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No Such Things As Locks But This Play MONDAY NIGHT Comes Real Close To Being One Babyyyyy!

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Posted: #1
THE
GREEN BAY PACKERS
SHALL
DOMINATE
TONIGHT

 
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Posted: #2
 
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Posted: #3
Is this one a closer lock that isn't a lock than the MINNY ML yesterday?

you did come close to that one though...

horseshoes and hand grenades
 
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Posted: #4
Now i am on Bears +11 ... thanks bro
 
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Posted: #5
vikings covered easily-  jets won outright--browns won outright--colts won.    
 
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Posted: #6
The line moves and sentiment tonight coincide with all the moves in those three games u listed....however pointing to bears the way they pointed to the jets, browns and colts..One big difference now though is that it is evening out and Books exposure doesnt even come close..this is a vig collector for books not lookin to make big money because they can't lose on spread..If the probability of this game was high for them to make money and they knew it they would post the spread it would prob be GB -7 they know everyone and their mother would pound packers...Total is a different story..
 
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Quote Originally Posted by LoveMeSomeMe:

The line moves and sentiment tonight coincide with all the moves in those three games u listed....however pointing to bears the way they pointed to the jets, browns and colts..One big difference now though is that it is evening out and Books exposure doesnt even come close..this is a vig collector for books not lookin to make big money because they can't lose on spread..If the probability of this game was high for them to make money and they knew it they would post the spread it would prob be GB -7 they know everyone and their mother would pound packers...Total is a different story..


Not really.  Jets and Browns were home dogs..  colts were road favorites.
I also had Vikings.  I had them on money line and + pts. look closely at that sentiment and line and compare it to tonight.  It looks the same right?  But its not...look more closely and let me know the difference u see bro.
 
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Posted: #8
You are right. GB will destroy the Bears.
 
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Posted: #9
It will go over too
 
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Posted: #10
 
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Posted: #11
GEE,

I hope every single better here on covers follows you so you can claim your right to the BEST CAPPER IN COVERS!

That's what you must want with HEADLINES like you use. 

Must suck to have not gotten any attention while you were growing up....and continues now in your adulthood. 


 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by Cooler999:

GEE,

I hope every single better here on covers follows you so you can claim your right to the BEST CAPPER IN COVERS!

That's what you must want with HEADLINES like you use. 

Must suck to have not gotten any attention while you were growing up....and continues now in your adulthood. 





What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #13
Yada Yada Yada----  It is a Sports Wagering Forum--it is for people to come here and have some fun.    Lighten up- stop wagering if all your losers are getting you so down you cant have fun!
 
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Posted: #14

Quote Originally Posted by AlphaandOmega:



Not really.  Jets and Browns were home dogs..  colts were road favorites.
I also had Vikings.  I had them on money line and + pts. look closely at that sentiment and line and compare it to tonight.  It looks the same right?  But its not...look more closely and let me know the difference u see bro.

Road and home throw out the window...Im talking about the movements... there is not enough disparity in this one like the others and not as big of moves...about 78% of public on Balt yesterday, by kickoff more and the line opened at Balt minus 3 and dropped to Balt minus 1.... 83% of public on Saints line opened at minus 6.5...went to 6 not a big move but should have been sharp up if Saints was right play...on flip side 73% of public on Colts opened at +1...by kickoff went to Colts minus 1 line moved and flopped in right direction Colts play...Vikings was close to 80% on Dallas opened -9.5...no line movement should have went up

 
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The way I see right now with all action at the 10 - 11...its split no exposure...if it crosses the key 10 down to 9.5 or 9 with more action on GB than bears play right now no go...even teasers can go either way wit the 10..Get bears at plus 16 or GB minus 4 perfect split for books....could be a field goal game could be a 17 point game..if the line moves it will tell if there is value...
 
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Posted: #16

Total is more telling, cuz even with teaser people most likely will plug the total in...now you got people pounding the over at 45 and this game could easily be a 24-21 or 24-20 game....and if it is 24-21 push in a teaser is a loss in their favor..

 
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Posted: #17
This bodes well for my bears pick haha
 
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Posted: #18
[Quote: Originally Posted by LoveMeSomeMe]

Road and home throw out the window...Im talking about the movements... there is not enough disparity in this one like the others and not as big of moves...about 78% of public on Balt yesterday, by kickoff more and the line opened at Balt minus 3 and dropped to Balt minus 1.... 83% of public on Saints line opened at minus 6.5...went to 6 not a big move but should have been sharp up if Saints was right play...on flip side 73% of public on Colts opened at +1...by kickoff went to Colts minus 1 line moved and flopped in right direction Colts play...Vikings was close to 80% on Dallas opened -9.5...no line movement should have went up

Question?  Where can you find the "public" percentages?  I see a lot of people on the forum talk about this and I don't know where to get that information. 

 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Macotosdaghost:

Quote Originally Posted by LoveMeSomeMe:

Question?  Where can you find the "public" percentages?  I see a lot of people on the forum talk about this and I don't know where to get that information. 


 
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Posted: #20
First half line...7 and 26.5...game line stay steady at 10 and 51 very interesting
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by LoveMeSomeMe:

First half line...7 and 26.5...game line stay steady at 10 and 51 very interesting

To me this means GB gets to a big lead early and burs the clock in the 2nd half i like the under 51 FULL GAME what u think @lovemesome
Get your Chickens Right
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by LoveMeSomeMe:

The way I see right now with all action at the 10 - 11...its split no exposure...if it crosses the key 10 down to 9.5 or 9 with more action on GB than bears play right now no go...even teasers can go either way wit the 10..Get bears at plus 16 or GB minus 4 perfect split for books....could be a field goal game could be a 17 point game..if the line moves it will tell if there is value...


I disagree-  i think if this game moves down to 9.5 or 9- (which i doubt it will but nevertheless it can),  i would be on bears.   But i don't see it happening.   
You do make a solid point however-  Most folk got Packers -1 in their 10 pt teasers.  But everyone's teasers took a bath on Saints and Seattle.  

 
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Posted: #23
mine is already at -9.5... The money has gone from 60/40 around 3pm to 67/33 last I checked, but the spread has moved down .5-1... I'm not sure what to make of this as I would think the books would be raising it to even some money.
 
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Posted: #24
GL
 
 
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Posted: #25
Thats what i said alpha if it drops bears the play
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