Of course, five winners would be spectacular, but three would keep us at the 60 % number we're aiming for.
Understanding that away favorites ATS at hitting 64.3%, that is where the primary focus is going to be. Also, the model will collect statistical data for one more week, so this will again be subjective handicapping aka the eye test.
Indy - 4.
A good running game can mask an average quarterback, for a while. Tennessee presents with struggles, but it is a divisional game.
Falcons -5.5.
On paper their defense is playing quite well, and any reluctance would be offensive production. There is a play against angle here too with Carolina
Packers -7.5.
My mentor's mentor the great Bob McCune holds when lines open at -7.5 blowouts enter the spectrum of possibilities. Tough to argue against the Pack so far.
Eagles -3.5.
It will be the Eagles, until it is not. They have covered this number 2 times so far and Rams wins while impressive were against mid-range teams. Over playing the west coast team traveling east for an early game, but again it will be the Eagles until it is not.
Chargers - 2.5
They have been impressive, well coached, and Herbert looks healthy for the first time in a while. Early Broncos have a paper tiger element at times.
Cowboys -1
Away favorite that while not impressive is going to battle. Square viewpoint says Chicago may struggle to score enough points to keep up. But then again Dallas cannot seem to stop anyone.
Chiefs -6
An 0-3 start in that division could be devastating. Still a good team with an elite QB. Admittedly, when I play them, they win but do not cover so that is what gives me pause but 27-17ish game gets the job done.
So, it'll be some combination of five of those for the Super Contest and a whole lot of finger crossing. We are safely home with our one and only survivor pick, taking Buffalo last night.
Of course, five winners would be spectacular, but three would keep us at the 60 % number we're aiming for.
Understanding that away favorites ATS at hitting 64.3%, that is where the primary focus is going to be. Also, the model will collect statistical data for one more week, so this will again be subjective handicapping aka the eye test.
Indy - 4.
A good running game can mask an average quarterback, for a while. Tennessee presents with struggles, but it is a divisional game.
Falcons -5.5.
On paper their defense is playing quite well, and any reluctance would be offensive production. There is a play against angle here too with Carolina
Packers -7.5.
My mentor's mentor the great Bob McCune holds when lines open at -7.5 blowouts enter the spectrum of possibilities. Tough to argue against the Pack so far.
Eagles -3.5.
It will be the Eagles, until it is not. They have covered this number 2 times so far and Rams wins while impressive were against mid-range teams. Over playing the west coast team traveling east for an early game, but again it will be the Eagles until it is not.
Chargers - 2.5
They have been impressive, well coached, and Herbert looks healthy for the first time in a while. Early Broncos have a paper tiger element at times.
Cowboys -1
Away favorite that while not impressive is going to battle. Square viewpoint says Chicago may struggle to score enough points to keep up. But then again Dallas cannot seem to stop anyone.
Chiefs -6
An 0-3 start in that division could be devastating. Still a good team with an elite QB. Admittedly, when I play them, they win but do not cover so that is what gives me pause but 27-17ish game gets the job done.
So, it'll be some combination of five of those for the Super Contest and a whole lot of finger crossing. We are safely home with our one and only survivor pick, taking Buffalo last night.
GB, Indy, Philly, Falcons, Chiefs are the picks and we'll let them fall where they may. The Dallas one will bug me cause I really like it, just don't know. Also love LAC and will probably play this outside the contest. Shooting world qualifiers most of the weekend, so BOL on all the plays and catch up with you all Sunday for that Balt / Det banger.
@Ppkay
One of the good pieces of advice my mentor instilled is to work hard to find reasons not to play a game. In this instance Tyrod Taylor has generally earned my respect as someone not to look past. Couple this with Baker "usually" playing down to crappy opponents and storming back against good ones, I just can't do it. I would rather lose with other teams and be ok with it. That being said, you are in no way wrong and a 40-10 or 38-17 would not shock my conscience.
GB, Indy, Philly, Falcons, Chiefs are the picks and we'll let them fall where they may. The Dallas one will bug me cause I really like it, just don't know. Also love LAC and will probably play this outside the contest. Shooting world qualifiers most of the weekend, so BOL on all the plays and catch up with you all Sunday for that Balt / Det banger.
@Ppkay
One of the good pieces of advice my mentor instilled is to work hard to find reasons not to play a game. In this instance Tyrod Taylor has generally earned my respect as someone not to look past. Couple this with Baker "usually" playing down to crappy opponents and storming back against good ones, I just can't do it. I would rather lose with other teams and be ok with it. That being said, you are in no way wrong and a 40-10 or 38-17 would not shock my conscience.
Favorites win every week, you just have to pick your favorite favorite. Probably what happened is people skipped over the post explaining this cause it didn't say the NFL is scripted or lock of the millennium.
Favorites win every week, you just have to pick your favorite favorite. Probably what happened is people skipped over the post explaining this cause it didn't say the NFL is scripted or lock of the millennium.
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