I'm about to catch a flight and am connecting now so this will be my last chance to post I think before it gets too close to game time and I'm surrounded by family and friends.
Still can't go back and for whatever reason get my older posts, been trying to do that to update record but regardless time not on my side so let me just script this.
I've been quite solid on the Ravens both in past years and so far this year, seeing that they score a LOT more than in previous years, it's hard to go under on them. I did lose the FH play last week on the OVER but I think this is a far different matchup, just not a far different result.
Lamar Jackson is 7-2 SU in MNF games AND 7-2 ATS in MNF games. One would take from that he's as good in covering the games as the Ravens are in winning those, so long as he is under center. He is also a mind boggling, and I'm not joking, 24-2 SU vs. teams from the NFC!!! Think about that for a moment, in all those years and in all the competitive games, he has only lost TWICE out of 26 tries. And, if you don't believe me, feel free to check on ChatGPT :).
The Ravens are going to be short a couple of key defenders so I do think the Lions will get on the board. But I also think that last week was not a real barometer of where their offense is without Ben Johnson as the Bears were hardly the type of opponent that could score on them and give them a game. Not last week that is, this week they seemed to have found something or Dallas is just really awful.
On top of all of this, John Harbaugh is exquisite in prime time games and the Ravens are at home after all. The offense will not change and I'm a bit on edge about our secondary, for as heralded as it is, but this will be a big game on a big stage in front of one of the loudest crowds in the NFL, so I don't think motivation will be an issue. I think special teams, even without Tucker as the Ravens kicker, also favors Baltimore.
I'm going to SMASH this game as I think the line is a little low for the Ravens at home and in this spot. But I'm also conscious of the hook when laying the number as a 4 point deficit might very well be late in the game so I'm going to give myself some comfort, even though I am very confident in Baltimore getting the job done tonight.
BALTIMORE (-4)...bought half point...SMASH PLAY!!!: This is really up to you how many units but to be transparent for record keeping sake I'm keeping this a 2 unit play regardless if I win 10 or 5 or, obviously in the worst case scenario, lose it outright.
I'll take a small stab at the OVER 26.5 FH (DET/BAL) since I don't think the Ravens go two weeks not hitting this and it's high and juicy high so thinking oddsmakers don't want us on this. I also expect both teams to be having to defend on their heels out the gate which should lead to accelerated scoring.
Let's see those things play out, I've been so mediocre this year I'm still waiting for one of those early slates that I wipe up vs. getting turned around. Great Philly win and cover yesterday though. Todays a new day and, as always, do your own research, keep comments positive and, tail or fade, good luck to all...
. Let's hope it starts with tonight. 
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