MNF
Bills -3.5 (-113) Caesar’s
Falcons haven’t seen anything like this machine. If the Bills had won last week this line would be sitting at 6. If nothing else, I feel like I’m getting at least 2.5 points of value here with who I think is the best QB in the league. A lot of people will want the sharp side tonight and that’s fine. I will be square. Everyone knows how bad the bills run D is, including the bills. Oliver should be back tonight so that should help at least a little bit in the middle. Pennix isn’t really a threat on his feet, so I feel like the Bills key the run and make him try to beat them down field. The inability to strike quick against a team like the Bills almost forces you into playing a perfect game, running the ball and controlling the clock, picking up lots of third and shorts, not turning the ball over, etc. That style can be hard to sustain and I’m willing to bet the Falcons can’t do it.
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