ask the question of is col playing over their heads or is this performance likely changing moving forward. I’m not a good enough capper to know if they really are that good and if that’s the case I should stop betting against them. This only matter for the outliers in my opinion and they are the only outlier so far. During mlb season two years ago it was white Sox and this past season it was the Rockies. Both times they started bad and finished bad therefore cutting that game out of each day would have benefitted me in both cases if I stopped a quarter of the season through or half way through. I questioned Vegas yesterday and luckily had an alternative to veg -1 B which was chi 2 nd as they were both legit picks but I used a little finesse and said veg has not been the same this season so I stuck with chi and it worked out. Then there’s cgy how bad do they suck?? Record indicates not that much more than nsh or van so I’m not going to cut them out. Otherwise teams that have hurt me simply had hot or cold spurts and I wouldn’t consider changing anything for them.
What is worrisome is how bad my -130-160 favorites have done, it’s been consistent all season but hopefully will level out. If caps lose tonight and phi also then I dunno cause phi opened at -125 so I still do not understand that line change. One injury in hockey doesn’t matter that much but lines do move a lot for goal tenders and I don’t care much for that either.
Here are the ml results so far this season and it’s nuts how I’m better at betting dogs than I am favorites, I am exactly at 50-50 for these moderate favorites which is insane
Ml -166-150: 11-9
-148-130: 13-15
-129-120: 9-9
-118-110: 20-14
-108-100: 13-19
+115-102: 11-6
The stars might lie but the #’s never do…I feel lucky today
raman yes overall things are working so why change them but col has been crushing me and considering I usually bet against them I would have to ask the question of is col playing over their heads or is this performance likely changing moving forward. I’m not a good enough capper to know if they really are that good and if that’s the case I should stop betting against them. This only matter for the outliers in my opinion and they are the only outlier so far. During mlb season two years ago it was white Sox and this past season it was the Rockies. Both times they started bad and finished bad therefore cutting that game out of each day would have benefitted me in both cases if I stopped a quarter of the season through or half way through. I questioned Vegas yesterday and luckily had an alternative to veg -1 B which was chi 2 nd as they were both legit picks but I used a little finesse and said veg has not been the same this season so I stuck with chi and it worked out. Then there’s cgy how bad do they suck?? Record indicates not that much more than nsh or van so I’m not going to cut them out. Otherwise teams that have hurt me simply had hot or cold spurts and I wouldn’t consider changing anything for them.
What is worrisome is how bad my -130-160 favorites have done, it’s been consistent all season but hopefully will level out. If caps lose tonight and phi also then I dunno cause phi opened at -125 so I still do not understand that line change. One injury in hockey doesn’t matter that much but lines do move a lot for goal tenders and I don’t care much for that either.
Here are the ml results so far this season and it’s nuts how I’m better at betting dogs than I am favorites, I am exactly at 50-50 for these moderate favorites which is insane
BUF has been hot lately. Now they start their longest road trip since 2012.
PHL is allowing 3 or more goals in 7 of last 9 games. Then couple that with the absence of Foerster. They are 26th in goals with 2.8 per game. 29th in SoG and below average in PP and FOs.
Vegas is 2-13 on PL at home. CHI 9-3 on PL on road. So, this coupled with momentum it did not surprise me. I played both but only listed the ML here.
BUF has been hot lately. Now they start their longest road trip since 2012.
PHL is allowing 3 or more goals in 7 of last 9 games. Then couple that with the absence of Foerster. They are 26th in goals with 2.8 per game. 29th in SoG and below average in PP and FOs.
Vegas is 2-13 on PL at home. CHI 9-3 on PL on road. So, this coupled with momentum it did not surprise me. I played both but only listed the ML here.
raiders I felt like phi was hot also before getting burned bad by Crosby where I also played phi so I thought they wouldn’t lose 2 in a row at home at their current level of play. I can’t pin down buffalo and so far betting for or against them has not been favorable for me. Onward and wayward you win some you lose some
The stars might lie but the #’s never do…I feel lucky today
raiders I felt like phi was hot also before getting burned bad by Crosby where I also played phi so I thought they wouldn’t lose 2 in a row at home at their current level of play. I can’t pin down buffalo and so far betting for or against them has not been favorable for me. Onward and wayward you win some you lose some
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