I'm just playing two small plays as I really just wanna enjoy watching my hometown champs beat the Boys in the best rivalry in the NFL.
Will they cover? I dunno. Super Bowl champs week 1 you are not getting value as the line is inflated. But do you want to bet the Boys in a rivalry they suck at lately with a QB coming back rusty, who can't stop the run vs the best running team and RB, with an excellent defense?
I wouldn't. But still, rather than lay 8.5 i found this bet:
Eagles ML and Under 47.5 +125
Just a 1 unit play
The Eagles are gonna run, it's the Cowboys weakness and their strength. It's an early season game after the SB win, practically preseason because starters don't even play preseason now. So it's possible this victory could be workmanlike, the usual kinks being worked out, penalties etc. They have explosive pass catchers but still ranked last in passing. They can chew clock running and keep their better plays for bigger games. I think it will be quite vanilla and Dallas will look like they still have a lot of work to do to stop the run and that will keep their offense from doing much
KCs couldn't do much on that d and I don't care they lost a couple guys, there is little chance in my mind that the team that overwhelmed the Chiefs basically from start to finish (the only way that exists to beat them in a playoff game) loses SU to this team in transition that absolutely sucked last year.
I'm just playing two small plays as I really just wanna enjoy watching my hometown champs beat the Boys in the best rivalry in the NFL.
Will they cover? I dunno. Super Bowl champs week 1 you are not getting value as the line is inflated. But do you want to bet the Boys in a rivalry they suck at lately with a QB coming back rusty, who can't stop the run vs the best running team and RB, with an excellent defense?
I wouldn't. But still, rather than lay 8.5 i found this bet:
Eagles ML and Under 47.5 +125
Just a 1 unit play
The Eagles are gonna run, it's the Cowboys weakness and their strength. It's an early season game after the SB win, practically preseason because starters don't even play preseason now. So it's possible this victory could be workmanlike, the usual kinks being worked out, penalties etc. They have explosive pass catchers but still ranked last in passing. They can chew clock running and keep their better plays for bigger games. I think it will be quite vanilla and Dallas will look like they still have a lot of work to do to stop the run and that will keep their offense from doing much
KCs couldn't do much on that d and I don't care they lost a couple guys, there is little chance in my mind that the team that overwhelmed the Chiefs basically from start to finish (the only way that exists to beat them in a playoff game) loses SU to this team in transition that absolutely sucked last year.
My other play is a player prop which, unlike most modern (ahem, noob) bettors I tend to stay away from completely.
But I will take a pop here on Jalen Hurts longest completion over 35.5 yards -115
The Cowboys say they need to stop the run and they do. But, they traded their best pass rusher. Without having to account for Parsons, and with the Boys so focused on stopping the run (kinda have to be when Saquon is in the house anyway) that should open up plenty of opportunities for big plays in the pass game. And the Eagles have guys who are fast enough to make house calls and physical to make large yards after contact.
Id rather bet on one big play happening though, then take the over passing total because they didn't pass for a ton last year as i said in the above post.
I realize thinking there is a lot of scope for big pass plays would think that above play being tied to the Under makes no sense. Maybe it doesn't but I think i could still hit both bets and not likely to lose both and if i split i don't mind because like i said I'm really watching this one just for fun, plenty of football to go and I'm 3-0 in college so far, makes me a bit cautious when NFL starts lol.
My other play is a player prop which, unlike most modern (ahem, noob) bettors I tend to stay away from completely.
But I will take a pop here on Jalen Hurts longest completion over 35.5 yards -115
The Cowboys say they need to stop the run and they do. But, they traded their best pass rusher. Without having to account for Parsons, and with the Boys so focused on stopping the run (kinda have to be when Saquon is in the house anyway) that should open up plenty of opportunities for big plays in the pass game. And the Eagles have guys who are fast enough to make house calls and physical to make large yards after contact.
Id rather bet on one big play happening though, then take the over passing total because they didn't pass for a ton last year as i said in the above post.
I realize thinking there is a lot of scope for big pass plays would think that above play being tied to the Under makes no sense. Maybe it doesn't but I think i could still hit both bets and not likely to lose both and if i split i don't mind because like i said I'm really watching this one just for fun, plenty of football to go and I'm 3-0 in college so far, makes me a bit cautious when NFL starts lol.
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