Ravens -7' DOLPHINS - The Ravens get Lamar Jackson back, but will he be rusty after a month long layoff? This is the healthiest their offense has been in a while, but I'm still not sold on their defense. The Dolphins are coming off their best effort of the season, a 34-10 blasting of the Falcons. Tua Tagovailoa threw four TD passes and the 'Fins defense stuffed Bijan Robinson. Can they carry that effort forward to this week?
Ravens -7' DOLPHINS - The Ravens get Lamar Jackson back, but will he be rusty after a month long layoff? This is the healthiest their offense has been in a while, but I'm still not sold on their defense. The Dolphins are coming off their best effort of the season, a 34-10 blasting of the Falcons. Tua Tagovailoa threw four TD passes and the 'Fins defense stuffed Bijan Robinson. Can they carry that effort forward to this week?
The 7.5 is too much for me to lay but I cant side with the Dolphins. Nice that they played better, but that was vs the same Atlanta team that lost 30-0 at Carolina. Im betting that game had more to do with Atlanta being jekyll and hyde than Miami being vastly improved. Gun to my head its Baltimore, im playing them in a teaser with Denver and I layed the 7.5 in my pickem league.
The 7.5 is too much for me to lay but I cant side with the Dolphins. Nice that they played better, but that was vs the same Atlanta team that lost 30-0 at Carolina. Im betting that game had more to do with Atlanta being jekyll and hyde than Miami being vastly improved. Gun to my head its Baltimore, im playing them in a teaser with Denver and I layed the 7.5 in my pickem league.
Here's the rest of the NFL slate. Home teams in CAPS
Sunday, Nov. 2nd - early games
Bears -2 BENGALS - The Bears lead the NFL in interceptions and turnover margin, which isn't good news for the Bengals with QB Joe Flacco playing with an injured shoulder and backup Jake Browning an interception waiting to happen.
LIONS -8' Vikings - QB J.J. McCarthy is back for the Vikings. Carson Wentz is out for the season, and while he wasn't great, he's put up better numbers than McCarthy has. Pass protection is an issue (28 sacks allowed) which is something the Lions can exploit. The Vikes surrendered 207 yards rushing to the Chargers last Thursday, which is also something they'll have to clean up facing RBs Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. Since Dan Campbell has been the head man in Detroit the Lions have owned this series winning and covering five straight. And so far, at home this season they're outscoring opponents 110-40. I normally avoid large favorites in the NFL, but I don't see this game being that close.
PACKERS -13 Panthers - QB Bryce Young is back for Carolina, but if the Packers bring their "A" game it won't matter. That could be a big if, with the Pack off an emotional win over the Aaron Rodgers-led Steelers, and with a playoff revenge showdown with Philadelphia on deck.
TEXANS -1' Broncos - All world CB Pat Surtain is out for the Broncos, which is a huge loss for their defense. On the plus side, they have the NFL's best pass rush (36 sacks), and while the Texans didn't allow a sack last week, they still rank near the bottom of the NFL in pass protection. Houston is winning with defense. They've allowed the fewest points and yards in the NFL.
Here's the rest of the NFL slate. Home teams in CAPS
Sunday, Nov. 2nd - early games
Bears -2 BENGALS - The Bears lead the NFL in interceptions and turnover margin, which isn't good news for the Bengals with QB Joe Flacco playing with an injured shoulder and backup Jake Browning an interception waiting to happen.
LIONS -8' Vikings - QB J.J. McCarthy is back for the Vikings. Carson Wentz is out for the season, and while he wasn't great, he's put up better numbers than McCarthy has. Pass protection is an issue (28 sacks allowed) which is something the Lions can exploit. The Vikes surrendered 207 yards rushing to the Chargers last Thursday, which is also something they'll have to clean up facing RBs Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. Since Dan Campbell has been the head man in Detroit the Lions have owned this series winning and covering five straight. And so far, at home this season they're outscoring opponents 110-40. I normally avoid large favorites in the NFL, but I don't see this game being that close.
PACKERS -13 Panthers - QB Bryce Young is back for Carolina, but if the Packers bring their "A" game it won't matter. That could be a big if, with the Pack off an emotional win over the Aaron Rodgers-led Steelers, and with a playoff revenge showdown with Philadelphia on deck.
TEXANS -1' Broncos - All world CB Pat Surtain is out for the Broncos, which is a huge loss for their defense. On the plus side, they have the NFL's best pass rush (36 sacks), and while the Texans didn't allow a sack last week, they still rank near the bottom of the NFL in pass protection. Houston is winning with defense. They've allowed the fewest points and yards in the NFL.
PATRIOTS -4' Falcons - Even after that embarrassing performance against the Dolphins last week, the Falcons are only allowing 149.1 yards a game through the air, which is tops in the NFL. Atlanta blitzes a lot, and the Pats have allowed Drake Maye to be sacked 28 times. Also, starting RB Rhamondre Stevenson is out for this game, and he's been valuable to New England in pass protection. With QB Michael Penix and WR Drake London returning to the lineup for Atlanta, the Patriots COULD have their hands full here.
49ers -2' GIANTS - Hard game to handicap with all the injuries on both sides. But Christian McCaffrey should be able to run for a few on the Giants 30th ranked run defense.
Colts -3' STEELERS - These two teams seems to be headed in opposite directions. The Colts have the league's best record at 7-1 and have won four straight games, scoring 147 points in the process. But two of those wins came against the hapless Raiders and Titans, and the other two came against teams battling numerous injuries. Indy's defense is showing some cracks, allowing 345 yards a game, and they rank 30th in third down stops. The Steelers have lost two straight and are 1-6 ITS (in the stats) this season. They rank 30th in the NFL in defense and are last against the pass, AND were outscored 21-6 in the fourth quarter of last week's 35-25 loss to the Packers. But, Aaron Rodgers has played well for Pittsburgh, and at the very least is a threat for a back door cover. I have a feeling it won't come to that. The Colts are a prime regression candidate and are due for a setback. Got a feeling the Steelers rise up here.
Chargers -9' TITANS - The Bolts are off a blowout win over the Vikings last Thursday, and have had a few extra days to get healthy. RB Kimani Vidal has been a pleasant surprise with their top two backs injured. The Titans are a hot mess with a depleted secondary. Justin Herbert could feast, but I have no interest in laying this many on the road.
PATRIOTS -4' Falcons - Even after that embarrassing performance against the Dolphins last week, the Falcons are only allowing 149.1 yards a game through the air, which is tops in the NFL. Atlanta blitzes a lot, and the Pats have allowed Drake Maye to be sacked 28 times. Also, starting RB Rhamondre Stevenson is out for this game, and he's been valuable to New England in pass protection. With QB Michael Penix and WR Drake London returning to the lineup for Atlanta, the Patriots COULD have their hands full here.
49ers -2' GIANTS - Hard game to handicap with all the injuries on both sides. But Christian McCaffrey should be able to run for a few on the Giants 30th ranked run defense.
Colts -3' STEELERS - These two teams seems to be headed in opposite directions. The Colts have the league's best record at 7-1 and have won four straight games, scoring 147 points in the process. But two of those wins came against the hapless Raiders and Titans, and the other two came against teams battling numerous injuries. Indy's defense is showing some cracks, allowing 345 yards a game, and they rank 30th in third down stops. The Steelers have lost two straight and are 1-6 ITS (in the stats) this season. They rank 30th in the NFL in defense and are last against the pass, AND were outscored 21-6 in the fourth quarter of last week's 35-25 loss to the Packers. But, Aaron Rodgers has played well for Pittsburgh, and at the very least is a threat for a back door cover. I have a feeling it won't come to that. The Colts are a prime regression candidate and are due for a setback. Got a feeling the Steelers rise up here.
Chargers -9' TITANS - The Bolts are off a blowout win over the Vikings last Thursday, and have had a few extra days to get healthy. RB Kimani Vidal has been a pleasant surprise with their top two backs injured. The Titans are a hot mess with a depleted secondary. Justin Herbert could feast, but I have no interest in laying this many on the road.
Jaguars -2' RAIDERS - Both teams had last week off, but come into this game with different vibes. The Jags saw Travis Hunter, their most dynamic player, go down with a knee injury in practice this week, just as he was promoted to WR 1. He'll be missed on defense as well. The Raiders come into this game as healthy as they've been all season, which may not matter if Geno Smith keeps completing passes to the other team.
RAMS -14 Saints - Rookie QB Tyler Shough gets his first start for the Saints. Waiting for him is a Rams defense that's posted 11 QB sacks in its' last two games. Too many points for me to lay, but the Rams are my eliminator pick this week.
Chiefs -2 BILLS - The Chiefs are in a groove right now with impressive wins in their last three games by a combined score of 89-24. They're clicking on all cylinders but will miss RB Isiah Pacheco and T Josh Simmons for this game. The Bills have injury concerns on defense, but look like they've also got their groove back following their bye week, with a dominant rout of Carolina last week. James Cook rushed for 216 yards and the Bills defense came up with seven sacks and three takeaways. The book on this matchup sez take the Bills in the regular season and the Chiefs in the playoffs. This ain't the playoffs and the Bills are at home. AND they're an underdog. It's Buffalo or nobody for me.
Seahawks -3 REDSKINS - This line looks spot on. Under Mike MacDonald, Seattle is 10-1 SU on the road. The 'Skins get Jayden Daniels back, but he won't have a lot of weapons to work with. The Seahawks have allowed 20 or fewer points in six of their seven games.
Jaguars -2' RAIDERS - Both teams had last week off, but come into this game with different vibes. The Jags saw Travis Hunter, their most dynamic player, go down with a knee injury in practice this week, just as he was promoted to WR 1. He'll be missed on defense as well. The Raiders come into this game as healthy as they've been all season, which may not matter if Geno Smith keeps completing passes to the other team.
RAMS -14 Saints - Rookie QB Tyler Shough gets his first start for the Saints. Waiting for him is a Rams defense that's posted 11 QB sacks in its' last two games. Too many points for me to lay, but the Rams are my eliminator pick this week.
Chiefs -2 BILLS - The Chiefs are in a groove right now with impressive wins in their last three games by a combined score of 89-24. They're clicking on all cylinders but will miss RB Isiah Pacheco and T Josh Simmons for this game. The Bills have injury concerns on defense, but look like they've also got their groove back following their bye week, with a dominant rout of Carolina last week. James Cook rushed for 216 yards and the Bills defense came up with seven sacks and three takeaways. The book on this matchup sez take the Bills in the regular season and the Chiefs in the playoffs. This ain't the playoffs and the Bills are at home. AND they're an underdog. It's Buffalo or nobody for me.
Seahawks -3 REDSKINS - This line looks spot on. Under Mike MacDonald, Seattle is 10-1 SU on the road. The 'Skins get Jayden Daniels back, but he won't have a lot of weapons to work with. The Seahawks have allowed 20 or fewer points in six of their seven games.
COWBOYS -3' Cardinals - I'll make this short and sweet. Cards backup QB Jacoby Brissett is putting up better numbers than starter Kyler .Murray. I think Murray has reached his ceiling. Arizona has lost five straight games by a grand total of 13 points and are off a bye The Cowboys are an all hit no field type of team. Defensively they're giving up 404.6 yards a game, including 273 through the air. Opposing QBs have compiled a 112 passer rating. Their secondary is banged up and could use a case of "burn" ointment. Definitely leaning Arizona here at this number. Waiting to see where the line settles.
COWBOYS -3' Cardinals - I'll make this short and sweet. Cards backup QB Jacoby Brissett is putting up better numbers than starter Kyler .Murray. I think Murray has reached his ceiling. Arizona has lost five straight games by a grand total of 13 points and are off a bye The Cowboys are an all hit no field type of team. Defensively they're giving up 404.6 yards a game, including 273 through the air. Opposing QBs have compiled a 112 passer rating. Their secondary is banged up and could use a case of "burn" ointment. Definitely leaning Arizona here at this number. Waiting to see where the line settles.
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