Going to keep plugging away. I had bought the half point on the total on MNF but kept it as anther half point loss, lots of them on the big plays. If you take away the 2 unit losses (which you can't really do b/c they are losses) my record is actually 13-8-1. I'm just picking the wrong games to go heavier on. So my apologies for that though I have been trying to limit the spots.
Anyways, on to today...
UNDER 41.5 (NE/TEN: I see a LOT of love for the Titans today but they are really some sort of miserable. Don't forget, they have also let go of their coach and have an awful kicker. Add to that hefty winds and a NE QB who has really learned how to control a game and you see they the Patriots are so good. Oh, and their coach, Mike Vrabel, returns to Tennessee in what should be a revenge game. For me, what sealed it, was the line dropping and the winds picking up. I don't see how either team really airs it out today and the far better skill players are on the side of NE. I personally can see the Patiots smashing Tennessee who are also going to play without Ridley. Oh, and the trends show that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee.
PHILADELPHIA ML (-130)...BIG PLAY!!!: I'm expecting people to gang up against the Eagles but I do not think that's the proper side today. I really love the Vikings, especially at home, just like the coaching and way they play football. But the Eagles are in clear need of a win and they have OWNED the Vikings in the series. Carson Wentz will also have motivation to face one of his old teams though this is far from the first time he will be squaring off against them. I think this game is a bit higher scoring than some of the others with no weather to have to negate and I just believe the Eagles go back to establishing the run with Barkley and getting a much needed road W.
NEW ORLEANS (+4): One has to ask themselves why this line is so low given the different directions by each team. One reason I think is bc the Saints seem to have found some offense though their road form this year has been anything but worthy of accolades. I'm not too sure they can get the win but they have actually won the past 8 games played between these two teams, which is compelling enough, even though I know the rosters are completely different, to ride the Saints in a game that will have loads of wind but I also think a bit more scoring.
That's all for the morning slate. Hoping that maybe limiting the big plays will help though I do seriously like the Eagles. But, I haven't been awesome, so do your own research and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
Going to keep plugging away. I had bought the half point on the total on MNF but kept it as anther half point loss, lots of them on the big plays. If you take away the 2 unit losses (which you can't really do b/c they are losses) my record is actually 13-8-1. I'm just picking the wrong games to go heavier on. So my apologies for that though I have been trying to limit the spots.
Anyways, on to today...
UNDER 41.5 (NE/TEN: I see a LOT of love for the Titans today but they are really some sort of miserable. Don't forget, they have also let go of their coach and have an awful kicker. Add to that hefty winds and a NE QB who has really learned how to control a game and you see they the Patriots are so good. Oh, and their coach, Mike Vrabel, returns to Tennessee in what should be a revenge game. For me, what sealed it, was the line dropping and the winds picking up. I don't see how either team really airs it out today and the far better skill players are on the side of NE. I personally can see the Patiots smashing Tennessee who are also going to play without Ridley. Oh, and the trends show that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee.
PHILADELPHIA ML (-130)...BIG PLAY!!!: I'm expecting people to gang up against the Eagles but I do not think that's the proper side today. I really love the Vikings, especially at home, just like the coaching and way they play football. But the Eagles are in clear need of a win and they have OWNED the Vikings in the series. Carson Wentz will also have motivation to face one of his old teams though this is far from the first time he will be squaring off against them. I think this game is a bit higher scoring than some of the others with no weather to have to negate and I just believe the Eagles go back to establishing the run with Barkley and getting a much needed road W.
NEW ORLEANS (+4): One has to ask themselves why this line is so low given the different directions by each team. One reason I think is bc the Saints seem to have found some offense though their road form this year has been anything but worthy of accolades. I'm not too sure they can get the win but they have actually won the past 8 games played between these two teams, which is compelling enough, even though I know the rosters are completely different, to ride the Saints in a game that will have loads of wind but I also think a bit more scoring.
That's all for the morning slate. Hoping that maybe limiting the big plays will help though I do seriously like the Eagles. But, I haven't been awesome, so do your own research and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
At the. Game very windy here in Tennessee agree on the under ??. Good luck LA
thanks for the update just feel this is the correct side to play in this game. hard to see the Titans lighting up the scoreboard and the Pats are good vs. TE's which has been Ward's safety valve to move the ball.
At the. Game very windy here in Tennessee agree on the under ??. Good luck LA
thanks for the update just feel this is the correct side to play in this game. hard to see the Titans lighting up the scoreboard and the Pats are good vs. TE's which has been Ward's safety valve to move the ball.
OVER 20.5 FH (CAR/NYJ)...BIG PLAY!!!: Been very good in the FH games this year and going to back this. Both of these squads will be playing with noting to lose and everything to win, as they should be. I think Dowdle was NOT a one hit wonder and should be able to help Young move the ball. The jets secondary will also have their hands full as good as I think they are, or could be. Justin Fields will use his legs as always but the Panthers haven't been great against mobile QB's. No Garrett Wilson doesn't really create any second guessing as it's really all been if the Jets can move the ball with Fields under center, and he knows he has a big chance today. Perhaps the scoring will slow down in the second half but the way I am sensing it will go, they should be able to get over this number.
Will be back later to assess the other games. Really liking the Chargers at home and I think the Cardinals game will go under as Murray will have a hard time shaking off Parsons and the AZ running game wont' be taking anyone by surprise.
OVER 20.5 FH (CAR/NYJ)...BIG PLAY!!!: Been very good in the FH games this year and going to back this. Both of these squads will be playing with noting to lose and everything to win, as they should be. I think Dowdle was NOT a one hit wonder and should be able to help Young move the ball. The jets secondary will also have their hands full as good as I think they are, or could be. Justin Fields will use his legs as always but the Panthers haven't been great against mobile QB's. No Garrett Wilson doesn't really create any second guessing as it's really all been if the Jets can move the ball with Fields under center, and he knows he has a big chance today. Perhaps the scoring will slow down in the second half but the way I am sensing it will go, they should be able to get over this number.
Will be back later to assess the other games. Really liking the Chargers at home and I think the Cardinals game will go under as Murray will have a hard time shaking off Parsons and the AZ running game wont' be taking anyone by surprise.
great analysis on titans game, was leaning titans +6.5 but see way too much fake sharp love for them. I dug into the numbers a bit more and both pats and titans are pretty good against the run, just bad against the pass. 20mph winds with 30mph gusts from 1-4pm. took 1H under 20.5
great analysis on titans game, was leaning titans +6.5 but see way too much fake sharp love for them. I dug into the numbers a bit more and both pats and titans are pretty good against the run, just bad against the pass. 20mph winds with 30mph gusts from 1-4pm. took 1H under 20.5
Your record suxs and who ever follow you is losing a ton this season. Why bother posting losers for people to follow? As I recall, you were constantly critical of BC under mlb strategy and the dude actually have a winning record thru a very long MLB season. Stop it with these NFL post, not contributing diddly to the forum.
Your record suxs and who ever follow you is losing a ton this season. Why bother posting losers for people to follow? As I recall, you were constantly critical of BC under mlb strategy and the dude actually have a winning record thru a very long MLB season. Stop it with these NFL post, not contributing diddly to the forum.
You're a tool. I've been quite great at NFL for many years and my record this year sucks except when you pull out the 2 unit plays, it's actually pretty good. How long you been around for? Not to mention, you know ZERO about me and I have made a living playing games so create the beliefs that you want in that cloudy brain of yours.
Critical of BC ...he's actually a friend of mine and has been for years obviously you don't visit the threads much to know this you just troll. Try posting your own plays and then come comment in peoples threads. That's what BC does when he actually comes into my threads and has even stated that much in his OWN thread.
Follow who you want, just don't come back in here when the season ends with another winning record. Best of luck to you in life.
You're a tool. I've been quite great at NFL for many years and my record this year sucks except when you pull out the 2 unit plays, it's actually pretty good. How long you been around for? Not to mention, you know ZERO about me and I have made a living playing games so create the beliefs that you want in that cloudy brain of yours.
Critical of BC ...he's actually a friend of mine and has been for years obviously you don't visit the threads much to know this you just troll. Try posting your own plays and then come comment in peoples threads. That's what BC does when he actually comes into my threads and has even stated that much in his OWN thread.
Follow who you want, just don't come back in here when the season ends with another winning record. Best of luck to you in life.
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