Denver-9 x3....Teams on short rest off overtime, when their opponent is not off OT, are 26-47 SU and 23-47-3 ATS in the last 20 years, failing to cover the spread by 4.1 PPG – when that team is on the road, they are 9-27 SU and 10-25-1 ATS.....When that same overtime team plays on Thursday Night Football, they are 6-21 SU and 4-23 ATS in that same span... The raiders defense was on the field last week for 42 minutes! The elevation of Denver is 5280 feet. The elevation of Las Vegas is 2000 feet.... That raider defense is going to wear out in that thin air on the short week being on the field for 42 minutes 4 days ago....
Since the beginning of the 2024 season, Geno Smith has started five games in primetime, his teams are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS. No other QB in that span is even 0-3 ATS or worse in primetime.
Overall in primetime throughout his career, Geno is 4-13 SU, including 0-7 SU vs. division opponents, the worst mark of 172 QBs since 2003. He’s lost a primetime game vs. a division opponent now with three different teams: Jets, Seahawks, Raiders.
Nix has made 27 career starts in the NFL, and he is 10-4 ATS as a favorite
As a favorite, Nix is 13-1 SU in his NFL career, including 13-0 as a 2-pt favorite or higher. In Nix’s 14 starts as a favorite, he is also 11-3 2H ATS.
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