originally I picked Fla and Wpg ml but Wpg has too high a draw rate and Fla was meh but those two are the sketch picks today that I considered betting both sides with the fav ml and dog +1
3-0-1 7.32 draws 6.28. Parlays 2.54 Yesterday and I didn’t even have to cancel chi +1 as it was a loss by one as I predicted, last time I wanted to do that Nsh lost to dal by 1 and Nsh was -170 1.5 and dal ml -160 so similar situation where I don’t like the pick and am considering hedging this way in the future to maintain a full card. So I predict Wpg and Fla will both win by 1 and if so may actually start to follow that plan rather than taking the dog in these sketchy situations. Increased wagers by .2 as I have the bank roll currently though it’s still more than 1% it’s 1.1% as it stands for 2.8u per so not too risky. Considering how well parlays are doing probably should increase those wagers but instead I added some three leggers alright enough rambling got stuff to do this morning
Sides: 146-76-36 101.12
Parlays: 15.27u
Robins: 1.25u
Draws 10.60
The stars might lie but the #’s never do…I feel lucky today
originally I picked Fla and Wpg ml but Wpg has too high a draw rate and Fla was meh but those two are the sketch picks today that I considered betting both sides with the fav ml and dog +1
3-0-1 7.32 draws 6.28. Parlays 2.54 Yesterday and I didn’t even have to cancel chi +1 as it was a loss by one as I predicted, last time I wanted to do that Nsh lost to dal by 1 and Nsh was -170 1.5 and dal ml -160 so similar situation where I don’t like the pick and am considering hedging this way in the future to maintain a full card. So I predict Wpg and Fla will both win by 1 and if so may actually start to follow that plan rather than taking the dog in these sketchy situations. Increased wagers by .2 as I have the bank roll currently though it’s still more than 1% it’s 1.1% as it stands for 2.8u per so not too risky. Considering how well parlays are doing probably should increase those wagers but instead I added some three leggers alright enough rambling got stuff to do this morning
already got the pens in for tomorrow with opening line at -110 it’s a you pick em and I have to go with the penguins. Why I’m risking the full 2.8u on them is unbeknownst to me as it’s as 50-50 as it gets…hopefully the line drives up to the -120s for pit then I would have more confidence in them pulling off the Sweden win
placing early is nuts you win some you lose some but Toronto was at -120 and I thought I got a steal at -104 then the line drops to them 115, Ana also but most of the others went the right way for me glad I got Mon 1 in for a reasonable but expensive price considering how they’ve been playing. These -130-160 favorites get me all out of sorts and I’m thinking if I do take Stl tomorrow who with Vegas and Col and La have been some of the few teams losing me money with Stl leading the way. Thinking tie no bet for some of these if it’s called for, or my other plan I already delineated of taking both sides in this game hedgin and hoping for a favorites win by 1…seems like a cop out to me as I have had a side for every game this season, but it has merit, maybe my favorite ml picks will turn it around going forward and I just haven’t given them enough time.
nba took pho -4.5 b and nfl a no sweat bet on nyj 13 hoping its too many points to be covered
The stars might lie but the #’s never do…I feel lucky today
already got the pens in for tomorrow with opening line at -110 it’s a you pick em and I have to go with the penguins. Why I’m risking the full 2.8u on them is unbeknownst to me as it’s as 50-50 as it gets…hopefully the line drives up to the -120s for pit then I would have more confidence in them pulling off the Sweden win
placing early is nuts you win some you lose some but Toronto was at -120 and I thought I got a steal at -104 then the line drops to them 115, Ana also but most of the others went the right way for me glad I got Mon 1 in for a reasonable but expensive price considering how they’ve been playing. These -130-160 favorites get me all out of sorts and I’m thinking if I do take Stl tomorrow who with Vegas and Col and La have been some of the few teams losing me money with Stl leading the way. Thinking tie no bet for some of these if it’s called for, or my other plan I already delineated of taking both sides in this game hedgin and hoping for a favorites win by 1…seems like a cop out to me as I have had a side for every game this season, but it has merit, maybe my favorite ml picks will turn it around going forward and I just haven’t given them enough time.
nba took pho -4.5 b and nfl a no sweat bet on nyj 13 hoping its too many points to be covered
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