Adding Greenbay Packers ML -130 2units
Jordan Love plays well against man coverage single high coverage which is what Denver plays.. Greenbay is the better overall balanced team..
I have been saying this for a while Greenbay is a good team they have just been banged up throughout the season..now they have there offensive players back and the defense has been playing fast..
Bo nix struggles against zone defense 22nd epa 35th.. bottom 5..this is a juicy matchup for Greenbay perfect spot to fade broncos on a 10-game win streak sell high spot in my opinion..to me the 10game win streak Denver being @home @ +2.5 is the lines makers baiting Denver action.. ask yourself why is Denver a dog at home sitting at 11-2 just seems obvious to me.. Greenbay is trending up..
Buffalo Bills ML -115 2 units
Same scenario as Denver.. New England is a dog at home sitting at 11-2 banged up as a short dog
New Englands schedule has been very good to them
Raiders 2-11
Dolphins 6-7
Steelers 7-6
Panthers 7-6
Saints 3-10
Titans 2-11
Browns 3-10
Atlanta 5-9
Buccaneers 7-7
Jets 3-10
Bengals 4-9
Giants 2-11
51-107
Last time these teams played the score was 20-23 with Bills having 3 turnovers
2 fumbles 1 INT
Doubt they have 3 turnovers again
@undermysac
The Vrabel stat doesn’t bother me with this young NE team I feel like the late bye with momentum is normally not good especially when the team is rolling.. the last time these teams met Buffalo should have could have won the game fairly easy.. New England is definitely at the peak of its value wouldn’t you agree?
they have some offensive line issues they have also not been the same as far as stopping the run game I think Josh Allen and Cook can dominate this game against NE redzone defense I also feel like Maye along with NE as a team are due for regression..
what offense have the played with the same tier QB? They played every team on there schedule during the down trend.. just feel like Buffalo is on an up trend..its a bet on Josh Allen and what I saw last game versus NE if I’m being honest..
Good Luck this week undermysac
@ChOmP
I've been looking into this game, and listening to arguments from both sides. It's hard to disagree with anything I've heard really.
Tough pick for me, I probably won't play it.
If I had to play devil's advocate and try to turn your pick, my main argument would be all about Drake Maye. This young kid is an absolute killer playing at the QB position. I've watched just about all his games but 1 this year. I can't under state at how well he does everything that anyone would want a NFL qb to do.
The things that stand out most...he has the #1 comp % vs zone defense. He has the #2 comp % vs man coverage. He has the #2 comp % from a clean pocket, and the #3 comp % while pressured. How do you defend that? Blitzing him barely works, as he's the 10th best qb vs the blitz this year.
And it's not like his WR's and TE's are all world making his job easy. They barely get any YAC per reception, averaging 4.9. That's 32nd in the league. They don't get much separation, averaging 1.90 per pass, 28th in the league.
Imo, it's all Drake Maye who's throwing excellent passes every game, vs any kind of coverage. It also doesn't hurt having Josh McDaniels as the OC. If that dude taught Tom Brady, he's teaching Maye now.
With that being said, you have Josh Allen on your side. And I can't say that's a bad thing at all. Allen is the man, he never quits whether it's passing or running. His explosive plays rate are best in the league.
Cash your bets this weekend 
@undermysac
You are one of the handful of people I look for as far as opinions because it’s facts based not solely opinion I always appreciate the devils advocate role because it helps me see things that perhaps I missed or am looking over.. all valid points! I view stats according to schedule even with defensive stats and look for spots..I really believe this is a bills spot..It is definitely scary pulling the trigger on some of these wagers but I feel it in my gut lol when I’m right it’s awesome and when I’m wrong I look back and remember what was said and where my mistake was and I try my hardest to not doing it again learning off mistakes..
-mistake I made Monday night playing Eagles while having offensive line issues defensive line issues my main thing I have said for years and it is my rule of thumb
“it all starts in the trenches”.. and Eagles without key players in the trenches on both sides of the ball are even worse without them..and I didn’t listen to myself lol
I appreciate you
with that being said..this is a playoff game for the Bills.. patriots can afford to lose literally every game going forward not saying that’s there mindset bills will take this game seriously..
Good Luck with all of your plays this week
if you think this week is tough wait till next week there are some tough matchups..
You forgot the Bills on the Patriots winning circuit schedule. This season there are few elite teams and they aren’t playing into any idealistic predictions. If you’re chasing Pats takedown then, it’s best to punt to a spread that is better suited to win. Pats short dogs at home….if you’re playing this you either have house money or you’re gambling to avenge another loss
@ChOmP
Good luck we are opposite on this one. Agreed re: Marriotta just not sure about his surrounding cast w/out Ertz and Debow banged up. They still have weapons. However, home field advantage for Giants, meaning cold weather and snow. Should be a good game. Put most of mine on the ML so maybe we can both win
Was looking close at that Saints game. Their defense at home is a diff animal as are the teams that come to the super dome. I like this spot for Saints just now sure about full game may go Saints 1H
Also looking at Rams. Detroit so unpredictable, especially on the road. Feels like every week Rams get tested as favorites and seem to come through. I will give Detroit 6 points, even if that means Stafford has to take them down field for game winning drive for the cover….or they win by 2 Td’s that’s their Mo
I have to correct this, as I typed this after listening to a podcast early in the week. He's only 5-1, coached 6 years in Tennessee.
This doesn't mean anything, it's just I don't like posting inaccurate info.
The Sunday afternoon slate is going to be great football!!
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