NFL Week 2 Props n Plays

Had a great week 1 going 8-4 posted with both TD props cashing (+275 keenan allen and +230 rome odunze), almost 9-3 no thanks to the bad news bears. 

Will look to keep the train rolling. Last week I had more sides played than usual (4 including NYJ, JAX, SEA, and CHI) and as of right now its looking like I may have none. The one I am strongly eyeing is NYJ again, but seeing if that moves to +7. Every other game is too close to my numbers to justify a play, but I did identify one total Ive bet already. Looking forward to props being posted for the sunday slate. 

So far just 2 bets:

SEA/PIT u40.5 (I did bet this at open and I see its down to 40 now. I had this game at 38.5)

Romeo Doubs TD +230

@Yanasaur

 Great week my friend 

@Bixby17

 Yes sir 

Now the tough part begins now that the books have seen what we identified before data was available and adjust their numbers. 

If I could do week 1 again I would just make all the plays I liked. I purposely limited myself bc there was too much I liked and I worried it was just excitement. But I went 12-4 in my spread pickem league and won this week. 

@Yanasaur

 Agreed, now the dust has settled on what players will be used and used when and where so the adjustments will be made. There’s hopefully a few that fall through the cracks 

Also looking at Cleveland, I believe it will be a play but waiting to see if we can get +12

Added:

LAC/LV u47 (division game, expect totally different game plan from LAC in this game where they should be able to run a lot against LV, and LV will not have the same passing success they had against NE)

Tyreek Hill o60.5 rec yds (just too low for this guy, I expected it to still be in the upper 70s and I expect a bounce back for the Miami offense)

SEA +3 -115 (I like their defense, expect a low scoring game since I'm on under 40.5 also, will take the fg. PIT under Tomlin traditionally does not perform well as a favorite and PIT will be the popular side after the offensive explosion week 1)

CLE +12 (big number in division, was waiting for the 12, CLE couldve and shouldve won week 1, expect BAL to be flat after giving it everything and choking week 1. Expecting low scoring 24-17 type ugly game)

HOU -2.5 (TB did not look good and should've lost, HOU very good defense, expect the offense to look much better this week vs TB secondary)

Breece Hall o54.5 rush yds (Bills defense is bend but dont break, they have no problem giving up a bunch of rush yds between the 20s and the Jets are gonna run A LOT. I thought this number would be in the 70s quite honestly)

David Njoku TD +375 (good number for him. Browns running a lot of 2 TE and BAL gave up TE score to the Bills)

Jahan Dotson o10.5 rec yds (LAC got a lot of receivers involved against KC w great success. Dotson more involved in Eagle offense in week 1, just a low total we can hit w 1 catch)

Added:

Cedric Tillman o37.5 rec yds

@Yanasaur

BOL 

@Buffalobob89074

GL  on your plays @Yanasaur

@nmgolf57

 Yes I am taking a chance on Houston here for a big bounce back. Out of all my plays this is the one I am least confident in, but I am going to roll with it and hopefully Houston can bounce back. 

There is one more player receiving yds prop I am waiting to be posted. 

NE/MIA o43 is catching my eye but I already have the Tyreek rec prop pending Miami offense bouncing back so I will refrain from making that a play but I do like it. 

I won week 1 of my 30 man spread pickem league going 11-5 so just for the heck of it I will post my plays for that and hopefully win this week too.

WAS +3.5

CLE +11.5

CIN -3.5

NYG +6.5

CHI +5.5

MIA -1.5

SF -4.5

NYJ +6.5

SEA +2.5

LAR -5.5

ARI -6.5

DEN -2.5

KC +1.5

ATL +4.5

HOU -2.5

LAC -3.5

@undermysac

Added:

Stefon Diggs TD +230

Still waiting on a receiving number for a certain player to get posted

Added:

Luther Burden TD +1000 (He has a chance to break away for a bomb TD here as long as Caleb doesnt overthrow him. They tried it against the Vikes and it was overthrown)

For anybody following just know these TD props are not full units. They are mostly proportional to the odds unless I am extremely confident on one I will sometimes go bigger, like last night I went 1/3 unit instead of 1/4 on Doubs. So for example a +250 TD is a quarter unit, +1000 is a tenth unit. 

Added:

Travis Etienne o2.5 receptions -105 (rolling w this one for second week in a row. We know Liam Coen loves to throw to the RBs and Etienne is the pass catching back. Cleveland had a ton of success again Cincy last week throwing to RB Sampson who had a massive 8 for 64)

Thanks for sharing prop plays

Added: 

Will probably be the last one on the card, this is the one I was still waiting for.

Juju of the Long Beach CA Smith-Shusters o32.5 rec yds

@Ppkay

 Absolutely, hopefully making you some cash

GL Yana 

Yep I agree with the Browns pick. Past history would suggest this as well with Ravens coming out flat after a prime time loss. 

@Digitalkarma

 Yes sir. I dont really rank any plays normally on here but this is one of the bigger ones at 1.5u and I'm avoiding Ravens for survivor this week too. I could see Cleveland somehow winning an ugly game w some kind of special teams flukey play and knock out 70% of the survivor pool.