Will the Lions bounce back streak come to and end?

The Detroit Lions have the longest win streak coming of a loss in the NFL. I think they are somewhere 11-0 or 10-0 when coming of a loss. The Bucs on the other hand is on an impressive start with Baker Mayfield playing on a different level this year. The last time they have a 5-1 standing was in 2021, but they never had a 7-1 start for their franchise. Looking at their schedule they will face the Saints next on the road before they will have their bye week. The 7-1 franchise start might not be impossible if they can pull off an upset here.

This game opened with a line of -4.5 then reached -6.0 favoring the lions might close at 5.5, for 2025 the Lions are 2-0 when favored by 5pts or more at home and historically since 2021 they have covered 71.4% all the time. They also have a winning record ATS of 21-8-1 when facing winning conference teams. Historically, teams often exhibit a strong bounce-back tendency after a defeat, and the Lions have shown this pattern in recent seasons.

For instance, the Lions have covered the spread in 11 consecutive games following a loss, the longest such streak since the Packers' 12-game streak from 2018 to 2022. This trend suggests that the Lions are resilient and perform well against the spread after a loss, particularly when favored at home.

Additionally, the Lions have a 14–4 ATS record with extra rest under head coach Dan Campbell, indicating their effectiveness when given additional time to prepare. But you have to take note of the Lions' defensive line up injuries and suspensions. The only crucial player out for the Bucs is Bucky Irving, both WRs Egbuka and Mike Evans are GTD and will play.

The Bucaneers also have an impressive stats with 7-3 as road underdogs in their last 10 games and they are 3-0 ats this season on the road.

Everything points to Detroit covering the spread right? But the same Bucs defeated the Lions at their home field last season 17-20 and considering how things can get wild recently everything is just possible. I see this as a field goal difference type of game and value on the Bucs spread and play the ML game for the lions live to capture more value. I can see a Lions win SU or a comeback win to make it more dramatic for the fans and emphasis on their stats. 

My play is Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 5.5.

Instead of the spread there more value in the Team Total.

Bucs could easily lose by Td.

If you believe they will cover than they have to score at least 24.

Love this angle 

@Ppkay

 in 2024 the bucs defeated the lions 20-17. How can you put it that way with that stat? This game can go under.

@Way2Good

 Every primetime game the dog has won and covered outright except last night and last Sunday night  THREAD LIGHTLY

Staring down the barrel the Bucs always find a way to cover the spread on the road this season idk why. They did it against the Texans, Seahawks and the Falcons. All good teams.

@Yourdaddysolid

 the prime time game for this MNF is the Texans/Seahawks game at 10pm.

The line has now moved at some of my books to +6

The home games of the Lions this season are against the Bears and the Browns, both games they destroyed those teams, both pathetic teams and their 2-0 home stat is not impressive IMHO. Everyone is just pouncing on the Lions spread right now thinking it will be another walk in the park for Campbell and Goff. But is it gonna be really that easy with their defensive linesmen injured and suspended against the explosiveness of Bucs offense? 

Have to see if Baker can overcome his 2-7 MNF record. He's kind of Kirk Cousins in prime time train wreck. 

Is that record straight up or ats ?

Good point

@topcatt89_OLD_11887

 yup. he is 1-0 this year after that comeback win against the texans. The Bucs franchise though is at 15-15 all time on MNF and 5-7 on the road ATS. 

I dont need Mayfield to win, I need him to cover the spread if you think about it it will require a whole team effort and the Bucs are capable to do so with their current roster and historical stats. I will wait for a better value for Lions ML live. 

im interested in seeing the statuses of egbuka and evans. if they are going to play and the line doesnt move. lions is the play. AND i feel like tampa should come back to earth, they have so many come back from behind wins this year..they cant do that every game

Lions are short on their defensive linesmen in this game, once it start the Bucs will be explosive and it will be hard to catch a spread +5.5 or better however it will be favorable for LIONS ML bettors. If you lean on the ML I suggest wait till the game starts. I tell you that this game will not be one sided. 

@usikbasterd

 I agree. I think the reason why the line is at 5.5 to 6 is because of Egbuka and Evans being GTD. But the moment they confirm to play this can drop to 4.5 or 3.5.

@Way2Good

 well ive been keeping an eye on this game spread since last monday. and it was 5.5 with egbuka and evans being doubtful. and then sometime at least wednesday or thursday, i saw reports that they practiced (?) and like more than 50/50 to play todays game. since then, the spread went up to 6..

@Way2Good

 but yea if the spread drops at least a point if reports say evans/egbuka will play then its different story

@usikbasterd

 thank you. another reason that my tampa +5.5 is at more value. Chances are high that they will play and spread will likely to go down. I placed my bets last night after the 49ers win. Tampa +5.5 and Blue Jays ML to get more juice! 

I took the Lions at -5.5. After the refs played no calls on K.C. Last week, and missed that non catch by Mrs. Swift. They'll probably call more penalties on T.B. than Detroit tonight to even things up. 

#SPORTSARERIGGED

Good Luck 

@Way2Good

 McNeil  is back

Great question! GL 

@Irisheric777

 Mcwho? Lol. Mcneil is washed. He is reactivated due to injuries and suspension of other defensive linesmen of the Lions. He is not a priority for the Lions its as if they have any other choice they would not reactivate him.

@topcatt89_OLD_11887

 He did win vs houston this season on MNF