Canucks/Islanders Total

I was all ready to pull the trigger on the Canucks/Islanders Under, then I double-checked and see:

Vancouver Canucks/New York Islanders have gone Over 10 meetings in row.

Do these type of trends pull you off a bet?

 It works until it doesn't. The odds are based on human psychology, the game is mostly random chaos on ice, forwards master and harness chaos, while goalies and defence tamp it down a bit. Why some recently high gf/ga teams meet up and get a 1-0 is either weird chemistry or prearranged "lower line development" games, you tell me.

I've stopped betting unless I have full expected goalie vs goalie stats. 

@Messy

 Struggling this year with kind of the same situation. I can produce some data to make a good argument to bet it, then I look at last 5 game totals  for each team. That gives me pause more often than not. But I should probably omit that factor and just play what the numbers are telling me for that game. Case in point LAK last night.

Thanks for the insights, guys. I've had more success focusing on the very recent stats as opposed to long trends. I find the Covers Print sheets very valuable.

At the same time, it is hard to ignore those kind of streaks like 10-0 or 9-1/L 10, etc. and I always take a look before making the final call.

All the best with your picks.   

@BadMinton

 cant agree its human psychology as most lines are set up based on stats initially and then adjusted according to money flow. its precisely 'psychology' that shafts most of the bettors because you look at data and data disregards the human factor, its quantitative not qualitative and qualitative analysis is where value is found.. that is as long as your understanding of everything about the league is sufficient

as to why last 10 h2h have gone over the total - 2 teams on similar level and not among the best, no reason why either would think too highly of the other and make special adjustments. unders usually hit in games where one team either isnt fond of winning by large margins or is afraid they cant return goals conceded. for example if you're up against the oilers you know that if you concede 3+ its likely you wont be winning and you play with more caution however against teams on your level or weaker its different - you know you can return any goal they score and it can go both ways