2-1 on the season. Took a beating my last play week 11 on Cowboys vs Eagles. Admittedly, I completely misjudged the momentum of Eagles, and the effects of Zeke/TSmith/SLee. Thought the home team getting lots of points in an NFC East rivalry would be enough, and that Cowboys would rally around their injured players. I was wrong. Am still going to fire away when I see big value CONVCITion plays, which won't be every week.
This week 14, the play is the KC-Oak total:
Take OVER 48.5
1) Oakland prob getting both of their star receivers back
2) KC defense hasn't stopped anyone all year, including the JETS last week
3) To add insult to injury, Marcus Peters, arguably KC's top defensive player, will be benched this game
4) Division rivals will fire back and forth in a game that will prob be decided by who has the ball last (Remember 31-30 MNF?)
5) While KC defense is still a mess, the offense is back to clicking on all cylinders, putting up big points, and doing it only taking a few min off the clock. I don't think they will match their 10 yards/play from last week, but they won't need to cover the 48.5 with ease.
6) People overlook that Alex Smith is still playing GREAT this year, with a 107 qb rating. That's second to only TOM BRADY, and well ahead of the likes of CARSON WENTZ, DREW BREES, and RUSSELL WILSON.
2-1 on the season. Took a beating my last play week 11 on Cowboys vs Eagles. Admittedly, I completely misjudged the momentum of Eagles, and the effects of Zeke/TSmith/SLee. Thought the home team getting lots of points in an NFC East rivalry would be enough, and that Cowboys would rally around their injured players. I was wrong. Am still going to fire away when I see big value CONVCITion plays, which won't be every week.
This week 14, the play is the KC-Oak total:
Take OVER 48.5
1) Oakland prob getting both of their star receivers back
2) KC defense hasn't stopped anyone all year, including the JETS last week
3) To add insult to injury, Marcus Peters, arguably KC's top defensive player, will be benched this game
4) Division rivals will fire back and forth in a game that will prob be decided by who has the ball last (Remember 31-30 MNF?)
5) While KC defense is still a mess, the offense is back to clicking on all cylinders, putting up big points, and doing it only taking a few min off the clock. I don't think they will match their 10 yards/play from last week, but they won't need to cover the 48.5 with ease.
6) People overlook that Alex Smith is still playing GREAT this year, with a 107 qb rating. That's second to only TOM BRADY, and well ahead of the likes of CARSON WENTZ, DREW BREES, and RUSSELL WILSON.
You make some good points, appreciate your analysis. However, I disagree that Oakland defense has improved that much. Last 2 games they played were...Denver and NYG, 2 of the worst offenses in the league. So it's dangerous to use those games to mean anything. When they last played a real offenses (New England), they gave up 33.
Quote Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:
Amari Cooper almost certainly will not play Sunday due to a high ankle sprain and if he does he will be useless. He is doubtful right now. This actually will not hurt your over because Patterson is dangerous and had a great game last Sunday and he unlike Cooper probably won't have like 5 drops in the game.
The fact the first game was a shootout does not mean the same will happen Sunday. The Raiders have changed defensive coordinators since that game and the defense has played much better since doing so. The Raiders had 4 sacks in the 4 games previous to Norton's firing, they have had 8 in their last two games.They had 6 takeaways in their first 10 games but 3 in the last 2.
That first game was a prime time solo game and there were a lot of drives and scoring plays that were helped out by flags. Coincidence? Perhaps, but the chances that, that many flags help out that much again are slim to none.
The Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between the two in K.C and 18-7 in the last 25 meetings all together, the two generally play hard fought slugfests the last game not withstanding.
Marshawn Lynch has been slowly getting better each weekend and last weekend had his best game of the season and got 20 touches, you can expect more of the same Sunday as well as other Raiders back running the ball as well. It is part of their new approach to control the game better and not have their defense on the field as much during a game so the will try to slow the game down. Add to this the Chiefs allow a whopping 4.3 yards per carry and you can bet your old Honda that the Raiders will be trying to run the ball all day.
Under is 8-3-1 in Chiefs last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 17-7 in Chiefs last 24 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs offense exploded last weekend but in the three games previous they scored a meagre 36 total points.
Alex Smith did very well last Sunday with a 135.9 passer rating. However in the 2 weeks prior he was a dismal 76.0 and 61.5 respectively. In fact he has not had two consecutive weeks with a decent passer rating in the last 7 weeks so if that pattern continues we can expect another dismal showing from him Sunday,
Who knows, man it could end up 31-30 again, that's why they play the game but the two teams are literally very different than they were when they last met and the situation and site is also completely different.
As you can see I am clearly against you. Should be a good game. I would say good luck but I would not mean it so instead I shall say hats off to you if it hits for you sir and cheers
You make some good points, appreciate your analysis. However, I disagree that Oakland defense has improved that much. Last 2 games they played were...Denver and NYG, 2 of the worst offenses in the league. So it's dangerous to use those games to mean anything. When they last played a real offenses (New England), they gave up 33.
Quote Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:
Amari Cooper almost certainly will not play Sunday due to a high ankle sprain and if he does he will be useless. He is doubtful right now. This actually will not hurt your over because Patterson is dangerous and had a great game last Sunday and he unlike Cooper probably won't have like 5 drops in the game.
The fact the first game was a shootout does not mean the same will happen Sunday. The Raiders have changed defensive coordinators since that game and the defense has played much better since doing so. The Raiders had 4 sacks in the 4 games previous to Norton's firing, they have had 8 in their last two games.They had 6 takeaways in their first 10 games but 3 in the last 2.
That first game was a prime time solo game and there were a lot of drives and scoring plays that were helped out by flags. Coincidence? Perhaps, but the chances that, that many flags help out that much again are slim to none.
The Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between the two in K.C and 18-7 in the last 25 meetings all together, the two generally play hard fought slugfests the last game not withstanding.
Marshawn Lynch has been slowly getting better each weekend and last weekend had his best game of the season and got 20 touches, you can expect more of the same Sunday as well as other Raiders back running the ball as well. It is part of their new approach to control the game better and not have their defense on the field as much during a game so the will try to slow the game down. Add to this the Chiefs allow a whopping 4.3 yards per carry and you can bet your old Honda that the Raiders will be trying to run the ball all day.
Under is 8-3-1 in Chiefs last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 17-7 in Chiefs last 24 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs offense exploded last weekend but in the three games previous they scored a meagre 36 total points.
Alex Smith did very well last Sunday with a 135.9 passer rating. However in the 2 weeks prior he was a dismal 76.0 and 61.5 respectively. In fact he has not had two consecutive weeks with a decent passer rating in the last 7 weeks so if that pattern continues we can expect another dismal showing from him Sunday,
Who knows, man it could end up 31-30 again, that's why they play the game but the two teams are literally very different than they were when they last met and the situation and site is also completely different.
As you can see I am clearly against you. Should be a good game. I would say good luck but I would not mean it so instead I shall say hats off to you if it hits for you sir and cheers
You may some good points, appreciate your analysis. However I do disagree strongly that Oakland defense has improved at all. The last 2 games were against Denver and NYG, 2 of the worst offenses in the league, AND both against a backup QB. The last real offense they played (New England) put up 33.
Quote Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:
Amari Cooper almost certainly will not play Sunday due to a high ankle sprain and if he does he will be useless. He is doubtful right now. This actually will not hurt your over because Patterson is dangerous and had a great game last Sunday and he unlike Cooper probably won't have like 5 drops in the game.
The fact the first game was a shootout does not mean the same will happen Sunday. The Raiders have changed defensive coordinators since that game and the defense has played much better since doing so. The Raiders had 4 sacks in the 4 games previous to Norton's firing, they have had 8 in their last two games.They had 6 takeaways in their first 10 games but 3 in the last 2.
That first game was a prime time solo game and there were a lot of drives and scoring plays that were helped out by flags. Coincidence? Perhaps, but the chances that, that many flags help out that much again are slim to none.
The Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between the two in K.C and 18-7 in the last 25 meetings all together, the two generally play hard fought slugfests the last game not withstanding.
Marshawn Lynch has been slowly getting better each weekend and last weekend had his best game of the season and got 20 touches, you can expect more of the same Sunday as well as other Raiders back running the ball as well. It is part of their new approach to control the game better and not have their defense on the field as much during a game so the will try to slow the game down. Add to this the Chiefs allow a whopping 4.3 yards per carry and you can bet your old Honda that the Raiders will be trying to run the ball all day.
Under is 8-3-1 in Chiefs last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 17-7 in Chiefs last 24 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs offense exploded last weekend but in the three games previous they scored a meagre 36 total points.
Alex Smith did very well last Sunday with a 135.9 passer rating. However in the 2 weeks prior he was a dismal 76.0 and 61.5 respectively. In fact he has not had two consecutive weeks with a decent passer rating in the last 7 weeks so if that pattern continues we can expect another dismal showing from him Sunday,
Who knows, man it could end up 31-30 again, that's why they play the game but the two teams are literally very different than they were when they last met and the situation and site is also completely different.
As you can see I am clearly against you. Should be a good game. I would say good luck but I would not mean it so instead I shall say hats off to you if it hits for you sir and cheers
You may some good points, appreciate your analysis. However I do disagree strongly that Oakland defense has improved at all. The last 2 games were against Denver and NYG, 2 of the worst offenses in the league, AND both against a backup QB. The last real offense they played (New England) put up 33.
Quote Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:
Amari Cooper almost certainly will not play Sunday due to a high ankle sprain and if he does he will be useless. He is doubtful right now. This actually will not hurt your over because Patterson is dangerous and had a great game last Sunday and he unlike Cooper probably won't have like 5 drops in the game.
The fact the first game was a shootout does not mean the same will happen Sunday. The Raiders have changed defensive coordinators since that game and the defense has played much better since doing so. The Raiders had 4 sacks in the 4 games previous to Norton's firing, they have had 8 in their last two games.They had 6 takeaways in their first 10 games but 3 in the last 2.
That first game was a prime time solo game and there were a lot of drives and scoring plays that were helped out by flags. Coincidence? Perhaps, but the chances that, that many flags help out that much again are slim to none.
The Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between the two in K.C and 18-7 in the last 25 meetings all together, the two generally play hard fought slugfests the last game not withstanding.
Marshawn Lynch has been slowly getting better each weekend and last weekend had his best game of the season and got 20 touches, you can expect more of the same Sunday as well as other Raiders back running the ball as well. It is part of their new approach to control the game better and not have their defense on the field as much during a game so the will try to slow the game down. Add to this the Chiefs allow a whopping 4.3 yards per carry and you can bet your old Honda that the Raiders will be trying to run the ball all day.
Under is 8-3-1 in Chiefs last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 17-7 in Chiefs last 24 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Chiefs offense exploded last weekend but in the three games previous they scored a meagre 36 total points.
Alex Smith did very well last Sunday with a 135.9 passer rating. However in the 2 weeks prior he was a dismal 76.0 and 61.5 respectively. In fact he has not had two consecutive weeks with a decent passer rating in the last 7 weeks so if that pattern continues we can expect another dismal showing from him Sunday,
Who knows, man it could end up 31-30 again, that's why they play the game but the two teams are literally very different than they were when they last met and the situation and site is also completely different.
As you can see I am clearly against you. Should be a good game. I would say good luck but I would not mean it so instead I shall say hats off to you if it hits for you sir and cheers
You may some good points, appreciate your analysis. However I do disagree strongly that Oakland defense has improved at all. The last 2 games were against Denver and NYG, 2 of the worst offenses in the league, AND both against a backup QB. The last real offense they played (New England) put up 33.
Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:
The fact the first game was a shootout does not mean the same will happen Sunday. The Raiders have changed defensive coordinators since that game and the defense has played much better since doing so. The Raiders had 4 sacks in the 4 games previous to Norton's firing, they have had 8 in their last two games.They had 6 takeaways in their first 10 games but 3 in the last 2.
You may some good points, appreciate your analysis. However I do disagree strongly that Oakland defense has improved at all. The last 2 games were against Denver and NYG, 2 of the worst offenses in the league, AND both against a backup QB. The last real offense they played (New England) put up 33.
Originally Posted by Polar_Bear:
The fact the first game was a shootout does not mean the same will happen Sunday. The Raiders have changed defensive coordinators since that game and the defense has played much better since doing so. The Raiders had 4 sacks in the 4 games previous to Norton's firing, they have had 8 in their last two games.They had 6 takeaways in their first 10 games but 3 in the last 2.
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