YTD (NFL): 26-32-1 (BIG PLAY!!!: 7-12-1)
Was traveling yesterday which is probably a good thing b/c I haven't been as solid as I have in past years. At least not of yet. And with all the West Coast delays I wasn't about to just post for the sake of posting when I had little time to analyze. Of course, today I have had some time so let's see how the results fare:
OVER 49.5 (CHI/WAS)...BIG PLAY!!!: Heavy trends, a lot of solid offensive pieces and two Qb's who can use their feet to create plays. I think the Bears offense is better with Ben Johnson as HC but I don't think they are quite there of yet. The Commanders got good news on Deebo Samuel and I fully expect him to be an active part of the offensive scheme. The Bears also have gone a paltry 2-7 ATS against Washington and 4 of the last 5 games played in DC have gone over the total. Plus the Bears are 2-0 to the OVER in road games this year.
ATLANTA (+4): I got this number but if you have 3.5 I'd buy it up just in case. But I think the Falcons can actually pull of what would be a surprise here. The Bills are going to be playing without Kincaid and he's not only been useful in the air, but blocking as well. Not sure what to make of Penix on MNF but I do know that Josh Allen will be locked and loaded. But the game is in Atlanta and I think they will give the Bills just the type of challenge they have had some issues with. I can see this game having a bunch of scoring but I can't really imagine a scenario where both teams are just slinging the ball given the missing pass catchers on both sides. I personally think Buffalo wins this game but the Falcons cover, hence they buying of the point.
Will see how these fare and hope for a bounce back Monday though it's been a week since I last posted. Do your own research and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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