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Play by the system

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Posted: #1

To all friends;

I'm not expert on handicapping, I'll play by the system. All the lines I posted are based on the true value of the team from a computer model that factors in defense and offense yards as well as pts scored, pts given up, win-loss record, and strength of games played and remaining. It indicates who is actually the better teams irrespective of record. I didn't come here to build my credit or poupulatity, I just want to share my opinions and thoughts, you can tail all my picks or go against my picks. Welcome any comment and Best of Luck to All & Enjoy the games!

For my records only.

Weekly Records for Season: #1

Date: Nov. 9 - Nov.16, 08

Straight Bet & Parlay:

All Games WLT         Unit

ATS:       61-16-5    125

ALL Picks: 61-16-5

**************************

Weekly Records for Season: #2

Date: Nov.16 - Nov.23, 08

Straight Bet & Parlay:

All Games  WLT        Unit

ATS:       9-2-0        34.5

ALL Picks: 9-2-0

*********************************

Dallas Cowboys -1

Dallas Cowboys -2

*********************************

Early lead NCAAF & NFL ( Will update Final Pick )

Cleveland +6

Northern Illinois -4

Ball State -7

Georgia Tech -3.5

Buffalo +3.5

Toledo -3

San Jose State +3

 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
Eugenia; Thanks for last week and come out good. You save me on 2 games: Carolina Panthers - 14  &
Miami Dolphins -4 . If more than 4 .   Thanks Bro. . and I tailing you on Dallas, too.
 
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Posted: #3
Update final pick for Monday night :
 
Browns +5 - 32 % Win
 
Buffalo Bills -5 - 60% Win
 
Favor: Buffalo -5
 
BOL to All.
 
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by eugenia_trinh:

Update final pick for Monday night :
 
Browns +5 - 32 % Win
 
Buffalo Bills -5 - 60% Win
 
Favor: Buffalo -5
 
BOL to All.
 

Turf of Ralph Wilson Stadium: Light Snow -High: 36° -
Low: 25°. Tonight: Scattered flurries and snow showers. Low around 25F. Winds NNW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 30%.
 
Prediction for the total :
 
Cleveland Browns 17 vs Buffalo Bills 24
 
 
 
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Posted: #5
the final play is buffalo and under correct?
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by 727magic:

the final play is buffalo and under correct?

Be honest, I'm not good at Over & Under. The true value of the total is from 28 to 50. That why vegas set at 40 and they want to see how the public betting. so they can move the line either way.

 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by eugenia_trinh:

Be honest, I'm not good at Over & Under. The true value of the total is from 28 to 50. That why vegas set at 40 and they want to see how the public betting. so they can move the line either way.

Now O/U line is keep dropping from 42 --down 40. Current.

but your prediction is exactly 41. Can you move any number pls.?

 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by WinsNow999:

Now O/U line is keep dropping from 42 --down 40. Current.

but your prediction is exactly 41. Can you move any number pls.?

WinsNow999;

Number 40 total as you see right now, that base on both teams for the Offense, if the lines are way off from 40 ( 50 ) we will Pick Under, and if the line move from 42 to 40, they can go either way base on % public betting. here is some the number that vegas they can give to the public :

29 - 49

26 - 52

30 - 45

31 - 45.5

34 - 48

and here it how we see the line set at # 40

Cleveland:- Off. 19  Def. 21.6

Buffalo:-     Off. 21  Def. 21.0

based on the offense info buffalo cant cover the line by 5 pts the diffrence of buffalo only by favorite 1.5 to 2 pts. mabye cleveland may upset buffalo if too many turnovers or interceptions by the players.

 
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Posted: #9
good stuff! i like your prediction and i'm taking the bills to pay the bill. eww that was lame. best of luck!
 
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Posted: #10
over, under for this game is 40, i think is low for this 2 teams, vegas want public to pick over and another point last night dallas game more money on the over than under so public will go with over again and the game will go under, i will take buff and under for 2 single small bet  bol.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by 727magic:

over, under for this game is 40, i think is low for this 2 teams, vegas want public to pick over and another point last night dallas game more money on the over than under so public will go with over again and the game will go under, i will take buff and under for 2 single small bet  bol.

Best of luck to you

 
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Posted: #12
oh well, still up a little for this week, see you tomorrow trinh.
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by eugenia_trinh:

WinsNow999;

Number 40 total as you see right now, that base on both teams for the Offense, if the lines are way off from 40 ( 50 ) we will Pick Under, and if the line move from 42 to 40, they can go either way base on % public betting. here is some the number that vegas they can give to the public :

29 - 49

26 - 52

30 - 45

31 - 45.5

34 - 48

and here it how we see the line set at # 40

Cleveland:- Off. 19  Def. 21.6

Buffalo:-     Off. 21  Def. 21.0

 based on the offense info buffalo cant cover the line by 5 pts the diffrence of buffalo only by favorite 1.5 to 2 pts. mabye cleveland may upset buffalo if too many turnovers or interceptions by the players.

 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by 727magic:

oh well, still up a little for this week, see you tomorrow trinh.

Sorry for the game tonight, you should read my reply for

WinsNow999

 
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Posted: #15
update Final Pick NCAAF:- Tue.Nov. 18
 
Favor: Northern Illinois -4
 
BETTING TRENDS:
 
Northern Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kent State
 
Northern Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
 
Kent State is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
 
N.ILL:-   Off. 26   Def. 19
KENT:-  Off. 27   Def. 32
 
N.ILL:- favor +1 pts by the Off. of Kent
N.ILL:- favor - 7 pts by the Def. over Kent
 
Prediction for the total : N.ILL 30 vs Kent 25
 
Play at Turf of Dix Stadium:- Weather
 
  • Tonight: Snow showers early will taper to flurries later on. Low around 25F. Winds NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 40%.
    •  
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    Posted: #16

    First look at a game:- Ball St vs CMICH

    November 19, 7:00 PM | Turf of Kelly/Shorts Stadium

    BALL ST.:- Off. 38 Def. 16

    CMICH:- Off. 29 Def. 28

    Ball St.:- favor by -9 of the Off. over CMICH

    Ball St.:- favor by -12 of Def. over CMICH

    Total of Ball St. Off. & Def. favor by -21 over CMICH Off. & Def.

    My Quick Pick with out heavily analyzed matchup for both teams

    is:- Favor Ball St. -7

    Tomorrow night: Scattered flurries and snow showers. Low 28F. Winds W at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 30%.

     
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    Posted: #17
    Quote Originally Posted by eugenia_trinh:

    update Final Pick NCAAF:- Tue.Nov. 18
     
    Favor: Northern Illinois -4
     
    BETTING TRENDS:
     
    Northern Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kent State
     
    Northern Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
     
    Kent State is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
     
    N.ILL:-   Off. 26   Def. 19
    KENT:-  Off. 27   Def. 32
     
    N.ILL:- favor +1 pts by the Off. of Kent
    N.ILL:- favor - 7 pts by the Def. over Kent
     
    Prediction for the total : N.ILL 30 vs Kent 25
     
    Play at Turf of Dix Stadium:- Weather
     
  • Tonight: Snow showers early will taper to flurries later on. Low around 25F. Winds NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 40%.

    • Good Call last night .Eugenia Tran

    I settled with broke even last night. just paid juice; Dog & Under --Special teams & turn-overs killed in these games. Oh- Well let's move on to another day.

    I like your prediction here. but I like the UNDER tonight. I think the wind will be the factor on the game...20-25 MPH wind. any thought?

     
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    Posted: #18
    Hi Bro. Thanks again for last night, after I read your analyzed
     
    matchup reply to WinsNow999. I pick Clev +5 + Moneyline
     
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    Posted: #19
    November 18, for NBA
     
    Quick Pick for tonight:

    Dallas -5 & Under 187.5

    Atlanta +3 & Over 207.5

    Orlando -6 & Under 193

    Miami +2.5 & Under 192

    New York +8 & Over 204.5

    Cleveland -5.5 & Over 195

    Memphis -5.5 & Under 196.5

    Milwaukee +9.5 & Under 195

    Golden State +1.5 & Over 204.5

    L.A. Lakers -13 & Over 202

    Best of Luck to All & Enjoy the games!  

     
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    Posted: #20
    Quote Originally Posted by eugenia_trinh:

    November 18, for NBA
     
    Quick Pick for tonight:

    Dallas -5 & Under 187.5

    Atlanta +3 & Over 207.5

    Orlando -6 & Under 193  

    Miami +2.5 & Under 192

    New York +8 & Over 204.5 Pending

    Cleveland -5.5 & Over 195 Pending

    Memphis -5.5 & Under 196.5 Pending

    Milwaukee +9.5 & Under 195 Pending

    Golden State +1.5 & Over 204.5 Pending

    L.A. Lakers -13 & Over 202 Pending

    Best of Luck to All & Enjoy the games!  

    Just Update:- WLT: 6-1-1

     
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    Posted: #21
    Quote Originally Posted by eugenia_trinh:

    update Final Pick NCAAF:- Tue.Nov. 18
     
    Favor: Northern Illinois -4 
     
    BETTING TRENDS:
     
    Northern Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kent State
     
    Northern Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
     
    Kent State is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
     
    N.ILL:-   Off. 26   Def. 19
    KENT:-  Off. 27   Def. 32
     
    N.ILL:- favor +1 pts by the Off. of Kent
    N.ILL:- favor - 7 pts by the Def. over Kent
     
    Prediction for the total : N.ILL 30 vs Kent 25
     
    Play at Turf of Dix Stadium:- Weather
     
  • Tonight: Snow showers early will taper to flurries later on. Low around 25F. Winds NW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 40%.
    •  
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    Posted: #22
    Quote Originally Posted by WinsNow999:

    Good Call last night .Eugenia Tran

    I settled with broke even last night. just paid juice; Dog & Under --Special teams & turn-overs killed in these games. Oh- Well let's move on to another day.

    I like your prediction here. but I like the UNDER tonight. I think the wind will be the factor on the game...20-25 MPH wind. any thought?

    My Prediction for the total : N.ILL 30 vs Kent 25 .

    Total is 46 & My favor N.ILL - 4

     
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    Posted: #23
    Quote Originally Posted by eugenia_trinh:

    November 18, for NBA
     
    Quick Pick for tonight:

    Dallas -5 & Under 187.5  

    Atlanta +3 & Over 207.5

    Orlando -6 & Under 193  

    Miami +2.5 & Under 192  

    New York +8  & Over 204.5

    Cleveland -5.5 & Over 195

    Memphis -5.5 & Under 196.5

    Milwaukee +9.5 & Under 195

    Golden State +1.5 & Over 204.5  

    L.A. Lakers -13 & Over 202  

    Best of Luck to All & Enjoy the games!  

    Update: WLT:- 13-6-1 = 7 Win   

     
    Prospect
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    Posted: #24
    wow, lastnight I pick all games you post here: ILL -4 & 51 over , NBA 14-6-0. So, total I won 10 . Good job Bro. and Thanks
     
     
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    Posted: #25
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